ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
1.7
0.7
1.1
5.7
0.2
1.7
1.6
1.3
3
202
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.1
0.0
1.4
0.8
0.6
3
203
1.8
0.7
1.1
6.2
0.5
2.0
0.9
0.6
3
204
1.5
0.7
0.9
7.3
0.2
7.6
1.7
0.8
3
205
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.4
0.2
10.7
2.0
2.1
3
206
1.7
0.7
1.1
5.9
0.5
1.7
2.0
1.2
3
207
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.7
0.0
3.5
1.7
0.1
3
208
1.8
0.7
1.1
4.8
0.4
4.7
1.5
2.6
3
209
1.3
0.7
0.6
6.7
0.2
1.2
1.0
1.1
3
210
3.0
0.7
2.4
8.0
1.1
1.6
3.8
1.1
3
211
0.8
0.7
0.2
3.9
0.2
4.9
1.4
0.5
3
212
1.6
0.7
0.9
5.6
0.5
2.3
0.9
1.8
3
213
2.0
0.7
1.4
5.3
0.5
3.1
1.8
2.8
3
214
1.2
0.7
0.5
4.3
0.1
1.1
2.2
0.8
3
215
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.5
0.1
2.4
1.9
1.2
3
216
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.2
0.3
1.2
1.8
0.8
3
217
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.9
0.2
4.3
1.4
1.5
3
218
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.9
0.1
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
219
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.3
0.2
4.9
1.8
0.7
3
220
2.1
0.6
1.4
4.8
0.7
1.5
1.1
1.1
3
221
2.5
0.6
1.9
8.7
1.1
1.6
5.0
1.3
3
222
1.2
0.6
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
223
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.9
0.2
3.1
1.0
0.7
3
224
1.0
0.6
0.3
4.2
0.0
3.1
3.3
1.1
3
225
2.1
0.6
1.5
4.7
1.0
3.5
1.4
1.7
3
226
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.4
0.3
1.1
1.0
0.8
3
227
1.7
0.6
1.1
4.3
0.8
0.9
1.4
0.4
3
228
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.1
0.1
4.8
0.7
1.2
3
229
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.2
0.0
10.2
2.4
4.8
3
230
1.3
0.6
0.6
5.6
0.3
5.4
1.8
0.7
3
231
1.3
0.6
0.7
3.3
0.5
1.9
1.8
0.1
3
232
1.5
0.6
0.9
7.1
0.2
1.5
1.3
0.9
3
233
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.9
0.2
1.9
1.0
0.6
3
234
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.6
0.3
1.0
0.8
0.4
3
235
1.5
0.6
0.9
4.8
0.3
0.5
1.3
0.6
3
236
1.6
0.6
1.0
6.2
0.4
1.9
1.5
1.5
3
237
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.6
0.1
2.2
1.7
1.3
3
238
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.8
0.4
1.5
2.3
0.7
3
239
1.9
0.6
1.3
5.6
0.6
2.4
1.2
0.8
3
240
1.4
0.6
0.9
3.9
0.1
5.4
2.3
0.5
3
241
1.5
0.6
0.9
5.6
0.5
3.0
1.3
0.6
3
242
1.4
0.6
0.8
5.4
0.4
7.6
2.8
1.0
3
243
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.0
0.3
4.6
1.9
2.4
3
244
1.6
0.6
1.0
5.7
0.4
2.5
1.4
0.8
3
245
2.0
0.6
1.4
6.2
0.6
2.4
2.0
1.2
3
246
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.0
0.2
0.7
1.4
0.9
3
247
1.4
0.6
0.8
3.9
0.3
1.0
1.6
0.7
3
248
1.9
0.6
1.4
3.5
0.6
1.3
2.0
0.8
3
249
1.0
0.6
0.4
4.4
0.0
6.2
1.7
3.7
3
250
1.2
0.6
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.1
1.0
0.9
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.