ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
351
Teuvo TeravainenCHI · C
1.7
0.6
1.1
4.3
0.8
0.9
1.4
0.4
3
352
Lenni HameenahoNJD · R33 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.9
1.5
1.3
3
353
Linus KarlssonVAN · C
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.3
0.2
3.2
0.9
1.5
3
354
Andrei KuzmenkoPIT · L
1.7
0.8
0.9
4.3
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.8
3
355
Carl GrundstromPHI · R
0.7
0.4
0.3
4.3
0.0
8.7
1.2
1.2
3
356
Bobby BrinkMIN · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.3
0.3
3.5
1.6
1.0
3
357
Joel ArmiaLAK · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.3
0.1
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
358
Justin BrazeauPIT · R
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.3
0.2
4.9
1.8
0.7
3
359
Travis SanheimPHI · D
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.2
0.1
2.4
5.7
1.2
3
360
Collin GrafSJS · R
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.2
0.1
3.0
1.7
0.5
3
361
Jacob MacDonaldWSH · D
0.6
0.4
0.3
4.2
0.2
3.5
1.9
1.6
3
362
Philipp KurashevSJS · C
1.4
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.2
2.1
1.2
0.9
3
363
Alexander RomanovNYI · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.2
0.0
6.7
6.6
1.1
3
364
Jake NeighboursSTL · L
1.6
0.7
0.8
4.2
0.4
6.4
1.7
1.9
3
365
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
1.1
0.4
0.8
4.2
0.1
2.1
4.3
1.5
3
366
Lane HutsonMTL · D
2.7
0.4
2.3
4.2
0.9
1.3
4.8
1.3
3
367
Anthony DuclairNYI · L
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.2
0.3
1.2
1.8
0.8
3
368
Matias MaccelliNYI · L
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.6
3
369
Easton CowanTOR · R
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.3
3.3
1.5
2.0
3
370
Nick LardisCHI · L
1.1
0.7
0.4
4.2
0.2
4.2
0.9
0.8
3
371
Adam LarssonSEA · D
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.2
0.0
4.7
5.8
1.5
3
372
Ethen FrankWSH · R
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.2
0.2
2.4
2.1
0.9
3
373
Jalen ChatfieldCAR · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.2
0.0
2.2
2.9
1.4
3
374
Mathieu OlivierCBJ · R
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.2
0.0
10.2
2.4
4.8
3
375
Mason ShawMIN · C
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.2
0.0
4.4
1.3
4.2
3
376
Justin SourdifWSH · C
1.3
0.6
0.8
4.2
0.1
3.8
1.5
1.3
3
377
Tristan LuneauANA · D14 sample
1.0
0.6
0.3
4.2
0.0
3.1
3.3
1.1
3
378
Adam SykoraNYR · L11 sample
1.1
0.8
0.3
4.2
0.0
5.3
2.7
1.4
3
379
Alexandre TexierMTL · L
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.1
0.1
3.2
1.0
1.3
3
380
Gustav NyquistWPG · R
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.1
0.3
1.7
1.3
0.6
3
381
Andre BurakovskyOTT · L
1.4
0.5
0.9
4.1
0.4
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
382
Jonathan DrouinSTL · L
1.6
0.4
1.2
4.1
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.8
3
383
Simon NemecCGY · D
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.1
1.0
4.4
1.3
3
384
Jared WrightLAK · R27 sample
0.5
0.0
0.5
4.1
0.0
3.8
2.1
0.5
3
385
Jonas BrodinMIN · D
1.0
0.2
0.8
4.1
0.0
1.1
6.3
0.9
3
386
Noah GregorWPG · L
0.6
0.3
0.3
4.1
0.1
4.7
1.4
1.6
3
387
Justin DanforthBUF · R
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.0
5.3
2.2
1.0
3
388
Alexander NikishinCAR · D
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.1
0.3
5.0
3.1
1.1
3
389
Fraser MintenBOS · C
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.1
0.1
5.5
1.8
0.7
3
390
Braeden BowmanVGK · R
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.1
0.2
1.1
1.3
0.7
3
391
Bowen ByramCHI · D
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.1
0.2
2.6
3.7
1.9
3
392
Dominic JamesTBL · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.1
0.1
4.1
1.0
0.5
3
393
Eetu LuostarinenFLA · C
1.3
0.4
0.8
4.1
0.1
5.8
2.3
1.3
3
394
Evgenii DadonovNJD · L
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.0
0.2
1.8
1.5
0.4
3
395
Dmitry OrlovSJS · D
1.3
0.2
1.1
4.0
0.4
4.6
2.8
1.5
3
396
Martin PospisilCGY · C
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.0
0.1
11.2
1.0
3.3
3
397
Kaapo KakkoSEA · R
1.6
0.6
1.0
4.0
0.3
1.8
0.8
0.9
3
398
Zachary BolducMTL · R
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.0
0.3
5.9
1.5
1.6
3
399
Morgan BarronWPG · C
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.6
1.7
1.1
3
400
Kirby DachMTL · C
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.0
0.3
4.6
1.9
2.4
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.