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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
401
Mattias SamuelssonBUF · D
33.9
10.7
23.2
102.7
0.3
158.5
151.2
29.6
82
402
Jake WalmanEDM · D
36.2
10.7
25.6
162.1
4.7
55.7
161.0
39.5
82
403
Pontus HolmbergTBL · R
24.0
10.7
13.3
93.6
0.5
73.1
47.2
34.0
82
404
Victor HedmanTBL · D
62.0
10.7
51.3
170.2
24.0
58.9
123.7
38.2
82
405
Thomas HarleyDAL · D
43.9
10.7
33.2
148.2
11.1
51.3
151.1
25.6
82
406
Miro HeiskanenDAL · D
61.5
10.6
50.9
174.3
28.0
36.9
130.9
29.7
82
407
Tanner PearsonWPG · L
24.3
10.6
13.8
97.7
0.6
105.3
43.2
28.3
82
408
Reid SchaeferNSH · L
14.4
10.5
3.9
69.3
0.2
186.6
52.6
29.9
82
409
Peyton KrebsBUF · C
33.1
10.5
22.6
85.4
1.3
163.4
36.1
75.0
82
410
Nick AbruzzeseTBL · C11 sample
34.8
10.5
24.3
105.8
10.1
81.0
45.7
27.6
82
411
Nils HoglanderNSH · L
23.3
10.5
12.8
95.6
0.6
97.9
21.4
30.6
82
412
Michael EyssimontBOS · C
22.6
10.5
12.1
155.8
3.3
109.2
28.9
63.3
82
413
Juuso ParssinenNYR · C
23.3
10.5
12.8
69.5
3.1
129.5
40.5
33.0
82
414
Michael RasmussenDET · C
23.5
10.4
13.1
97.9
1.4
116.3
74.8
25.5
82
415
Rutger McGroartyPIT · R32 sample
22.5
10.4
12.1
124.7
0.3
94.0
32.0
12.7
82
416
Jack ThompsonVAN · D34 sample
25.9
10.3
15.6
109.8
7.6
39.1
135.8
26.1
82
417
Calle RosenSTL · D
27.0
10.3
16.7
97.6
0.8
34.6
84.6
18.8
82
418
Morgan RiellyTOR · D
44.2
10.3
33.9
150.3
11.3
50.8
128.3
28.3
82
419
Jonathan DrouinSTL · L
43.8
10.3
33.5
113.0
13.8
31.3
36.1
23.0
82
420
Thomas ChabotOTT · D
44.8
10.2
34.5
166.9
10.5
61.6
152.4
32.3
82
421
Travis SanheimPHI · D
34.7
10.2
24.5
115.5
2.7
66.4
156.8
32.0
82
422
Phillip DanaultMTL · C
35.5
10.2
25.3
118.2
3.2
86.8
61.8
30.4
82
423
Lane HutsonMTL · D
73.3
10.2
63.1
114.8
25.6
35.4
131.6
35.6
82
424
Jack DruryNSH · C
26.1
10.2
15.9
105.1
1.6
50.5
51.4
30.3
82
425
Cole SillingerCBJ · C
34.1
10.2
23.9
146.1
1.9
111.0
49.3
39.9
82
426
Jackson LaCombeANA · D
51.3
10.2
41.2
141.9
13.7
76.5
133.9
23.7
82
427
Cole KoepkeWPG · L
20.2
10.1
10.1
101.7
0.1
217.0
25.6
19.2
82
428
Calle JarnkrokTOR · C
20.0
10.1
10.0
80.8
1.5
63.6
22.0
14.5
82
429
Noah LabaNYR · C
26.7
10.0
16.7
81.5
5.6
121.6
47.9
34.4
82
430
Tye KartyeNYR · L
24.2
10.0
14.2
80.2
0.1
227.4
44.7
48.7
82
431
Bo GroulxTOR · C
18.9
9.9
9.0
79.8
0.3
189.9
45.3
18.8
82
432
Zayne ParekhCGY · D38 sample
21.2
9.9
11.3
109.9
13.0
35.6
66.7
20.2
82
433
Ondrej PalatNYI · L
24.7
9.9
14.8
99.3
3.2
133.8
65.5
18.2
82
434
Alexander HoltzVGK · R
24.0
9.9
14.1
103.8
2.0
64.2
25.1
20.9
82
435
Theo LindsteinSTL · D17 sample
20.3
9.9
10.4
98.3
0.5
42.0
67.5
29.5
82
436
Yanni GourdeTBL · C
33.5
9.9
23.6
118.6
1.1
131.3
41.1
68.8
82
437
Sam SteelDAL · C
30.6
9.9
20.7
90.3
1.8
81.6
31.9
30.8
82
438
Adam ErneDAL · L
15.5
9.8
5.8
79.4
0.1
240.5
39.6
33.1
82
439
Jacob MacDonaldWSH · D
17.6
9.7
7.9
115.4
5.8
97.0
50.5
43.9
82
440
Logan O'ConnorCOL · R
23.5
9.7
13.7
99.7
0.1
89.2
44.0
34.0
82
441
Conor ShearyBUF · L
25.6
9.7
15.9
107.8
3.0
34.0
46.5
20.0
82
442
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
31.5
9.7
21.8
114.8
3.1
57.5
117.4
41.4
82
443
Gustav NyquistWPG · R
34.1
9.7
24.5
113.0
8.8
45.4
34.5
15.9
82
444
Nic DowdVGK · C
23.5
9.7
13.8
80.5
0.1
160.3
71.9
62.9
82
445
Taylor RaddyshNYR · R
24.3
9.7
14.6
88.5
2.5
70.0
38.9
17.9
82
446
Nathan BastianDAL · R
16.3
9.7
6.7
71.0
0.7
198.5
32.8
48.0
82
447
Vinni LettieriTOR · C
17.4
9.6
7.7
126.7
1.2
140.9
49.5
29.3
82
448
Mark KastelicBOS · C
19.6
9.6
10.0
94.8
0.6
229.0
57.5
132.8
82
449
Jakob PelletierTBL · L
25.9
9.6
16.3
91.1
1.1
82.8
35.3
13.9
82
450
Zachary L'HeureuxCOL · L
18.6
9.6
9.0
104.4
2.3
236.3
40.8
76.2
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.