ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
651
Max SassonMax SassonVAN · F0.83×
22.9
14.8
8.2
78.9
1.0
39.7
43.3
26.5
82
652
David JiricekDavid JiricekMIN · D0.99×
7.6
1.4
6.2
58.1
0.0
39.6
65.7
46.9
82
653
Ben KindelBen KindelPIT · F1.18×
34.6
16.8
17.8
158.1
9.9
39.5
63.2
17.8
82
654
Christopher TanevChristopher TanevTOR · D1.26×
18.8
2.7
16.2
56.6
0.1
39.2
200.6
21.9
82
655
Jacob MoverareJacob MoverareLAK · D1.22×
7.5
1.3
6.2
45.2
0.0
39.1
86.5
11.3
82
656
Mathew BarzalMathew BarzalNYI · F1.01×
71.7
19.7
52.0
199.6
20.4
38.9
51.4
48.4
82
657
Ivan ProvorovIvan ProvorovCBJ · D1.21×
31.4
7.8
23.6
134.2
4.6
38.9
138.1
29.8
82
658
Olen ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerANA · D1.00×
25.5
8.4
17.1
137.6
4.2
38.7
94.0
31.7
82
659
Theo LindsteinTheo LindsteinSTL · D17 gm
19.3
9.6
9.6
96.5
0.0
38.6
67.5
28.9
82
660
Urho VaakanainenUrho VaakanainenNYR · D1.21×
18.3
1.3
17.1
66.5
0.1
38.6
76.3
30.4
82
661
Rasmus AnderssonRasmus AnderssonVGK · D1.11×
40.3
12.2
28.1
167.0
10.7
38.3
163.8
62.9
82
662
Adam EngstromAdam EngstromMTL · D15 gm
5.5
0.0
5.5
60.1
0.0
38.3
43.7
43.7
82
663
Tony DeAngeloTony DeAngeloNYI · D1.34×
39.8
6.9
32.9
163.8
10.1
38.2
78.4
48.2
82
664
Matt DucheneMatt DucheneDAL · F1.25×
69.4
24.8
44.6
146.4
24.6
38.2
35.8
18.3
82
665
Dawson MercerDawson MercerNJD · F1.24×
40.1
20.3
19.9
149.9
6.8
38.0
49.9
28.2
82
666
Evgeni MalkinEvgeni MalkinPIT · F1.04×
75.3
25.6
49.6
194.4
26.7
37.8
36.6
74.3
82
667
Ilya MikheyevIlya MikheyevCHI · F1.28×
36.7
18.6
18.0
139.5
0.4
37.8
21.8
16.1
82
668
Declan ChisholmDeclan ChisholmWSH · D1.06×
18.7
3.4
15.3
76.0
2.8
37.5
81.0
16.6
82
669
Owen PickeringOwen PickeringPIT · D29 gm
7.5
2.5
5.0
42.3
0.0
37.3
57.1
24.9
82
670
Nikolaj EhlersNikolaj EhlersCAR · F1.49×
71.4
28.0
43.4
213.4
23.8
37.0
30.4
19.5
82
671
Andrew CoppAndrew CoppDET · F1.32×
41.5
11.5
29.9
117.9
6.1
36.9
59.2
22.3
82
672
William KarlssonWilliam KarlssonVGK · F1.23×
50.4
20.5
29.9
170.2
8.2
36.6
60.3
14.8
82
673
Miro HeiskanenMiro HeiskanenDAL · D1.04×
61.7
10.6
51.1
174.6
28.2
36.5
131.4
29.6
82
674
Harrison BrunickeHarrison BrunickePIT · D9 gm
9.1
9.1
0.0
72.9
0.0
36.4
118.4
54.7
82
675
Mason LohreiMason LohreiBOS · D1.18×
30.1
6.9
23.2
85.1
8.8
36.3
109.0
22.5
82
676
Viktor ArvidssonViktor ArvidssonBOS · F1.60×
54.2
25.4
28.8
207.6
9.8
36.3
41.3
28.8
82
677
Kyle CapobiancoKyle CapobiancoDAL · D1.26×
12.5
5.1
7.4
48.0
0.3
36.1
66.3
28.2
82
678
Chandler StephensonChandler StephensonSEA · F1.19×
53.2
16.2
37.0
95.2
16.4
35.8
53.8
22.4
82
679
Mats ZuccarelloMats ZuccarelloMIN · F1.29×
72.7
20.7
52.0
177.7
28.7
35.5
45.5
27.5
82
680
Isak RosenIsak RosenWPG · F1.01×
20.1
11.5
8.6
78.7
5.8
35.5
41.2
0.0
82
681
Alexander WennbergAlexander WennbergSJS · F1.04×
45.5
14.6
31.0
92.7
11.9
35.2
88.0
17.5
82
682
Lane HutsonLane HutsonMTL · D1.13×
73.5
10.2
63.3
114.7
25.7
34.9
132.0
35.6
82
683
Oskar BackOskar BackDAL · F1.12×
15.0
4.8
10.3
46.5
0.0
34.2
42.4
10.3
82
684
Zayne ParekhZayne ParekhCGY · D38 gm
20.8
9.8
10.9
109.3
13.1
33.9
66.7
19.7
82
685
Aliaksei ProtasAliaksei ProtasWSH · F0.94×
53.7
23.9
29.9
153.2
0.9
33.9
42.8
18.1
82
686
Tanner LaczynskiTanner LaczynskiVGK · F1.07×
27.2
3.4
23.8
72.1
4.5
33.8
35.5
32.9
82
687
Hampus LindholmHampus LindholmBOS · D0.99×
32.7
6.3
26.4
126.1
5.7
33.6
117.9
66.5
82
688
Conor ShearyConor ShearyNYR · F1.14×
25.5
9.7
15.8
107.6
2.9
33.3
46.3
19.8
82
689
Owen PowerOwen PowerBUF · D1.18×
34.1
6.9
27.3
121.4
2.8
33.0
100.9
17.2
82
690
Filip ChytilFilip ChytilVAN · F1.30×
35.2
18.3
16.9
183.1
4.5
32.9
27.5
29.4
82
691
John MarinoJohn MarinoUTA · D1.16×
32.6
4.2
28.4
62.0
0.1
32.8
87.4
18.7
82
692
Denton MateychukDenton MateychukCBJ · D1.13×
31.5
12.6
18.9
92.5
2.5
32.8
103.9
15.1
82
693
Casey MittelstadtCasey MittelstadtBOS · F1.16×
47.7
16.1
31.6
107.2
9.8
32.8
27.1
19.0
82
694
Matvei MichkovMatvei MichkovPHI · F1.17×
53.1
21.0
32.1
175.1
13.0
32.7
21.9
63.6
82
695
Kyle ConnorKyle ConnorWPG · F1.10×
91.6
39.5
52.1
275.6
23.0
32.4
27.5
17.0
82
696
Brent BurnsBrent BurnsCOL · D1.20×
35.6
9.5
26.1
177.7
5.8
32.4
94.5
32.6
82
697
Nick LeddyNick LeddySJS · D1.06×
20.6
3.1
17.5
59.1
0.6
31.9
97.5
14.7
82
698
Jaccob SlavinJaccob SlavinCAR · D1.16×
25.8
4.6
21.1
130.8
0.3
31.8
131.8
7.2
82
699
Anthony DuclairAnthony DuclairNYI · F1.03×
36.0
17.5
18.4
114.5
8.6
31.4
48.0
21.6
82
700
Olli MaattaOlli MaattaCGY · D1.34×
23.0
3.5
19.5
68.0
0.0
31.3
122.8
12.9
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.