ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
451
Jordan SpenceJordan SpenceOTT · D1.06×
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.9
0.1
2.7
2.7
0.8
3
452
Pontus HolmbergPontus HolmbergTBL · F0.97×
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.4
0.0
2.7
1.7
1.2
3
453
Danila YurovDanila YurovMIN · F1.19×
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.3
0.1
2.7
1.6
1.3
3
454
Alex KerfootAlex KerfootUTA · F1.08×
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.4
0.1
2.6
2.4
1.2
3
455
Brad LambertBrad LambertWPG · F31 gm
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.1
2.6
0.9
0.8
3
456
Arseny GritsyukArseny GritsyukNJD · F1.45×
1.4
0.6
0.8
6.8
0.2
2.6
0.8
1.2
3
457
Roope HintzRoope HintzDAL · F1.33×
2.5
1.0
1.5
6.8
0.9
2.6
1.5
1.1
3
458
Marshall WarrenMarshall WarrenNYI · D8 gm
1.1
0.0
1.1
2.6
0.0
2.6
1.9
1.5
3
459
Dylan GuentherDylan GuentherUTA · F0.95×
2.6
1.4
1.3
9.0
1.0
2.6
1.3
1.1
3
460
Henri JokiharjuHenri JokiharjuBOS · D1.13×
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.2
0.1
2.6
3.0
0.9
3
461
Adam HenriqueAdam HenriqueEDM · F1.67×
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.4
0.2
2.6
3.2
0.8
3
462
Kyle PalmieriKyle PalmieriNYI · F1.35×
1.9
0.9
1.0
7.3
0.5
2.6
1.5
1.0
3
463
Logan StankovenLogan StankovenCAR · F1.44×
1.7
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
2.6
1.0
0.8
3
464
Brady SkjeiBrady SkjeiNSH · D1.60×
1.2
0.3
0.9
5.2
0.2
2.6
3.1
1.5
3
465
Noah DobsonNoah DobsonMTL · D1.04×
1.7
0.4
1.3
6.6
0.4
2.6
6.3
1.2
3
466
Bowen ByramBowen ByramBUF · D1.20×
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.1
0.2
2.6
3.7
1.9
3
467
Adam GaudetteAdam GaudetteSJS · F1.03×
1.1
0.7
0.3
3.9
0.2
2.6
1.3
0.8
3
468
Nikolas MatinpaloNikolas MatinpaloOTT · D1.17×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.4
0.0
2.6
3.1
1.1
3
469
Taylor RaddyshTaylor RaddyshNYR · F1.23×
0.9
0.3
0.5
3.2
0.1
2.5
1.4
0.7
3
470
John KlingbergJohn KlingbergSJS · D1.13×
1.4
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.4
2.5
3.5
1.3
3
471
Anthony ManthaAnthony ManthaPIT · F1.45×
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.3
0.4
2.5
1.5
2.0
3
472
Tyler BertuzziTyler BertuzziCHI · F1.27×
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.9
0.7
2.5
1.1
1.8
3
473
Cole PerfettiCole PerfettiWPG · F1.36×
1.6
0.6
1.0
5.8
0.4
2.5
1.4
0.8
3
474
J.J. MoserJ.J. MoserTBL · D1.10×
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.6
0.1
2.5
3.9
1.9
3
475
Kevin HayesKevin HayesPIT · F1.54×
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.4
0.2
2.5
0.8
0.6
3
476
Tyler SeguinTyler SeguinDAL · F1.03×
2.1
0.9
1.1
5.9
0.4
2.5
0.8
0.8
3
477
Mike MathesonMike MathesonMTL · D1.26×
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.3
2.5
6.0
1.8
3
478
Jacob GaucherJacob GaucherPHI · F8 gm
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.8
0.0
2.5
1.0
0.0
3
479
Ian MooreIan MooreANA · D1.38×
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.1
0.0
2.5
3.3
1.0
3
480
Zakhar BardakovZakhar BardakovCOL · F0.90×
0.5
0.1
0.5
1.8
0.0
2.5
1.1
0.7
3
481
Cody CeciCody CeciLAK · D1.24×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
2.5
4.5
0.6
3
482
Tobias BjornfotTobias BjornfotFLA · D1.41×
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.0
0.0
2.5
3.2
0.4
3
483
Kevin FialaKevin FialaLAK · F1.19×
2.4
1.1
1.3
8.5
1.0
2.4
1.1
1.8
3
484
Albert JohanssonAlbert JohanssonDET · D1.22×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.3
0.0
2.4
3.6
0.8
3
485
Travis SanheimTravis SanheimPHI · D1.28×
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.2
0.1
2.4
5.8
1.2
3
486
Jakob ChychrunJakob ChychrunWSH · D1.15×
2.0
0.8
1.2
7.9
0.6
2.4
4.5
2.2
3
487
Conor TimminsConor TimminsBUF · D1.16×
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.1
0.0
2.4
5.2
1.4
3
488
Pavel MintyukovPavel MintyukovANA · D1.12×
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.4
0.1
2.4
4.3
0.8
3
489
Claude GirouxClaude GirouxOTT · F1.08×
1.9
0.6
1.3
5.6
0.6
2.4
1.1
0.8
3
490
Lars EllerLars EllerOTT · F1.40×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.7
0.0
2.4
1.5
0.9
3
491
Connor McDavidConnor McDavidEDM · F1.39×
4.9
1.5
3.4
10.6
1.8
2.4
1.3
1.4
3
492
Joel FarabeeJoel FarabeeCGY · F1.19×
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.5
0.1
2.4
1.9
1.2
3
493
Alex TurcotteAlex TurcotteLAK · F1.33×
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
2.4
1.6
0.9
3
494
Matthew KesselMatthew KesselSTL · D1.43×
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.0
0.0
2.4
3.0
1.0
3
495
Nick JensenNick JensenOTT · D1.25×
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.5
0.0
2.4
3.8
0.7
3
496
Joel HanleyJoel HanleyCGY · D1.05×
0.4
0.0
0.3
1.9
0.0
2.4
4.1
1.7
3
497
William EklundWilliam EklundSJS · F1.01×
2.0
0.6
1.4
6.2
0.6
2.4
2.0
1.2
3
498
Fedor SvechkovFedor SvechkovNSH · F1.00×
0.8
0.3
0.6
3.2
0.1
2.4
1.3
0.9
3
499
Mikko RantanenMikko RantanenDAL · F1.23×
3.6
1.2
2.3
7.9
1.4
2.4
1.8
3.2
3
500
Matt BoldyMatt BoldyMIN · F1.16×
3.0
1.4
1.6
10.0
1.0
2.4
2.1
1.4
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.