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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
551
Neal PionkWPG · D
32.1
7.1
25.0
149.0
8.3
180.7
119.7
57.6
82
552
Walker DuehrWPG · R
14.2
7.1
7.1
67.5
0.3
165.3
39.2
6.9
82
553
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L
19.4
7.1
12.4
86.2
0.8
162.2
53.9
67.3
82
554
Logan MaillouxSTL · D
17.9
7.0
10.9
100.7
1.3
113.1
69.8
58.8
82
555
Pavel MintyukovANA · D
23.5
7.0
16.5
92.5
3.2
66.4
117.2
22.6
82
556
Louis CrevierBUF · D
22.9
7.0
15.9
108.9
0.1
136.2
107.8
56.4
82
557
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL · R
17.6
7.0
10.6
93.6
0.1
186.2
62.1
32.6
82
558
Alex PietrangeloVGK · D
42.3
7.0
35.3
160.3
6.8
59.6
180.5
25.6
82
559
Philip BrobergSTL · D
32.2
7.0
25.2
99.2
3.9
40.6
103.1
16.4
82
560
Noah PhilpEDM · C32 sample
14.3
7.0
7.4
77.5
0.3
124.5
20.3
17.6
82
561
Mason LohreiBOS · D
30.1
7.0
23.2
85.4
8.8
36.8
108.7
22.6
82
562
Jeffrey VielTBL · L
19.2
7.0
12.2
109.7
0.1
240.6
34.8
144.0
82
563
Nikita NesterenkoANA · C
25.1
7.0
18.2
92.5
0.2
156.1
24.4
18.6
82
564
Tony DeAngeloNYI · D
39.8
6.9
32.8
163.5
10.1
38.8
78.3
48.1
82
565
Jacob TroubaSJS · D
27.4
6.9
20.5
156.6
1.0
181.1
179.7
51.7
82
566
Owen PowerBUF · D
34.1
6.9
27.2
121.5
2.8
33.5
100.7
17.3
82
567
Fedor SvechkovCOL · C
21.9
6.9
15.0
87.6
2.2
65.3
35.4
24.9
82
568
Ben HuttonVGK · D
20.6
6.8
13.7
108.3
0.5
43.9
90.3
28.8
82
569
Sean WalkerCAR · D
24.1
6.8
17.2
157.3
0.7
141.0
117.0
53.8
82
570
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · D
33.8
6.8
26.9
96.0
3.4
115.5
85.1
126.9
82
571
Matthew RobertsonNYR · D
20.4
6.8
13.6
90.4
0.1
121.0
90.1
42.6
82
572
Samuel HeleniusLAK · C
12.8
6.8
6.0
55.9
0.1
228.1
26.5
73.4
82
573
Jared SpurgeonMIN · D
27.2
6.8
20.3
109.3
7.3
79.2
148.7
16.3
82
574
Adam LarssonSEA · D
25.5
6.8
18.7
114.2
0.1
127.0
157.4
41.7
82
575
Aaron EkbladFLA · D
36.8
6.7
30.1
138.7
9.9
124.0
110.0
73.9
82
576
Cam FowlerSTL · D
38.9
6.7
32.2
102.1
12.1
15.8
89.9
15.8
82
577
Filip HallanderPIT · C16 sample
25.5
6.7
18.8
135.1
0.6
24.9
35.5
14.2
82
578
Maxim TsyplakovCGY · R
20.3
6.6
13.7
94.1
1.5
142.9
26.7
24.1
82
579
Torey KrugSTL · D
43.4
6.6
36.7
166.8
16.3
65.0
111.8
44.7
82
580
Gustav ForslingFLA · D
31.7
6.6
25.1
149.0
2.1
76.6
100.9
39.5
82
581
Brandon DuhaimeTOR · R
13.9
6.6
7.3
76.8
0.1
178.9
56.3
83.0
82
582
Garnet HathawayFLA · R
14.0
6.5
7.5
74.7
0.1
310.5
72.7
84.5
82
583
Noah HanifinVGK · D
36.3
6.5
29.8
151.5
8.3
54.7
130.2
16.7
82
584
Dante FabbroCBJ · D
18.2
6.5
11.7
88.5
0.1
77.5
141.8
40.1
82
585
David KampfWSH · C
17.6
6.5
11.1
79.3
0.1
85.7
39.8
20.3
82
586
Colin BlackwellDAL · C
18.2
6.4
11.8
85.2
0.5
126.3
37.5
33.6
82
587
Zeev BuiumVAN · D
28.0
6.4
21.6
78.5
14.1
31.9
58.5
45.1
82
588
Colton DachEDM · C
18.5
6.4
12.2
79.5
2.2
295.2
38.0
67.0
82
589
Uvis BalinskisFLA · D
20.7
6.4
14.3
97.3
6.5
101.3
62.4
37.8
82
590
J.J. MoserTBL · D
27.9
6.3
21.5
99.0
2.1
68.9
106.1
53.0
82
591
Hampus LindholmBOS · D
32.8
6.3
26.4
126.1
5.7
34.1
117.5
66.3
82
592
Rodrigo AbolsPHI · C
19.7
6.3
13.3
86.7
0.1
95.3
46.8
37.2
82
593
Barclay GoodrowSJS · C
13.9
6.3
7.6
71.9
0.2
150.1
67.2
75.4
82
594
Logan StanleyBUF · D
22.0
6.3
15.7
88.6
0.7
123.6
96.4
138.6
82
595
Curtis LazarEDM · C
13.4
6.3
7.1
62.4
0.1
188.0
44.8
25.5
82
596
Beck MalenstynBUF · L
14.7
6.2
8.5
74.6
0.1
257.7
75.6
36.0
82
597
MacKenzie EntwistleFLA · R
14.5
6.2
8.3
73.7
0.6
166.6
38.1
43.0
82
598
Joe VelenoNYR · C
14.6
6.2
8.4
76.0
1.1
178.9
40.7
22.7
82
599
Alex TurcotteLAK · C
21.7
6.2
15.6
87.6
0.5
66.2
43.1
26.2
82
600
Nate DanielsonDET · C28 sample
21.1
6.1
14.9
92.1
8.8
26.1
27.8
12.7
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.