ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
351
Rodrigo AbolsRodrigo AbolsPHI · F0.95×
19.3
6.2
13.2
85.9
0.0
95.2
46.4
37.1
82
352
Nicolas RoyNicolas RoyTOR · F1.18×
33.4
13.0
20.4
103.5
3.8
94.9
46.9
38.2
82
353
Warren FoegeleWarren FoegeleOTT · F1.34×
30.8
17.6
13.2
161.1
1.5
94.9
29.1
28.6
82
354
Konsta HeleniusKonsta HeleniusBUF · F13 gm
37.8
18.9
18.9
157.7
0.0
94.6
44.2
0.0
82
355
Denver BarkeyDenver BarkeyPHI · F1.05×
29.4
9.3
20.1
80.5
6.2
94.4
30.9
30.9
82
356
Rutger McGroartyRutger McGroartyPIT · F32 gm
22.0
10.3
11.7
124.5
0.0
93.7
30.8
11.7
82
357
Cole HutsonCole HutsonWSH · D14 gm
58.6
17.6
41.0
128.8
29.3
93.7
35.1
46.9
82
358
Scott MayfieldScott MayfieldNYI · D1.21×
15.0
2.7
12.3
75.2
0.0
93.6
113.3
70.9
82
359
Emil AndraeEmil AndraePHI · D0.95×
16.5
2.4
14.1
59.4
2.4
93.5
82.5
32.0
82
360
Anton LundellAnton LundellFLA · F1.02×
50.5
19.0
31.5
168.3
11.0
93.3
50.1
42.0
82
361
Ryan WintertonRyan WintertonSEA · F1.16×
19.9
4.3
15.6
104.3
0.0
93.0
39.8
17.2
82
362
Dougie HamiltonDougie HamiltonNJD · D1.13×
46.9
13.2
33.8
227.0
17.2
92.7
91.1
50.7
82
363
Artem ZubArtem ZubOTT · D1.17×
26.5
4.6
21.9
89.0
0.3
92.6
134.7
52.9
82
364
Sam ReinhartSam ReinhartFLA · F1.36×
80.5
40.2
40.3
221.6
29.5
92.4
61.8
21.3
82
365
Marcus PetterssonMarcus PetterssonVAN · D1.30×
23.4
3.3
20.1
76.8
0.0
92.3
142.6
54.6
82
366
Ian ColeIan ColeUTA · D1.30×
19.8
2.8
17.0
66.2
0.0
91.9
166.3
60.2
82
367
Ryan GravesRyan GravesPIT · D1.11×
11.1
3.5
7.7
81.8
0.0
91.2
134.9
35.9
82
368
Danton HeinenDanton HeinenCBJ · F1.21×
28.0
11.7
16.3
95.2
1.3
91.2
41.4
28.4
82
369
Ryker EvansRyker EvansSEA · D1.17×
23.1
7.8
15.3
63.0
2.7
91.1
100.2
43.7
82
370
Alex TuchAlex TuchBUF · F1.52×
66.7
32.9
33.9
211.3
10.1
91.0
96.3
52.6
82
371
Joel ArmiaJoel ArmiaLAK · F1.15×
29.2
14.2
15.0
116.4
1.7
90.4
44.1
33.8
82
372
John BeecherJohn BeecherCGY · F1.12×
14.1
5.9
8.2
65.4
0.0
90.4
71.3
46.0
82
373
Justin FaulkJustin FaulkDET · D1.56×
40.5
11.6
28.9
154.9
10.3
90.4
132.0
42.5
82
374
Ryan DonatoRyan DonatoCHI · F1.19×
38.8
19.0
19.8
145.7
5.3
90.3
20.5
43.3
82
375
Valeri NichushkinValeri NichushkinCOL · F1.04×
58.8
26.8
32.0
196.0
10.3
89.6
35.7
22.6
82
376
Easton CowanEaston CowanTOR · F1.04×
36.0
13.7
22.4
114.3
7.5
89.5
39.8
55.9
82
377
Logan O'ConnorLogan O'ConnorCOL · F1.31×
23.4
9.7
13.7
99.4
0.0
89.0
43.7
34.0
82
378
Alex NewhookAlex NewhookMTL · F0.96×
38.8
20.9
17.9
122.3
5.0
88.9
36.1
29.7
82
379
Elias LindholmElias LindholmBOS · F1.64×
53.6
20.4
33.3
154.3
18.4
88.6
69.7
30.8
82
380
Alexandre TexierAlexandre TexierMTL · F1.07×
33.0
14.1
18.9
113.0
1.9
88.3
25.8
34.1
82
381
Brad MarchandBrad MarchandFLA · F1.35×
74.2
34.0
40.2
214.0
25.5
88.1
33.0
80.0
82
382
Jake DeBruskJake DeBruskVAN · F1.51×
45.6
25.0
20.6
202.9
20.3
87.9
40.7
15.4
82
383
Ryan PulockRyan PulockNYI · D1.34×
28.1
4.5
23.6
108.4
2.6
87.8
167.1
17.0
82
384
Dalibor DvorskyDalibor DvorskySTL · F1.49×
23.9
13.7
10.3
107.1
8.0
87.7
27.3
29.6
82
385
Josh SamanskiJosh SamanskiEDM · F29 gm
17.0
8.5
8.5
31.1
0.0
87.7
39.6
28.3
82
386
Elias PetterssonElias PetterssonVAN · F1.32×
64.7
21.6
43.1
163.1
24.4
87.6
102.0
18.7
82
387
Timothy LiljegrenTimothy LiljegrenSJS · D1.20×
21.9
4.4
17.6
91.8
4.5
87.3
144.0
42.9
82
388
Linus KarlssonLinus KarlssonVAN · F0.94×
33.9
14.7
19.2
116.8
4.5
86.9
23.6
40.6
82
389
Phillip DanaultPhillip DanaultMTL · F1.31×
35.5
10.2
25.3
118.2
3.2
86.8
61.8
30.3
82
390
Steven StamkosSteven StamkosNSH · F1.43×
67.6
37.9
29.7
210.3
27.4
86.5
41.1
51.7
82
391
Taylor WardTaylor WardLAK · F38 gm
16.4
7.7
8.8
89.7
1.1
86.4
19.7
15.3
82
392
David KampfDavid KampfWSH · F1.22×
17.4
6.4
11.0
78.8
0.0
85.5
39.6
20.1
82
393
Martin NecasMartin NecasCOL · F1.05×
87.3
30.6
56.7
213.5
24.7
85.5
25.4
28.6
82
394
Andrew MangiapaneAndrew MangiapaneEDM · F1.22×
28.9
13.5
15.4
102.5
2.3
85.3
34.6
46.5
82
395
Carter VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheFLA · F1.57×
62.7
27.5
35.2
223.2
15.2
85.3
25.5
39.0
82
396
Tage ThompsonTage ThompsonBUF · F1.37×
80.8
41.2
39.7
276.0
23.6
85.2
41.7
46.1
82
397
Cutter GauthierCutter GauthierANA · F1.18×
65.5
34.9
30.6
266.3
19.0
85.0
30.8
26.6
82
398
Michael KesselringMichael KesselringBUF · D1.08×
19.4
4.2
15.3
123.8
1.3
84.8
76.5
98.1
82
399
Josh DoanJosh DoanBUF · F1.17×
49.1
21.8
27.3
167.5
14.6
84.7
27.8
24.6
82
400
Pierre-Luc DuboisPierre-Luc DuboisWSH · F1.62×
55.8
18.1
37.7
146.1
14.1
84.5
48.5
75.5
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.