ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
351
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.4
0.2
1.7
1.0
2.5
3
352
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
4.5
2.5
1.2
3
353
1.5
0.4
1.0
4.5
0.3
1.5
1.2
3.7
3
354
1.3
0.4
0.8
4.1
0.1
5.8
2.3
1.3
3
355
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.6
0.3
2.7
1.4
0.7
3
356
1.3
0.4
0.8
3.2
0.1
3.6
1.1
1.3
3
357
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.1
1.9
1.4
0.5
3
358
0.6
0.4
0.2
2.9
0.1
4.4
1.4
0.3
3
359
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.1
0.2
1.1
1.3
0.7
3
360
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.6
0.2
7.6
1.6
2.2
3
361
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.4
0.2
2.6
3.2
0.8
3
362
1.5
0.4
1.1
5.7
0.4
3.3
4.8
1.6
3
363
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.7
0.1
5.2
1.6
1.5
3
364
1.4
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.4
2.5
3.5
1.3
3
365
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.8
0.0
6.8
2.2
1.6
3
366
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.7
0.2
3.8
1.8
1.6
3
367
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.2
1.6
1.5
3
368
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.9
0.0
4.0
1.1
2.4
3
369
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.8
0.2
1.6
2.2
0.4
3
370
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.5
0.1
3.3
1.5
1.0
3
371
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.2
0.0
4.1
2.3
1.2
3
372
0.7
0.4
0.3
4.3
0.0
8.7
1.2
1.2
3
373
0.6
0.4
0.2
2.4
0.3
4.5
0.9
0.9
3
374
1.0
0.4
0.5
2.5
0.0
2.4
1.7
0.7
3
375
0.7
0.4
0.2
2.5
0.0
5.6
1.7
1.2
3
376
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.9
0.1
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
377
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.3
0.2
1.4
2.2
0.8
3
378
2.2
0.4
1.7
5.2
0.7
4.8
5.7
3.1
3
379
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.0
5.3
2.2
1.0
3
380
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.0
8.2
1.0
1.3
3
381
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.5
0.0
6.5
0.8
1.3
3
382
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.1
0.2
2.6
3.7
1.9
3
383
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.1
9.1
1.1
1.1
3
384
0.8
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.2
1.4
1.5
0.0
3
385
0.8
0.4
0.3
3.1
0.1
2.2
1.0
0.2
3
386
2.2
0.4
1.7
6.5
0.6
1.9
5.0
1.2
3
387
1.7
0.4
1.3
5.8
0.8
3.8
4.5
1.1
3
388
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.6
1.7
1.1
3
389
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.8
0.1
6.9
1.2
0.9
3
390
0.7
0.4
0.3
3.6
0.0
2.5
1.9
0.7
3
391
0.8
0.4
0.4
3.7
0.0
5.4
3.3
1.1
3
392
2.1
0.4
1.8
5.6
0.9
2.3
5.2
1.6
3
393
0.5
0.4
0.1
2.2
0.0
3.0
1.1
1.9
3
394
1.7
0.4
1.3
6.6
0.4
2.6
6.3
1.2
3
395
1.0
0.4
0.6
2.9
0.0
3.1
1.6
1.4
3
396
0.8
0.4
0.4
3.9
0.0
5.2
1.0
1.0
3
397
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.1
1.0
4.4
1.3
3
398
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.4
0.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
3
399
2.3
0.4
1.9
6.2
0.9
2.1
4.5
1.4
3
400
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
3.9
1.6
1.0
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.