ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
Bowen ByramCHI · D3.27×
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.1
0.2
2.6
3.7
1.9
3
202
Porter MartonePHI · R19 sample
2.3
0.9
1.4
8.5
0.8
7.5
1.0
1.9
3
203
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L5.07×
2.0
0.7
1.3
5.4
0.7
2.1
1.8
1.9
3
204
Jake GuentzelTBL · C3.36×
3.2
1.4
1.8
8.6
1.1
1.6
1.6
1.9
3
205
Artyom LevshunovCHI · D2.05×
1.1
0.1
1.0
3.7
0.5
4.2
3.3
1.9
3
206
Dougie HamiltonNJD · D1.70×
1.7
0.5
1.2
8.3
0.6
3.4
3.3
1.9
3
207
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD · D3.29×
0.6
0.0
0.5
2.6
0.0
3.8
5.1
1.9
3
208
Tyson FoersterPHI · R4.69×
1.5
0.9
0.5
5.7
0.3
3.6
2.1
1.9
3
209
J.T. MillerNYR · C2.79×
2.8
0.9
1.9
6.5
1.0
6.5
1.8
1.8
3
210
Tyler KlevenOTT · D5.03×
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.0
5.0
3.9
1.8
3
211
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L4.27×
2.2
0.9
1.3
6.1
0.8
5.0
2.6
1.8
3
212
Moritz SeiderDET · D2.14×
1.9
0.3
1.6
6.2
0.9
6.1
6.7
1.8
3
213
Kiefer SherwoodSJS · L3.09×
1.4
0.8
0.6
6.2
0.3
14.5
1.2
1.8
3
214
Mason McTavishSTL · C2.73×
1.8
0.7
1.1
6.3
0.5
3.5
1.4
1.8
3
215
Dmitry KulikovFLA · D3.62×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.8
0.0
5.5
3.2
1.8
3
216
Nikita KucherovTBL · R3.85×
4.7
1.5
3.3
9.7
1.6
1.5
1.2
1.8
3
217
Tyler BertuzziCHI · L6.43×
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.9
0.7
2.5
1.1
1.8
3
218
Kevin FialaLAK · L2.70×
2.4
1.1
1.3
8.5
1.0
2.4
1.1
1.8
3
219
Ilya LyubushkinNSH · D3.92×
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.9
0.0
4.4
5.1
1.8
3
220
Mike MathesonMTL · D3.42×
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.3
2.5
6.0
1.8
3
221
Alexandre CarrierMTL · D2.44×
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.3
6.5
1.8
3
222
Tye KartyeNYR · L4.43×
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.0
8.3
1.6
1.8
3
223
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.9
0.1
3.3
1.7
1.8
3
224
Dylan LarkinDET · C4.28×
2.7
1.3
1.4
9.1
1.0
1.9
1.3
1.8
3
225
Michael BuntingNSH · L4.65×
1.6
0.7
0.9
5.6
0.5
2.3
0.9
1.8
3
226
Mathew BarzalNYI · C4.62×
2.6
0.7
1.9
7.3
0.7
1.4
1.9
1.8
3
227
Anthony CirelliTBL · C5.95×
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.2
2.4
2.5
1.8
3
228
Brett HowdenVGK · C4.12×
1.4
0.8
0.5
4.0
0.1
5.6
1.6
1.8
3
229
K'Andre MillerCAR · D3.48×
1.3
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.1
4.7
3.9
1.8
3
230
Quinton ByfieldLAK · R2.21×
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.5
0.4
2.9
1.4
1.8
3
231
Tony DeAngeloNYI · D6.05×
1.4
0.3
1.2
6.0
0.4
1.4
2.9
1.8
3
232
Nathan BastianDAL · R8.11×
0.6
0.3
0.2
2.6
0.0
7.3
1.2
1.8
3
233
Jackson BlakeCAR · R2.78×
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.1
0.4
1.0
1.3
1.8
3
234
David PerronDET · L3.82×
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.1
0.5
4.3
0.9
1.7
3
235
Jason ZuckerBUF · L5.99×
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.1
0.7
3.6
1.0
1.7
3
236
Robby FabbriSTL · C3.52×
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.4
0.2
4.6
1.5
1.7
3
237
Brendan GallagherVAN · R4.88×
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.2
0.2
3.5
1.0
1.7
3
238
Drew DoughtyLAK · D2.38×
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.3
2.9
3.8
1.7
3
239
Adam PelechNYI · D3.27×
0.8
0.1
0.7
4.6
0.0
3.0
4.7
1.7
3
240
Will BorgenBOS · D4.08×
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.0
4.0
1.7
3
241
Zach BogosianMIN · D6.06×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.7
0.0
3.8
2.9
1.7
3
242
Boone JennerWSH · C3.04×
1.8
0.8
1.1
6.8
0.2
6.2
3.0
1.7
3
243
Joel HanleyCGY · D4.03×
0.4
0.0
0.3
1.9
0.0
2.4
4.1
1.7
3
244
David JiricekPHI · D1.71×
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.2
0.0
1.5
2.4
1.7
3
245
Andrew MangiapaneCHI · L4.35×
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.8
0.1
3.1
1.3
1.7
3
246
Tim BerniCBJ · D1.69×
0.3
0.1
0.2
3.2
0.0
5.9
3.6
1.7
3
247
Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample
2.1
0.6
1.5
4.7
1.0
3.5
1.4
1.7
3
248
Sidney CrosbyPIT · C3.99×
3.3
1.3
2.0
8.2
1.0
2.8
1.5
1.7
3
249
Tage ThompsonBUF · C4.32×
3.0
1.5
1.4
10.1
0.9
3.1
1.5
1.7
3
250
Elias PetterssonVAN · D3.97×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.0
0.0
5.5
3.3
1.7
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.