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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
451
Ryan PoehlingANA · C
36.4
13.8
22.6
103.3
1.8
52.0
90.2
14.9
82
452
Shane WrightSEA · C
35.6
15.9
19.7
103.0
9.0
55.6
65.0
13.8
82
453
Isaac HowardEDM · L29 sample
14.9
5.9
9.0
102.8
0.3
22.5
15.9
34.1
82
454
Mattias SamuelssonBUF · D
33.9
10.7
23.2
102.7
0.3
158.5
151.2
29.6
82
455
Andrew MangiapaneCHI · L
29.0
13.5
15.4
102.7
2.3
85.4
34.8
46.5
82
456
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
30.2
8.7
21.5
102.6
10.0
23.1
105.2
34.2
82
457
Adam LowryWPG · C
30.4
11.7
18.7
102.5
0.7
184.8
59.5
43.6
82
458
Frederick GaudreauSEA · C
30.7
11.9
18.9
102.4
4.9
44.6
60.9
11.7
82
459
Mason AppletonDET · C
24.5
9.3
15.2
102.3
1.3
107.2
36.5
43.0
82
460
Brett KulakCOL · D
18.2
3.4
14.8
102.3
0.1
40.6
114.0
33.2
82
461
Cam FowlerSTL · D
38.9
6.7
32.2
102.1
12.1
15.8
89.9
15.8
82
462
Lars EllerFLA · C
21.1
8.5
12.6
101.8
1.1
66.2
41.3
25.4
82
463
Cole KoepkeWPG · L
20.2
10.1
10.1
101.7
0.1
217.0
25.6
19.2
82
464
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG · C
29.6
11.7
17.9
101.7
6.0
103.1
49.5
42.4
82
465
Erik GustafssonLAK · D
29.2
4.6
24.6
101.7
10.9
60.3
67.0
32.2
82
466
Calum RitchieNYI · C
36.5
16.1
20.4
101.6
13.1
25.0
42.3
26.5
82
467
Tyler MyersDAL · D
18.5
3.0
15.5
101.5
0.4
107.6
143.9
69.2
82
468
Michael AmadioOTT · R
32.4
14.4
18.0
101.4
1.2
106.6
48.3
19.4
82
469
Samuel HonzekCGY · L23 sample
17.0
8.3
8.7
101.4
0.4
149.6
29.8
13.3
82
470
Dylan CoghlanVGK · D
14.6
4.3
10.3
101.1
1.1
65.1
87.9
30.9
82
471
Colin MillerWPG · D
18.4
4.3
14.0
101.0
3.4
127.3
67.4
43.5
82
472
Cam YorkPHI · D
26.4
5.6
20.8
101.0
5.1
52.8
160.8
34.0
82
473
Artyom LevshunovCHI · D
28.9
2.3
26.6
101.0
12.7
114.3
90.2
51.0
82
474
Parker KellyCOL · C
26.8
14.4
12.4
100.9
0.1
187.9
61.2
37.8
82
475
Logan MaillouxSTL · D
17.9
7.0
10.9
100.7
1.3
113.1
69.8
58.8
82
476
Jack McBainUTA · C
27.4
10.8
16.6
100.1
0.9
287.3
48.2
80.7
82
477
Noel AcciariPHI · C
22.1
11.0
11.1
99.9
0.1
147.8
89.3
30.2
82
478
Martin KautSJS · R
20.3
9.4
11.0
99.8
3.1
62.5
22.8
13.8
82
479
William CarrierCAR · L
20.2
7.8
12.3
99.8
0.1
249.5
26.1
25.7
82
480
Logan O'ConnorCOL · R
23.5
9.7
13.7
99.7
0.1
89.2
44.0
34.0
82
481
Joel EdmundsonLAK · D
21.1
3.7
17.3
99.6
1.4
114.6
119.8
29.5
82
482
Nick FolignoMIN · L
29.9
11.7
18.2
99.6
5.3
208.6
43.5
60.6
82
483
Joshua RoyUTA · R38 sample
19.3
11.3
8.0
99.4
0.5
68.9
52.4
18.1
82
484
Nick BlankenburgCOL · D
27.9
9.4
18.5
99.4
8.3
78.0
84.7
21.7
82
485
Yakov TreninMIN · C
20.9
7.6
13.3
99.3
0.2
336.9
38.2
44.3
82
486
Trent FredericEDM · C
17.3
8.6
8.7
99.3
1.1
215.6
35.1
66.8
82
487
Ondrej PalatNYI · L
24.7
9.9
14.8
99.3
3.2
133.8
65.5
18.2
82
488
Philip BrobergSTL · D
32.2
7.0
25.2
99.2
3.9
40.6
103.1
16.4
82
489
J.J. MoserTBL · D
27.9
6.3
21.5
99.0
2.1
68.9
106.1
53.0
82
490
Simon HolmstromNYI · R
40.8
19.3
21.6
98.9
4.1
20.9
50.3
13.7
82
491
Corey SchuenemanANA · D35 sample
14.6
4.5
10.1
98.6
2.5
48.3
127.0
15.0
82
492
Theo LindsteinSTL · D17 sample
20.3
9.9
10.4
98.3
0.5
42.0
67.5
29.5
82
493
Michael RasmussenDET · C
23.5
10.4
13.1
97.9
1.4
116.3
74.8
25.5
82
494
Tanner PearsonWPG · L
24.3
10.6
13.8
97.7
0.6
105.3
43.2
28.3
82
495
Calle RosenSTL · D
27.0
10.3
16.7
97.6
0.8
34.6
84.6
18.8
82
496
Ryan McLeodBUF · C
46.7
14.7
32.0
97.5
5.5
28.8
34.2
17.2
82
497
Berkly CattonSEA · C
21.4
8.8
12.6
97.4
2.6
11.3
37.7
38.5
82
498
Jason DickinsonEDM · C
25.8
12.1
13.6
97.4
0.5
123.2
69.4
34.0
82
499
Uvis BalinskisFLA · D
20.7
6.4
14.3
97.3
6.5
101.3
62.4
37.8
82
500
Matthew PoitrasBOS · C
30.5
8.3
22.2
97.2
1.0
32.7
33.0
28.5
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.