ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
251
Casey MittelstadtBOS · C
1.7
0.6
1.2
3.9
0.4
1.2
1.0
0.7
3
252
Noah CatesPHI · L
1.5
0.6
0.9
4.5
0.2
3.7
2.0
1.0
3
253
Arseny GritsyukNJD · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
6.7
0.2
2.6
0.8
1.2
3
254
Justin SourdifWSH · C
1.3
0.6
0.8
4.2
0.1
3.8
1.5
1.3
3
255
Calum RitchieNYI · C
1.3
0.6
0.8
3.7
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
3
256
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.2
0.3
4.7
1.2
1.0
3
257
Darren RaddyshTOR · D
2.1
0.6
1.5
6.9
0.7
2.8
2.9
1.9
3
258
Alex SteevesBOS · C
1.0
0.6
0.5
3.8
0.2
9.8
1.7
2.1
3
259
Shane WrightSEA · C
1.3
0.6
0.7
3.8
0.3
2.0
2.4
0.5
3
260
Zach BensonBUF · L
1.6
0.6
1.1
5.1
0.2
1.9
1.2
3.3
3
261
Marcus JohanssonMIN · L
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.5
0.3
1.9
1.0
0.5
3
262
Connor BrownNJD · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.5
0.2
1.1
1.4
0.7
3
263
Kaapo KakkoSEA · R
1.6
0.6
1.0
4.0
0.3
1.8
0.8
0.9
3
264
Ethen FrankWSH · R
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.2
0.2
2.4
2.1
0.9
3
265
Robby FabbriSTL · C
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.4
0.2
4.6
1.5
1.7
3
266
Bobby BrinkMIN · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.3
0.3
3.5
1.6
1.0
3
267
Vasily PodkolzinEDM · R
1.2
0.6
0.7
4.5
0.1
8.9
1.8
2.1
3
268
Connor ZaryCGY · C
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.8
0.3
1.7
1.0
0.9
3
269
Fraser MintenBOS · C
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.1
0.1
5.5
1.8
0.7
3
270
Stefan NoesenNJD · R
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.0
0.4
4.3
1.0
2.2
3
271
Brandon MontourSEA · D
1.6
0.6
1.0
8.1
0.5
3.6
3.6
2.4
3
272
Christian DvorakPHI · C
1.6
0.6
1.0
4.9
0.1
1.8
2.2
0.9
3
273
Matias MaccelliNYI · L
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.6
3
274
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
2.4
0.5
1.9
7.1
0.9
1.0
3.0
1.1
3
275
Kevin HayesPIT · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.4
0.2
2.5
0.8
0.6
3
276
Dakota JoshuaTOR · C
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.0
0.0
10.5
1.6
2.5
3
277
Ryan McLeodBUF · C
1.7
0.5
1.2
3.6
0.2
1.1
1.3
0.6
3
278
Barrett HaytonUTA · C
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.5
0.4
1.6
1.4
2.0
3
279
Linus KarlssonVAN · C
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.3
0.2
3.2
0.9
1.5
3
280
Zachary BolducMTL · R
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.0
0.3
5.9
1.5
1.6
3
281
Cam LundSJS · C11 sample
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.5
0.3
2.2
0.8
1.1
3
282
Noah OstlundBUF · C
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.0
0.3
0.3
1.5
0.8
3
283
Dominic JamesTBL · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.1
0.1
4.1
1.0
0.5
3
284
Max SassonVAN · C
0.8
0.5
0.3
2.9
0.0
1.5
1.6
1.0
3
285
Erik HaulaLAK · L
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.0
0.3
4.4
1.8
2.1
3
286
Alexander WennbergSJS · C
1.7
0.5
1.1
3.4
0.4
1.3
3.2
0.7
3
287
Michael AmadioOTT · R
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.7
0.0
3.9
1.8
0.7
3
288
Anthony BeauvillierWSH · R
1.1
0.5
0.5
5.7
0.1
3.9
1.6
0.8
3
289
Ross ColtonNSH · C
1.2
0.5
0.7
6.0
0.1
6.9
1.4
1.2
3
290
Cole GuttmanLAK · C
1.0
0.5
0.5
5.5
0.3
1.4
1.7
0.8
3
291
Parker KellyCOL · C
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.7
0.0
6.9
2.2
1.4
3
292
Drew O'ConnorVAN · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.0
2.8
1.4
1.4
3
293
Marcus FolignoMIN · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
10.5
2.1
3.4
3
294
Joel ArmiaLAK · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.3
0.1
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
295
Scott LaughtonLAK · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.9
0.1
6.3
2.0
1.5
3
296
Sonny MilanoWSH · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
1.2
0.6
0.5
3
297
Kasperi KapanenEDM · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.0
4.9
1.0
1.0
3
298
Evan RodriguesNJD · C
1.4
0.5
0.9
6.6
0.3
3.7
1.1
1.4
3
299
Alexandre TexierMTL · L
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.1
0.1
3.2
1.0
1.3
3
300
John LeonardDET · L37 sample
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.1
0.4
2.9
2.4
0.1
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.