ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
301
2.1
0.6
1.4
4.8
0.7
1.5
1.1
1.1
3
302
1.4
0.5
0.8
4.7
0.3
0.5
1.4
0.8
3
303
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.7
0.1
5.2
1.6
1.5
3
304
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.7
0.2
2.0
1.3
0.8
3
305
2.1
0.6
1.5
4.7
1.0
3.5
1.4
1.7
3
306
1.0
0.9
0.1
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.7
2.2
3
307
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.4
3
308
2.0
0.8
1.2
4.7
0.6
2.4
1.6
1.0
3
309
0.6
0.3
0.3
4.6
0.0
5.2
1.8
1.1
3
310
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.6
0.3
2.7
1.4
0.7
3
311
1.2
0.2
1.0
4.6
0.2
1.3
4.3
2.4
3
312
0.8
0.1
0.7
4.6
0.0
3.0
4.7
1.7
3
313
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.6
0.1
2.2
1.7
1.3
3
314
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.6
0.1
7.4
1.8
1.2
3
315
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.6
0.0
3.4
1.2
0.5
3
316
1.5
0.4
1.0
4.5
0.3
1.5
1.2
3.7
3
317
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.5
0.3
1.9
1.0
0.5
3
318
1.2
0.6
0.7
4.5
0.1
8.9
1.8
2.1
3
319
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.5
0.7
1.7
2.7
0.4
3
320
0.7
0.2
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.1
2.8
3.6
3
321
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.5
0.2
1.1
1.4
0.7
3
322
1.5
0.6
0.9
4.5
0.2
3.7
2.0
1.0
3
323
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.8
1.0
1.1
3
324
1.4
0.8
0.7
4.5
0.2
3.3
1.3
1.1
3
325
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.5
0.2
3.5
2.2
0.6
3
326
0.8
0.3
0.4
4.5
0.3
1.7
1.9
0.8
3
327
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.0
4.9
1.0
1.0
3
328
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.1
1.2
3.7
0.6
3
329
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.4
0.3
1.1
1.0
0.8
3
330
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.3
2.9
3.8
1.7
3
331
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.4
0.2
4.6
1.5
1.7
3
332
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.4
0.3
1.5
1.3
0.6
3
333
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.4
0.2
2.6
3.2
0.8
3
334
1.0
0.6
0.4
4.4
0.0
6.2
1.7
3.7
3
335
1.4
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.3
2.0
5.1
2.4
3
336
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.3
4.8
1.5
0.2
3
337
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.4
0.2
1.7
1.0
2.5
3
338
1.3
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.1
4.7
3.9
1.8
3
339
1.3
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.4
1.8
0.9
2.8
3
340
0.9
0.1
0.8
4.3
0.1
4.6
4.4
1.4
3
341
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.3
0.3
3.8
2.9
2.4
3
342
1.2
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.0
4.8
1.5
2.5
3
343
1.2
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.3
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
344
1.4
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.4
2.5
3.5
1.3
3
345
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.1
3.2
2.3
1.1
3
346
1.2
0.7
0.5
4.3
0.1
1.1
2.2
0.8
3
347
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.3
0.2
1.4
2.2
0.8
3
348
1.4
0.9
0.5
4.3
0.0
3.3
1.5
0.3
3
349
0.3
0.0
0.3
4.3
0.0
8.8
0.8
0.5
3
350
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.1
5.7
1.0
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.