ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
401
Kailer YamamotoKailer YamamotoUTA · F1.45×
1.2
0.6
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.1
1.0
0.9
3
402
Blake LizotteBlake LizottePIT · F1.05×
1.0
0.4
0.6
2.9
0.0
3.1
1.6
1.4
3
403
David PastrnakDavid PastrnakBOS · F1.18×
3.8
1.4
2.4
11.4
1.1
3.1
1.1
2.3
3
404
Sam DickinsonSam DickinsonSJS · D0.93×
0.6
0.0
0.5
3.0
0.0
3.1
2.9
0.9
3
405
Mavrik BourqueMavrik BourqueDAL · F1.42×
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.9
0.1
3.1
1.0
0.7
3
406
Oliver BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandTBL · F1.14×
1.5
0.6
0.9
5.6
0.5
3.0
1.3
0.6
3
407
Trevor MooreTrevor MooreLAK · F1.43×
1.6
0.7
0.9
7.3
0.1
3.0
1.6
0.6
3
408
Logan CooleyLogan CooleyUTA · F1.22×
2.3
1.1
1.2
6.0
0.6
3.0
1.3
1.7
3
409
Jimmy SnuggerudJimmy SnuggerudSTL · F1.37×
2.1
0.9
1.3
7.0
0.4
3.0
1.7
0.7
3
410
Stephen HallidayStephen HallidayOTT · F30 gm
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.4
0.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
3
411
Collin GrafCollin GrafSJS · F1.16×
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.2
0.1
3.0
1.7
0.5
3
412
Adam PelechAdam PelechNYI · D1.22×
0.8
0.1
0.7
4.6
0.0
3.0
4.7
1.7
3
413
Sam SteelSam SteelDAL · F1.13×
1.1
0.4
0.8
3.3
0.1
3.0
1.2
1.1
3
414
Liam OhgrenLiam OhgrenVAN · F1.10×
0.8
0.3
0.4
3.8
0.0
3.0
1.7
0.1
3
415
Tyson JostTyson JostNSH · F0.99×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.4
1.5
3
416
Nate SchmidtNate SchmidtUTA · D1.02×
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.0
3.3
0.8
3
417
Justin BarronJustin BarronNSH · D1.01×
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.6
0.0
3.0
3.6
1.1
3
418
Ryan HartmanRyan HartmanMIN · F1.23×
1.7
0.8
0.9
7.1
0.3
2.9
3.0
2.7
3
419
Dominik ShineDominik ShineDET · F27 gm
0.5
0.4
0.1
2.1
0.0
2.9
1.0
1.9
3
420
Nicholas RobertsonNicholas RobertsonTOR · F1.23×
1.2
0.6
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
421
Drew DoughtyDrew DoughtyLAK · D1.17×
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.3
2.9
3.9
1.7
3
422
Mika ZibanejadMika ZibanejadNYR · F1.01×
2.7
1.1
1.7
7.8
1.1
2.9
1.8
0.7
3
423
Jared SpurgeonJared SpurgeonMIN · D1.11×
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.3
2.9
5.5
0.6
3
424
Jacob Bernard-DockerJacob Bernard-DockerDET · D1.13×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.1
0.0
2.9
4.5
1.2
3
425
Justin HollJustin HollSTL · D1.01×
0.5
0.1
0.4
1.9
0.0
2.9
3.4
1.2
3
426
Sebastian AhoSebastian AhoCAR · F1.58×
2.9
1.1
1.8
7.6
0.9
2.9
1.1
1.7
3
427
Ryan LindgrenRyan LindgrenSEA · D0.92×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.0
2.9
4.8
2.0
3
428
Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsTOR · F1.81×
3.2
1.6
1.6
12.0
0.9
2.9
3.9
0.8
3
429
Quinton ByfieldQuinton ByfieldLAK · F1.22×
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.5
0.4
2.9
1.4
1.8
3
430
Nick BlankenburgNick BlankenburgCOL · D1.07×
1.0
0.3
0.7
3.6
0.3
2.8
3.1
0.8
3
431
Colton WhiteColton WhiteNJD · D1.22×
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.9
0.0
2.8
2.1
0.3
3
432
Dante FabbroDante FabbroCBJ · D1.33×
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.2
0.0
2.8
5.2
1.5
3
433
Arshdeep BainsArshdeep BainsVAN · F0.87×
0.5
0.1
0.3
1.9
0.1
2.8
0.7
1.1
3
434
Sam RinzelSam RinzelCHI · D1.09×
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.8
0.1
2.8
3.3
2.3
3
435
Sidney CrosbySidney CrosbyPIT · F1.25×
3.3
1.3
2.0
8.2
1.0
2.8
1.4
1.7
3
436
Alex KillornAlex KillornANA · F1.21×
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.5
0.3
2.8
1.0
1.6
3
437
Vladimir TarasenkoVladimir TarasenkoMIN · F1.00×
1.8
0.8
1.0
5.8
0.4
2.8
1.4
0.4
3
438
Gustav ForslingGustav ForslingFLA · D1.08×
1.2
0.2
0.9
5.5
0.1
2.8
3.7
1.4
3
439
Artturi LehkonenArtturi LehkonenCOL · F1.25×
2.0
1.0
1.0
6.5
0.3
2.8
1.6
1.0
3
440
Pavel ZachaPavel ZachaBOS · F1.22×
2.2
0.9
1.3
5.1
0.6
2.8
1.0
0.9
3
441
Jackson LaCombeJackson LaCombeANA · D1.11×
1.9
0.4
1.5
5.2
0.5
2.8
4.9
0.9
3
442
Drew O'ConnorDrew O'ConnorVAN · F1.15×
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.0
2.8
1.4
1.4
3
443
Darren RaddyshDarren RaddyshTBL · D1.33×
2.1
0.6
1.5
6.9
0.7
2.8
2.9
1.9
3
444
Mattias EkholmMattias EkholmEDM · D1.36×
1.5
0.3
1.2
5.4
0.2
2.8
4.5
1.3
3
445
Bo HorvatBo HorvatNYI · F1.31×
2.4
1.3
1.1
9.4
0.6
2.7
1.6
1.3
3
446
Jesper BrattJesper BrattNJD · F1.09×
2.8
0.8
2.0
7.1
0.9
2.7
1.1
0.5
3
447
Mikael GranlundMikael GranlundANA · F1.42×
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.7
0.8
2.7
2.2
1.0
3
448
Nick SuzukiNick SuzukiMTL · F1.16×
3.2
1.0
2.2
6.6
1.3
2.7
2.4
0.9
3
449
Dylan SambergDylan SambergWPG · D1.04×
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.8
0.0
2.7
5.2
1.0
3
450
Philip TomasinoPhilip TomasinoPIT · F1.12×
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.6
0.3
2.7
1.4
0.6
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.