ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C5.33×
60.3
22.9
37.4
161.7
17.5
61.6
31.2
69.7
82
102
Ben ChiarotDET · D3.09×
16.1
5.0
11.2
109.1
0.4
159.3
157.9
69.7
82
103
Luke SchennVAN · D4.27×
11.0
1.8
9.3
76.3
0.1
287.1
102.0
69.6
82
104
Jack FinleySTL · C3.01×
9.8
3.9
5.9
50.6
0.2
138.3
17.7
69.4
82
105
Jake MiddletonCGY · D4.06×
19.8
4.4
15.4
81.5
0.1
114.9
151.4
69.3
82
106
Mason MarchmentSJS · L4.19×
52.3
22.4
29.9
154.5
9.5
126.0
34.6
69.2
82
107
Tyler MyersDAL · D4.32×
18.5
3.0
15.5
101.5
0.4
107.6
143.9
69.2
82
108
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ · L4.76×
44.3
22.8
21.5
154.1
11.4
111.7
43.5
68.8
82
109
Yanni GourdeTBL · C4.44×
33.5
9.9
23.6
118.6
1.1
131.3
41.1
68.8
82
110
Luke KuninFLA · C5.90×
17.2
8.8
8.4
93.0
1.3
179.1
68.6
68.3
82
111
Brandon HagelTBL · L3.57×
81.4
37.1
44.4
221.7
11.6
61.6
49.4
68.3
82
112
Nikita OkhotiukCGY · D4.40×
15.6
3.2
12.4
82.5
0.5
225.8
116.0
67.8
82
113
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L4.35×
54.2
23.5
30.7
190.9
10.7
146.9
47.4
67.6
82
114
Ryan StromeCGY · C4.74×
38.7
12.2
26.6
119.5
6.6
46.6
27.7
67.5
82
115
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L3.47×
19.4
7.1
12.4
86.2
0.8
162.2
53.9
67.3
82
116
Dakota JoshuaTOR · C4.28×
27.6
14.7
12.9
80.8
1.1
287.9
45.1
67.2
82
117
Colton DachEDM · C4.96×
18.5
6.4
12.2
79.5
2.2
295.2
38.0
67.0
82
118
Trent FredericEDM · C5.38×
17.3
8.6
8.7
99.3
1.1
215.6
35.1
66.8
82
119
Connor MurphyEDM · D2.51×
19.2
5.5
13.7
85.6
0.1
123.2
163.6
66.8
82
120
Kirby DachMTL · C2.55×
32.2
16.4
15.8
110.0
6.7
126.5
53.2
66.8
82
121
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR · D3.14×
35.5
7.3
28.2
118.6
8.1
104.8
78.9
66.7
82
122
Dmitri SimashevUTA · D28 sample
4.1
0.5
3.6
78.0
0.3
43.1
81.5
66.4
82
123
Hampus LindholmBOS · D2.24×
32.8
6.3
26.4
126.1
5.7
34.1
117.5
66.3
82
124
Cole SmithCHI · R5.10×
17.5
8.6
8.9
84.5
0.1
239.5
29.3
66.0
82
125
MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D5.13×
38.6
8.2
30.5
172.8
10.5
197.2
178.7
65.9
82
126
Nikita GrebenkinPHI · R12.72×
19.9
5.8
14.2
47.7
0.1
129.2
25.3
65.4
82
127
Brandon MontourSEA · D4.20×
43.3
14.9
28.4
221.4
13.2
98.9
97.7
65.3
82
128
Dakota MermisTOR · D8.16×
12.4
6.0
6.4
63.6
0.3
70.4
84.8
65.1
82
129
Miles WoodCBJ · L7.15×
22.7
11.6
11.1
134.0
0.4
108.4
31.2
65.0
82
130
Sean DurziNYR · D3.42×
37.0
7.8
29.2
119.9
8.7
55.7
139.1
64.1
82
131
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C3.29×
64.9
22.9
42.0
175.9
18.2
217.7
67.7
63.9
82
132
Matvei MichkovPHI · R2.99×
53.0
20.9
32.0
174.8
13.0
33.3
22.3
63.4
82
133
Michael EyssimontBOS · C4.43×
22.6
10.5
12.1
155.8
3.3
109.2
28.9
63.3
82
134
Ryan ReavesSJS · R4.49×
7.5
4.3
3.2
42.5
0.1
259.8
24.1
63.0
82
135
Pavol RegendaSJS · L5.35×
31.7
27.2
4.5
139.0
12.0
187.4
28.4
62.9
82
136
Nic DowdVGK · C3.42×
23.5
9.7
13.8
80.5
0.1
160.3
71.9
62.9
82
137
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D3.90×
40.3
12.2
28.1
166.8
10.7
38.6
163.3
62.8
82
138
David PastrnakBOS · R4.30×
104.4
38.5
65.9
311.9
30.6
84.4
30.9
62.6
82
139
Zack OstapchukSJS · C6.42×
8.6
4.3
4.4
54.7
0.1
182.3
38.2
62.1
82
140
Keaton MiddletonCOL · D2.54×
8.2
0.6
7.7
79.0
0.3
139.7
68.0
61.9
82
141
Alexander PetrovicFLA · D8.54×
13.6
3.2
10.4
80.9
0.1
142.9
106.2
61.8
82
142
Sam RinzelCHI · D3.67×
23.4
5.8
17.6
131.7
3.6
77.5
90.7
61.3
82
143
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D2.94×
55.0
23.0
32.0
214.6
16.8
66.3
121.8
60.9
82
144
Nick FolignoMIN · L3.71×
29.9
11.7
18.2
99.6
5.3
208.6
43.5
60.6
82
145
Nathan WalkerSTL · L4.69×
20.4
9.3
11.1
76.2
0.1
289.3
65.7
60.2
82
146
Avery HayesPIT · R16 sample
26.3
24.9
1.4
128.3
0.5
116.9
47.4
60.2
82
147
Ian ColeCHI · D3.11×
19.9
2.9
17.1
66.5
0.1
92.0
165.7
60.1
82
148
Stefan NoesenNJD · R5.49×
31.8
15.2
16.6
135.3
11.5
117.3
28.1
60.0
82
149
Travis HamonicDET · D4.25×
10.9
2.2
8.7
94.9
0.2
103.2
132.6
59.8
82
150
Connor BedardCHI · C3.54×
79.6
30.2
49.4
241.3
26.2
44.4
34.0
59.3
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.