ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Luke SchennVAN · D4.27×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.8
0.0
10.5
3.7
2.5
3
102
Ben ChiarotDET · D3.09×
0.6
0.2
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.8
5.8
2.5
3
103
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C5.33×
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.9
0.6
2.3
1.1
2.5
3
104
Jack FinleySTL · C3.01×
0.4
0.1
0.2
1.9
0.0
5.1
0.7
2.5
3
105
Tyler MyersDAL · D4.32×
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.7
0.0
3.9
5.3
2.5
3
106
Jake MiddletonCGY · D4.06×
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.0
0.0
4.2
5.5
2.5
3
107
Mason MarchmentSJS · L4.19×
1.9
0.8
1.1
5.7
0.3
4.6
1.3
2.5
3
108
Yanni GourdeTBL · C4.44×
1.2
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.0
4.8
1.5
2.5
3
109
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ · L4.76×
1.6
0.8
0.8
5.6
0.4
4.1
1.6
2.5
3
110
Luke KuninFLA · C5.90×
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.1
6.5
2.5
2.5
3
111
Brandon HagelTBL · L3.57×
3.0
1.4
1.6
8.1
0.4
2.3
1.8
2.5
3
112
Nikita OkhotiukCGY · D4.40×
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
8.3
4.2
2.5
3
113
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L4.35×
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.0
0.4
5.4
1.7
2.5
3
114
Ryan StromeCGY · C4.74×
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.4
0.2
1.7
1.0
2.5
3
115
Dakota JoshuaTOR · C4.28×
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.0
0.0
10.5
1.6
2.5
3
116
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L3.47×
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
5.9
2.0
2.5
3
117
Connor MurphyEDM · D2.51×
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
6.0
2.5
3
118
Trent FredericEDM · C5.38×
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.6
0.0
7.9
1.3
2.5
3
119
Colton DachEDM · C4.96×
0.7
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.1
10.8
1.4
2.5
3
120
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR · D3.14×
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.3
0.3
3.8
2.9
2.4
3
121
Kirby DachMTL · C2.55×
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.0
0.3
4.6
1.9
2.4
3
122
Dmitri SimashevUTA · D28 sample
0.1
0.0
0.1
2.9
0.0
1.6
3.0
2.4
3
123
Hampus LindholmBOS · D2.24×
1.2
0.2
1.0
4.6
0.2
1.3
4.3
2.4
3
124
MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D5.13×
1.4
0.3
1.1
6.3
0.4
7.2
6.5
2.4
3
125
Cole SmithCHI · R5.10×
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
8.8
1.1
2.4
3
126
Brandon MontourSEA · D4.20×
1.6
0.6
1.0
8.1
0.5
3.6
3.6
2.4
3
127
Nikita GrebenkinPHI · R12.72×
0.7
0.2
0.5
1.7
0.0
4.7
0.9
2.4
3
128
Miles WoodCBJ · L7.15×
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.9
0.0
4.0
1.1
2.4
3
129
Dakota MermisTOR · D8.16×
0.5
0.2
0.2
2.3
0.0
2.6
3.1
2.4
3
130
Sean DurziNYR · D3.42×
1.4
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.3
2.0
5.1
2.4
3
131
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C3.29×
2.4
0.8
1.5
6.4
0.7
8.0
2.5
2.3
3
132
Matvei MichkovPHI · R2.99×
1.9
0.8
1.2
6.4
0.5
1.2
0.8
2.3
3
133
Ryan ReavesSJS · R4.49×
0.3
0.2
0.1
1.6
0.0
9.5
0.9
2.3
3
134
Michael EyssimontBOS · C4.43×
0.8
0.4
0.4
5.7
0.1
4.0
1.1
2.3
3
135
Nic DowdVGK · C3.42×
0.9
0.3
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.9
2.6
2.3
3
136
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D3.90×
1.5
0.5
1.0
6.1
0.4
1.4
6.0
2.3
3
137
Pavol RegendaSJS · L5.35×
1.2
1.0
0.2
5.1
0.4
6.9
1.0
2.3
3
138
David PastrnakBOS · R4.30×
3.8
1.4
2.4
11.4
1.1
3.1
1.1
2.3
3
139
Zack OstapchukSJS · C6.42×
0.3
0.2
0.2
2.0
0.0
6.7
1.4
2.3
3
140
Alexander PetrovicFLA · D8.54×
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.0
0.0
5.2
3.9
2.3
3
141
Keaton MiddletonCOL · D2.54×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.9
0.0
5.1
2.5
2.3
3
142
Sam RinzelCHI · D3.67×
0.9
0.2
0.6
4.8
0.1
2.8
3.3
2.2
3
143
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D2.94×
2.0
0.8
1.2
7.8
0.6
2.4
4.5
2.2
3
144
Nick FolignoMIN · L3.71×
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.6
0.2
7.6
1.6
2.2
3
145
Ian ColeCHI · D3.11×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
3.4
6.1
2.2
3
146
Stefan NoesenNJD · R5.49×
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.0
0.4
4.3
1.0
2.2
3
147
Nathan WalkerSTL · L4.69×
0.8
0.3
0.4
2.8
0.0
10.6
2.4
2.2
3
148
Avery HayesPIT · R16 sample
1.0
0.9
0.1
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.7
2.2
3
149
Travis HamonicDET · D4.25×
0.4
0.1
0.3
3.5
0.0
3.8
4.8
2.2
3
150
Connor BedardCHI · C3.54×
2.9
1.1
1.8
8.8
1.0
1.6
1.2
2.2
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.