ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
301
Kent JohnsonCBJ · C
1.4
0.5
0.8
4.7
0.3
0.5
1.4
0.8
3
302
Evgenii DadonovNJD · L
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.0
0.2
1.8
1.5
0.4
3
303
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
2.2
0.5
1.7
5.5
1.1
1.7
3.0
1.5
3
304
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
2.2
0.5
1.7
6.1
0.7
2.2
4.4
1.2
3
305
Ryan PoehlingANA · C
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.8
0.1
1.9
3.3
0.6
3
306
Alex BelzileMTL · R
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.0
0.1
3.1
2.1
1.3
3
307
Louie BelpedioWSH · D12 sample
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.4
0.1
3.9
4.0
0.4
3
308
Andrew MangiapaneCHI · L
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.8
0.1
3.1
1.3
1.7
3
309
Alex IafalloWPG · L
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.5
0.2
3.5
2.2
0.6
3
310
Brock FaberMIN · D
1.7
0.5
1.2
5.8
0.4
1.5
5.3
1.3
3
311
Mackie SamoskevichSEA · R
1.2
0.5
0.7
5.9
0.4
5.4
1.3
1.0
3
312
Easton CowanTOR · R
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.3
3.3
1.5
2.0
3
313
Dalibor DvorskySTL · R
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.9
0.3
3.2
1.0
1.1
3
314
Matt LuffNYI · R
0.7
0.5
0.2
3.3
0.0
4.2
1.9
0.2
3
315
Trey Fix-WolanskyVAN · R26 sample
0.8
0.5
0.3
4.9
0.1
3.3
2.0
0.6
3
316
Philipp KurashevSJS · C
1.4
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.2
2.1
1.2
0.9
3
317
Jonatan BerggrenSTL · R
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.5
0.2
1.9
0.8
0.7
3
318
Ridly GreigOTT · C
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.8
0.2
4.6
2.0
2.9
3
319
Jani NymanSEA · R40 sample
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.9
0.3
2.6
0.9
0.7
3
320
Matvei GridinCGY · R37 sample
1.6
0.5
1.1
5.7
0.6
1.0
2.3
0.2
3
321
Brendan GallagherVAN · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.2
0.2
3.5
1.0
1.7
3
322
Sean CouturierPHI · C
1.5
0.5
1.0
5.5
0.1
3.6
1.6
1.4
3
323
Dougie HamiltonNJD · D
1.7
0.5
1.2
8.3
0.6
3.4
3.3
1.9
3
324
J.T. CompherDET · L
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.9
0.2
1.1
2.2
1.0
3
325
Nicolas RoyCOL · C
1.2
0.5
0.8
3.8
0.1
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
326
Eric RobinsonCAR · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.0
0.0
5.1
0.7
0.7
3
327
Jake SandersonOTT · D
2.1
0.5
1.6
6.5
0.9
1.6
5.8
0.5
3
328
Luke EvangelistaNSH · R
1.8
0.5
1.3
6.4
0.5
1.0
0.7
1.0
3
329
Danila YurovMIN · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.3
0.1
2.7
1.6
1.3
3
330
Sandis VilmanisFLA · L19 sample
0.8
0.5
0.3
2.5
0.0
5.9
0.9
0.7
3
331
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.3
4.8
1.5
0.2
3
332
Brandon SaadVGK · L
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.0
0.1
0.8
0.9
0.6
3
333
Jordan MartinookCAR · L
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.4
3
334
A.J. GreerANA · L
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.5
0.0
7.6
1.2
4.2
3
335
Adam FoxNYR · D
2.7
0.5
2.3
5.3
1.1
1.5
4.5
1.3
3
336
Dillon DubeSTL · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.8
1.0
1.1
3
337
Quinn HughesMIN · D
3.2
0.5
2.7
7.4
1.3
0.6
3.1
1.3
3
338
Justin HryckowianDAL · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.8
1.7
1.4
3
339
Mark JankowskiCAR · L
0.9
0.5
0.4
2.9
0.1
2.0
1.9
1.2
3
340
Alexander KerfootNSH · C
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.5
0.1
2.7
2.4
1.2
3
341
Connor DewarPIT · C
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.9
0.0
6.0
1.8
0.9
3
342
Ethan CardwellSJS · R13 sample
0.5
0.5
0.1
2.8
0.0
3.9
0.9
0.9
3
343
Marco KasperDET · C
0.9
0.5
0.5
5.1
0.1
6.6
1.9
1.3
3
344
Denton MateychukCBJ · D
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.4
0.1
1.2
3.8
0.6
3
345
Andre BurakovskyOTT · L
1.4
0.5
0.9
4.1
0.4
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
346
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
2.0
0.5
1.6
5.9
0.5
0.4
4.5
1.0
3
347
Pierre EngvallNYI · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.0
0.6
0.9
3
348
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
1.5
0.5
1.0
6.1
0.4
1.4
6.0
2.3
3
349
Vince DunnSEA · D
1.8
0.5
1.4
6.4
0.7
1.6
3.3
2.2
3
350
Jonathan ToewsWPG · C
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.0
0.3
0.7
1.3
1.5
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.