ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by pim.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
251
Lawson CrouseLawson CrouseUTA · F3.96×
38.7
21.8
16.9
144.7
2.6
216.3
52.2
42.7
82
252
Matthew RobertsonMatthew RobertsonNYR · D1.51×
20.2
6.7
13.5
89.9
0.0
121.3
90.4
42.7
82
253
Justin FaulkJustin FaulkDET · D4.83×
40.5
11.6
28.9
154.9
10.3
90.4
132.0
42.5
82
254
Vladislav NamestnikovVladislav NamestnikovWPG · F5.08×
29.5
11.6
17.9
101.5
6.0
103.1
49.4
42.5
82
255
Alex KillornAlex KillornANA · F2.82×
40.0
18.7
21.3
150.6
8.3
76.6
28.5
42.4
82
256
Mike ReillyMike ReillyCAR · D2.05×
21.4
3.3
18.1
136.3
1.8
44.5
71.5
42.3
82
257
Brayden McNabbBrayden McNabbVGK · D5.41×
21.9
5.0
17.0
94.8
0.0
149.6
182.5
42.2
82
258
Scott LaughtonScott LaughtonLAK · F3.30×
29.4
14.2
15.3
133.4
2.4
171.9
55.9
42.2
82
259
Pierre-Olivier JosephPierre-Olivier JosephVAN · D4.04×
13.7
2.3
11.4
71.7
0.4
62.9
65.7
42.1
82
260
Sammy BlaisSammy BlaisMTL · F4.50×
24.5
8.2
16.3
67.2
0.2
295.5
40.3
42.0
82
261
Anton LundellAnton LundellFLA · F2.83×
50.5
19.0
31.5
168.3
11.0
93.3
50.1
42.0
82
262
Philippe MyersPhilippe MyersTOR · D2.18×
6.9
1.6
5.3
94.8
0.0
136.4
100.7
41.8
82
263
Adam LarssonAdam LarssonSEA · D2.95×
25.4
6.8
18.6
114.0
0.0
127.2
158.0
41.7
82
264
Zach HymanZach HymanEDM · F2.15×
66.3
40.0
26.3
240.9
17.9
120.0
29.4
41.6
82
265
Vladislav GavrikovVladislav GavrikovNYR · D2.40×
31.4
9.7
21.7
114.7
3.0
57.2
117.7
41.4
82
266
Dmitry OrlovDmitry OrlovSJS · D2.56×
34.2
4.8
29.4
110.7
10.7
126.5
76.6
41.4
82
267
Teddy BluegerTeddy BluegerVAN · F3.88×
31.2
11.8
19.4
105.7
0.8
114.0
45.0
41.4
82
268
Brady SkjeiBrady SkjeiNSH · D2.14×
32.2
7.3
25.0
141.1
6.2
70.5
86.1
41.3
82
269
Timo MeierTimo MeierNJD · F5.96×
53.2
28.2
25.0
276.6
13.4
147.0
58.7
41.2
82
270
Conor GarlandConor GarlandCBJ · F5.27×
43.7
16.7
27.0
170.4
11.4
51.5
41.6
41.2
82
271
Marshall WarrenMarshall WarrenNYI · D8 gm
30.8
0.0
30.8
71.8
0.0
71.8
51.3
41.0
82
272
Dylan DeMeloDylan DeMeloWPG · D1.72×
21.3
3.3
18.0
79.5
0.1
132.1
113.4
40.8
82
273
Macklin CelebriniMacklin CelebriniSJS · F1.99×
102.7
40.3
62.4
283.8
30.8
50.1
55.7
40.6
82
274
Josh MahuraJosh MahuraSEA · D4.39×
13.3
1.8
11.5
68.5
0.0
104.9
89.0
40.6
82
275
Nick BjugstadNick BjugstadNJD · F3.42×
22.2
11.8
10.3
128.9
1.4
142.6
42.9
40.6
82
276
Linus KarlssonLinus KarlssonVAN · F5.34×
33.9
14.7
19.2
116.8
4.5
86.9
23.6
40.6
82
277
Nicholas PaulNicholas PaulTBL · F4.26×
33.2
17.5
15.7
133.7
5.4
116.9
39.3
40.5
82
278
Jonathan ToewsJonathan ToewsWPG · F4.13×
31.0
12.0
19.0
109.0
8.8
17.4
33.7
40.4
82
279
Oskar SundqvistOskar SundqvistSTL · F3.43×
26.4
8.2
18.2
69.2
4.7
106.3
48.7
40.2
82
280
Tyson JostTyson JostNSH · F3.66×
19.1
8.8
10.3
106.8
0.1
81.0
36.8
40.2
82
281
Nathan MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonCOL · F3.87×
125.0
47.8
77.2
360.3
36.1
60.9
47.0
40.2
82
282
Tim StützleTim StützleOTT · F2.50×
80.4
29.3
51.1
191.8
29.0
133.6
45.0
40.2
82
283
Dante FabbroDante FabbroCBJ · D2.12×
18.0
6.4
11.6
88.2
0.1
77.3
142.3
40.1
82
284
Yan KuznetsovYan KuznetsovCGY · D5.11×
17.2
5.7
11.5
92.4
0.0
113.2
146.4
40.1
82
285
Jamie OleksiakJamie OleksiakSEA · D4.21×
16.8
4.7
12.2
81.3
0.0
111.8
135.0
40.0
82
286
Cole SillingerCole SillingerCBJ · F3.81×
34.1
10.2
23.9
146.2
1.8
111.1
49.2
39.9
82
287
Shayne GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereCAR · D4.18×
59.8
13.9
45.9
150.8
29.2
45.6
83.2
39.8
82
288
Mario FerraroMario FerraroSJS · D2.52×
20.8
5.8
15.0
94.0
0.1
143.2
154.3
39.8
82
289
Conor TimminsConor TimminsBUF · D2.04×
18.6
1.7
16.9
85.8
0.8
66.0
141.6
39.7
82
290
Rasmus RistolainenRasmus RistolainenPHI · D2.66×
25.4
3.6
21.7
118.7
2.5
127.0
119.8
39.5
82
291
Gustav ForslingGustav ForslingFLA · D3.98×
31.6
6.5
25.1
149.1
2.1
76.5
101.1
39.5
82
292
Jake WalmanJake WalmanEDM · D3.78×
36.2
10.7
25.6
162.3
4.6
55.4
161.7
39.5
82
293
Connor McDavidConnor McDavidEDM · F3.76×
133.3
41.1
92.3
290.8
49.1
65.9
34.3
39.5
82
294
Leon DraisaitlLeon DraisaitlEDM · F2.76×
120.8
47.9
72.9
241.7
46.9
51.1
28.9
39.4
82
295
Matt BoldyMatt BoldyMIN · F2.12×
83.0
38.6
44.5
273.6
27.1
64.8
58.2
39.4
82
296
Justin HryckowianJustin HryckowianDAL · F2.80×
28.9
12.8
16.0
82.0
4.6
132.8
45.8
39.4
82
297
Jansen HarkinsJansen HarkinsANA · F3.85×
12.2
4.9
7.3
69.6
0.0
182.7
43.4
39.1
82
298
Carter VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheFLA · F2.37×
62.7
27.5
35.2
223.2
15.2
85.3
25.5
39.0
82
299
Drew HellesonDrew HellesonANA · D4.52×
19.3
3.5
15.7
64.7
0.0
103.6
98.6
38.9
82
300
Evan RodriguesEvan RodriguesFLA · F1.92×
38.8
14.1
24.7
181.0
8.8
102.1
29.5
38.9
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-05.