ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
251
Anthony CirelliTBL · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.2
2.4
2.5
1.8
3
252
Josh NorrisBUF · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.6
4.3
1.9
1.9
3
253
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D
2.2
0.4
1.7
5.2
0.7
4.8
5.7
3.1
3
254
Brendan GallagherVAN · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.2
0.2
3.5
1.0
1.7
3
255
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.2
0.3
4.7
1.2
1.0
3
256
Jackson LaCombeANA · D
1.9
0.4
1.5
5.2
0.5
2.8
4.9
0.9
3
257
Fabian LysellCOL · R12 sample
0.8
0.3
0.6
5.2
0.3
1.6
0.8
1.5
3
258
Cam DineenPHI · D38 sample
0.5
0.1
0.4
5.2
0.1
1.8
3.9
0.4
3
259
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
1.2
0.3
0.9
5.2
0.2
2.6
3.1
1.5
3
260
Michael CarconeUTA · L
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.1
0.1
4.8
0.7
1.2
3
261
Ilya MikheyevTBL · R
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.1
0.0
1.4
0.8
0.6
3
262
Marco KasperDET · C
0.9
0.5
0.5
5.1
0.1
6.6
1.9
1.3
3
263
Zach BensonBUF · L
1.6
0.6
1.1
5.1
0.2
1.9
1.2
3.3
3
264
Mike MathesonMTL · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.3
2.5
6.0
1.8
3
265
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
2.2
0.9
1.3
5.1
0.6
2.8
1.0
0.9
3
266
Pavol RegendaSJS · L
1.2
1.0
0.2
5.1
0.4
6.9
1.0
2.3
3
267
Aaron EkbladFLA · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.4
4.5
4.0
2.7
3
268
David PerronDET · L
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.1
0.5
4.3
0.9
1.7
3
269
Erik HaulaLAK · L
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.0
0.3
4.4
1.8
2.1
3
270
Brandon SaadVGK · L
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.0
0.1
0.8
0.9
0.6
3
271
Olen ZellwegerBUF · D
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.0
0.2
1.4
3.4
1.2
3
272
Matt SavoieEDM · C
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.0
0.2
0.7
1.4
0.9
3
273
Mike ReillyCAR · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
5.0
0.1
1.6
2.6
1.5
3
274
Brayden SchennNYI · C
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.0
0.3
6.7
1.7
2.6
3
275
Stefan NoesenNJD · R
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.0
0.4
4.3
1.0
2.2
3
276
Filip HallanderPIT · C16 sample
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.9
0.0
0.9
1.3
0.5
3
277
Pierre EngvallNYI · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.0
0.6
0.9
3
278
Charlie CoyleCBJ · C
1.8
0.7
1.1
4.9
0.4
4.3
2.1
0.8
3
279
Igor ChernyshovSJS · L28 sample
2.0
0.9
1.1
4.9
0.5
1.9
1.4
0.7
3
280
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
1.1
0.3
0.9
4.9
0.2
1.4
5.0
1.1
3
281
Miles WoodCBJ · L
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.9
0.0
4.0
1.1
2.4
3
282
Reilly SmithVGK · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.9
0.2
1.9
1.0
0.6
3
283
Nick PaulTOR · L
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.9
0.2
4.3
1.4
1.5
3
284
Filip HronekVAN · D
1.7
0.3
1.4
4.9
0.6
4.6
3.5
1.4
3
285
Nicholas RobertsonPIT · L
1.2
0.6
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
286
Scott LaughtonLAK · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.9
0.1
6.3
2.0
1.5
3
287
Mavrik BourqueNSH · C
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.9
0.2
3.1
1.0
0.7
3
288
Christian DvorakPHI · C
1.6
0.6
1.0
4.9
0.1
1.8
2.2
0.9
3
289
Trey Fix-WolanskyVAN · R26 sample
0.8
0.5
0.3
4.9
0.1
3.3
2.0
0.6
3
290
Drew O'ConnorVAN · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.0
2.8
1.4
1.4
3
291
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.8
0.0
3.9
6.8
0.8
3
292
Connor ZaryCGY · C
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.8
0.3
1.7
1.0
0.9
3
293
Sam RinzelCHI · D
0.9
0.2
0.6
4.8
0.1
2.8
3.3
2.2
3
294
Jaccob SlavinCAR · D
0.9
0.2
0.8
4.8
0.0
1.2
4.8
0.3
3
295
Ridly GreigOTT · C
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.8
0.2
4.6
2.0
2.9
3
296
Jamie BennDAL · L
1.8
0.7
1.1
4.8
0.4
4.7
1.5
2.6
3
297
Tommy NovakPIT · C
1.5
0.6
0.9
4.8
0.3
0.5
1.3
0.6
3
298
Josh MansonCOL · D
1.1
0.2
0.9
4.8
0.0
7.2
3.8
3.1
3
299
Ivan BarbashevVGK · L
2.0
0.8
1.2
4.8
0.2
6.8
1.4
0.8
3
300
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
4.8
0.0
4.8
3.4
1.3
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.