ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
601
Devon ToewsDevon ToewsCOL · D1.12×
43.0
8.0
35.0
143.7
3.4
46.7
109.5
29.4
82
602
Nick DeSimoneNick DeSimoneUTA · D1.00×
17.7
4.2
13.6
75.7
0.0
46.6
68.1
15.6
82
603
Connor McMichaelConnor McMichaelWSH · F1.10×
47.6
18.7
28.9
154.7
6.3
46.2
42.9
35.9
82
604
Ryan StromeRyan StromeCGY · F1.19×
38.7
12.1
26.6
119.4
6.6
46.2
27.4
67.7
82
605
Cale MakarCale MakarCOL · D1.12×
86.5
25.0
61.5
234.8
32.5
46.0
135.9
23.1
82
606
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · F1.08×
65.3
22.6
42.7
163.5
29.9
45.9
43.0
26.7
82
607
Connor ZaryConnor ZaryCGY · F1.00×
33.0
15.4
17.6
132.0
8.8
45.8
26.2
24.2
82
608
Frank NazarFrank NazarCHI · F1.12×
47.7
18.7
29.0
161.8
12.3
45.7
53.4
33.4
82
609
Sean MonahanSean MonahanCBJ · F1.04×
50.8
18.5
32.3
155.7
14.2
45.6
40.0
17.4
82
610
Shayne GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereCAR · D1.26×
59.8
13.9
45.9
150.8
29.2
45.6
83.2
39.8
82
611
Ryan McDonaghRyan McDonaghTBL · D1.35×
31.8
5.7
26.1
78.3
1.0
45.3
148.0
22.7
82
612
Alec RegulaAlec RegulaEDM · D0.88×
8.3
0.2
8.1
52.2
0.0
45.3
124.8
97.7
82
613
Daniil ButDaniil ButUTA · F29 gm
19.8
8.5
11.3
121.6
8.5
45.2
50.9
22.6
82
614
Mattias JanmarkMattias JanmarkEDM · F1.51×
18.0
4.6
13.4
59.5
0.0
45.2
30.1
37.4
82
615
Vincent IorioVincent IorioNYR · D37 gm
8.8
0.0
8.8
47.5
0.0
45.0
113.0
33.8
82
616
Gustav NyquistGustav NyquistWPG · F1.19×
34.1
9.6
24.5
112.9
8.8
45.0
34.3
15.7
82
617
Anze KopitarAnze KopitarLAK · F1.23×
58.5
18.9
39.6
123.8
18.6
45.0
73.7
10.8
82
618
Jake GuentzelJake GuentzelTBL · F1.25×
87.3
38.8
48.5
235.4
29.3
44.8
42.8
50.8
82
619
Brock NelsonBrock NelsonCOL · F1.14×
61.0
30.1
30.9
195.9
13.8
44.6
60.3
33.4
82
620
Mike ReillyMike ReillyCAR · D1.33×
21.4
3.3
18.1
136.3
1.8
44.5
71.5
42.3
82
621
Frederick GaudreauFrederick GaudreauSEA · F1.23×
30.7
11.8
18.8
102.2
4.9
44.3
60.8
11.5
82
622
Jeff SkinnerJeff SkinnerSJS · F1.35×
42.8
21.3
21.5
183.1
8.9
44.2
23.5
34.0
82
623
Connor BedardConnor BedardCHI · F0.94×
79.9
30.4
49.5
242.1
26.3
43.9
33.7
59.4
82
624
Evan BouchardEvan BouchardEDM · D1.27×
82.7
18.2
64.5
219.5
30.6
43.7
104.8
30.9
82
625
Adam WilsbyAdam WilsbyNSH · D1.21×
21.8
1.8
20.1
89.1
0.0
43.7
65.5
37.8
82
626
Barrett HaytonBarrett HaytonUTA · F1.15×
35.8
14.8
21.0
151.4
9.7
43.4
38.7
55.9
82
627
Ben HuttonBen HuttonVGK · D1.10×
20.4
6.8
13.6
108.1
0.4
43.2
90.6
28.7
82
628
Roman JosiRoman JosiNSH · D1.19×
69.0
17.2
51.8
238.7
29.2
43.0
136.2
36.6
82
629
Matt GrzelcykMatt GrzelcykCHI · D1.26×
22.9
1.0
21.9
88.0
6.3
42.9
81.5
32.0
82
630
Pavel BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichSTL · F1.34×
58.0
22.9
35.1
159.3
15.8
42.9
36.5
33.5
82
631
Alex VlasicAlex VlasicCHI · D1.20×
23.1
2.6
20.5
89.9
3.7
42.6
136.0
19.8
82
632
Michael CallahanMichael CallahanBOS · D22 gm
3.0
3.0
0.0
45.6
0.0
42.5
91.1
21.3
82
633
Jake SandersonJake SandersonOTT · D1.23×
57.3
13.2
44.1
178.5
25.1
42.4
160.5
14.0
82
634
Vince DunnVince DunnSEA · D1.15×
49.3
12.3
36.9
175.8
19.2
42.0
91.0
59.3
82
635
Ivan DemidovIvan DemidovMTL · F0.96×
57.3
17.6
39.6
129.9
20.4
41.6
28.3
31.4
82
636
Patrik LainePatrik LaineMTL · F1.10×
52.9
27.8
25.1
193.6
23.4
41.5
38.8
26.2
82
637
Adam FoxAdam FoxNYR · D1.28×
74.9
13.0
61.9
145.3
30.5
41.5
123.2
34.4
82
638
Nikita KucherovNikita KucherovTBL · F1.30×
129.8
40.6
89.2
266.6
44.1
41.4
31.4
49.3
82
639
Oliver MooreOliver MooreCHI · F1.09×
31.0
7.4
23.6
91.6
7.4
41.4
20.7
31.0
82
640
Max DomiMax DomiTOR · F1.55×
40.3
11.9
28.4
124.2
7.6
41.3
31.5
101.1
82
641
Ryan SheaRyan SheaPIT · D1.14×
28.1
5.3
22.8
65.7
0.4
41.3
95.9
23.5
82
642
Tom WillanderTom WillanderVAN · D1.67×
24.6
5.8
18.8
69.1
3.5
41.0
91.4
32.8
82
643
Dmitry SimashevDmitry SimashevUTA · D28 gm
2.9
0.0
2.9
76.2
0.0
41.0
82.0
67.3
82
644
Mikael BacklundMikael BacklundCGY · F1.20×
41.2
16.6
24.6
195.6
4.5
40.9
35.3
23.5
82
645
Matty BeniersMatty BeniersSEA · F1.05×
47.4
19.8
27.6
147.5
10.7
40.6
66.8
19.0
82
646
Gabe PerreaultGabe PerreaultNYR · F1.08×
43.0
19.1
23.9
120.2
9.6
40.6
35.8
15.9
82
647
Brett KulakBrett KulakCOL · D1.27×
18.1
3.3
14.8
102.1
0.1
40.3
114.3
33.2
82
648
Philip BrobergPhilip BrobergSTL · D1.25×
32.2
6.9
25.2
98.9
3.9
40.1
103.3
16.3
82
649
Matthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferNYI · D0.87×
59.0
23.0
36.0
222.0
18.0
40.0
111.0
38.0
82
650
Brock FaberBrock FaberMIN · D0.97×
46.3
13.8
32.5
159.4
11.1
39.8
144.4
36.1
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.