ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
301
0.9
0.1
0.8
4.3
0.1
4.6
4.4
1.4
3
302
1.1
0.4
0.8
4.2
0.1
2.1
4.3
1.5
3
303
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.3
0.3
3.5
1.6
1.0
3
304
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
3.4
4.9
1.9
3
305
1.4
0.6
0.8
3.9
0.3
1.0
1.6
0.7
3
306
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.1
0.5
4.3
0.9
1.7
3
307
1.6
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
1.6
0.9
1.2
3
308
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.5
0.1
1.8
6.4
0.7
3
309
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.5
0.2
1.1
1.4
0.7
3
310
0.9
0.1
0.8
2.5
0.0
5.8
4.2
1.9
3
311
1.5
0.7
0.8
3.6
0.1
0.8
1.8
0.5
3
312
2.1
1.3
0.8
8.4
0.8
1.0
1.2
0.8
3
313
1.6
0.8
0.8
5.6
0.4
4.1
1.6
2.5
3
314
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.8
0.2
4.6
2.0
2.9
3
315
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.8
0.4
0.8
3.9
1.3
3
316
1.6
0.8
0.8
5.8
0.2
2.7
1.3
0.4
3
317
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.6
0.1
2.5
3.9
1.9
3
318
1.0
0.2
0.8
2.9
0.5
1.2
2.1
1.6
3
319
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.5
0.3
2.8
1.1
1.6
3
320
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.4
0.3
1.1
1.0
0.8
3
321
1.5
0.7
0.8
7.6
0.2
7.0
1.2
4.2
3
322
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.9
0.2
1.1
2.2
1.0
3
323
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
6.3
5.9
3.5
3
324
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.0
0.3
4.4
1.8
2.1
3
325
1.0
0.2
0.8
4.1
0.0
1.1
6.3
0.9
3
326
0.9
0.2
0.8
4.8
0.0
1.2
4.8
0.3
3
327
1.0
0.3
0.8
6.5
0.1
5.8
6.0
3.3
3
328
1.4
0.6
0.8
5.4
0.4
7.6
2.8
1.0
3
329
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.5
0.4
1.6
1.4
2.0
3
330
0.9
0.1
0.8
1.8
0.2
1.5
3.0
0.8
3
331
1.6
0.8
0.8
7.4
0.1
6.1
2.1
2.0
3
332
1.1
0.4
0.8
3.3
0.1
3.0
1.2
1.1
3
333
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.7
0.2
1.9
5.9
1.2
3
334
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.1
0.2
1.9
2.6
0.2
3
335
1.3
0.6
0.8
4.2
0.1
3.8
1.5
1.3
3
336
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.0
0.3
0.3
1.5
0.8
3
337
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.9
0.2
1.9
1.0
0.6
3
338
1.0
0.3
0.8
5.7
0.0
6.6
6.6
1.9
3
339
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.2
0.0
4.1
2.3
1.2
3
340
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.6
0.2
1.7
1.2
0.6
3
341
1.2
0.5
0.8
3.8
0.1
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
342
1.7
0.9
0.8
7.4
0.7
3.2
1.5
0.6
3
343
0.8
0.1
0.8
3.3
0.1
1.6
5.0
0.7
3
344
1.3
0.6
0.8
3.7
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
3
345
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.3
2.9
5.4
0.6
3
346
0.9
0.1
0.7
2.8
0.0
3.4
5.2
2.0
3
347
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.3
0.0
1.6
2.4
1.4
3
348
1.1
0.3
0.7
3.0
0.2
3.5
1.2
1.1
3
349
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.5
0.1
2.7
2.4
1.2
3
350
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.3
6.5
1.8
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.