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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
Vince DunnSEA · D4.07×
49.2
12.4
36.8
175.5
19.1
42.4
90.9
59.2
82
152
Logan MaillouxSTL · D3.13×
17.9
7.0
10.9
100.7
1.3
113.1
69.8
58.8
82
153
Dylan CozensOTT · C4.88×
53.7
23.7
30.0
200.0
20.0
192.9
30.5
58.6
82
154
Adam BeckmanCOL · L23 sample
16.5
2.8
13.8
94.6
1.6
79.6
30.5
58.5
82
155
Jake McCabeTOR · D4.33×
26.8
4.8
22.0
83.6
0.3
143.2
179.2
58.2
82
156
Erik HaulaLAK · L2.56×
35.5
14.4
21.1
137.5
8.6
120.3
49.2
58.1
82
157
Nick SeelerPHI · D6.83×
13.7
3.9
9.8
92.5
0.1
136.8
177.0
58.0
82
158
Kris LetangPIT · D3.02×
39.9
7.8
32.1
148.2
11.6
126.0
112.0
57.7
82
159
Vasily PodkolzinEDM · R6.07×
33.3
15.3
18.1
124.2
1.7
242.6
48.7
57.7
82
160
Neal PionkWPG · D3.29×
32.1
7.1
25.0
149.0
8.3
180.7
119.7
57.6
82
161
Nicolas HagueNSH · D4.71×
17.5
4.2
13.3
89.6
0.1
114.5
92.1
57.5
82
162
Beckett SenneckeANA · R1.80×
57.4
24.3
33.0
200.8
13.9
97.7
24.0
57.4
82
163
Will CuylleNYR · L4.14×
36.8
18.6
18.2
148.3
5.6
291.3
56.1
57.2
82
164
Louis CrevierBUF · D4.92×
22.9
7.0
15.9
108.9
0.1
136.2
107.8
56.4
82
165
Alex SteevesBOS · C5.79×
28.6
15.8
12.8
104.0
5.0
266.8
46.3
56.2
82
166
William LagessonDET · D2.93×
11.2
0.8
10.4
54.0
0.5
127.4
99.4
55.9
82
167
Ryan LindgrenSEA · D3.09×
16.3
3.0
13.4
64.8
0.1
78.6
129.5
55.8
82
168
Barrett HaytonUTA · C3.98×
35.9
14.8
21.0
151.3
9.7
43.8
38.9
55.8
82
169
Easton CowanTOR · R7.27×
36.1
13.7
22.4
114.5
7.5
89.6
40.2
55.7
82
170
Jan JenikLAK · C22 sample
17.0
5.6
11.4
65.9
1.9
110.1
58.4
55.6
82
171
Adrian KempeLAK · R2.81×
74.0
35.9
38.1
237.1
17.5
121.7
38.6
55.0
82
172
Brandt ClarkeLAK · D3.56×
37.1
7.4
29.7
148.7
11.9
30.3
164.7
54.9
82
173
Jonathan AspirotBOS · D2.54×
18.6
3.8
14.8
64.6
1.3
118.5
114.3
54.9
82
174
Blake ColemanMIN · L3.15×
42.3
21.6
20.7
202.1
2.4
167.5
58.3
54.7
82
175
Kevin BahlCGY · D4.55×
18.9
3.6
15.3
69.9
0.9
127.3
109.9
54.6
82
176
Marcus PetterssonNYR · D2.59×
23.5
3.4
20.2
77.1
0.1
92.3
142.2
54.5
82
177
Simon BenoitPHI · D3.29×
8.3
1.0
7.3
64.9
0.1
232.7
129.0
54.5
82
178
Ethan Del MastroCHI · D6.67×
11.3
3.0
8.3
73.4
0.3
102.8
84.1
54.2
82
179
Max JonesEDM · L3.43×
18.2
8.7
9.4
93.3
0.5
199.9
19.6
53.9
82
180
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D6.31×
15.1
3.3
11.8
88.8
0.1
110.1
144.3
53.8
82
181
Sean WalkerCAR · D2.25×
24.1
6.8
17.2
157.3
0.7
141.0
117.0
53.8
82
182
Brandon TanevUTA · L5.07×
14.3
5.7
8.6
82.4
0.1
212.1
74.0
53.6
82
183
Casey FitzgeraldFLA · D5.72×
14.4
2.0
12.4
70.4
1.2
138.4
55.3
53.5
82
184
Anthony ManthaNJD · R3.40×
55.9
28.2
27.7
144.3
10.6
69.0
40.2
53.4
82
185
Keegan KolesarDET · R4.81×
18.6
7.3
11.3
71.1
0.1
275.1
44.4
53.4
82
186
Damon SeversonCBJ · D2.51×
34.7
8.8
25.8
108.8
3.8
49.8
106.1
53.0
82
187
J.J. MoserTBL · D4.18×
27.9
6.3
21.5
99.0
2.1
68.9
106.1
53.0
82
188
Artem ZubOTT · D2.04×
26.6
4.7
21.9
89.3
0.3
92.7
134.2
52.8
82
189
Ty DellandreaSJS · C2.91×
17.0
3.8
13.2
83.0
0.1
195.1
55.9
52.8
82
190
Alex TuchWSH · R4.00×
66.5
32.7
33.8
210.8
10.1
91.1
96.2
52.6
82
191
Ryan LeonardWSH · R2.91×
45.1
20.1
25.0
164.1
13.7
135.6
28.9
52.4
82
192
Parker WotherspoonVGK · D3.96×
23.9
2.3
21.6
69.5
0.1
158.1
115.6
52.4
82
193
Dominik ShineDET · R27 sample
13.8
11.1
2.8
59.6
0.3
81.1
29.0
52.3
82
194
Darren RaddyshTOR · D4.12×
56.9
15.9
41.0
187.4
19.0
76.0
80.0
52.1
82
195
Josh NorrisBUF · C3.17×
54.0
25.4
28.6
143.4
16.3
118.2
53.2
51.9
82
196
Riley StillmanEDM · D3.42×
10.7
2.0
8.6
52.0
0.5
144.6
72.4
51.8
82
197
Mark ScheifeleWPG · C5.98×
92.5
36.0
56.4
177.9
22.7
54.1
49.9
51.8
82
198
Jacob TroubaSJS · D3.87×
27.4
6.9
20.5
156.6
1.0
181.1
179.7
51.7
82
199
Steven StamkosNSH · C2.19×
67.4
37.7
29.7
209.8
27.3
86.6
41.2
51.6
82
200
Jake NeighboursSTL · L3.51×
43.0
20.1
22.9
115.0
10.2
175.7
46.8
51.6
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.