ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
551
Jake WalmanJake WalmanEDM · D1.21×
36.2
10.7
25.6
162.3
4.6
55.4
161.7
39.5
82
552
Sean DurziSean DurziUTA · D1.02×
37.0
7.7
29.3
119.8
8.7
55.3
139.8
64.3
82
553
Shane WrightShane WrightSEA · F1.17×
35.5
15.9
19.6
102.8
9.0
55.2
64.9
13.6
82
554
Jack QuinnJack QuinnBUF · F1.13×
48.1
18.6
29.6
170.2
12.2
55.1
24.3
17.1
82
555
Pius SuterPius SuterSTL · F1.15×
38.4
18.9
19.4
129.1
4.4
55.0
34.9
21.5
82
556
Jack DevineJack DevineFLA · F6 gm
0.0
0.0
0.0
82.0
0.0
54.7
0.0
27.3
82
557
Anton FrondellAnton FrondellCHI · F12 gm
61.5
20.5
41.0
246.0
13.7
54.7
88.8
27.3
82
558
Noah HanifinNoah HanifinVGK · D1.14×
36.3
6.4
29.9
151.6
8.3
54.5
130.6
16.6
82
559
Gavin BrindleyGavin BrindleyCOL · F0.97×
18.9
8.8
10.2
90.4
0.0
53.9
21.9
11.7
82
560
Mark ScheifeleMark ScheifeleWPG · F1.40×
92.8
36.2
56.6
178.2
22.8
53.9
49.8
51.8
82
561
Mark JankowskiMark JankowskiCAR · F1.12×
24.5
12.5
12.0
80.1
1.3
53.8
51.1
31.9
82
562
Vladislav KolyachonokVladislav KolyachonokDAL · D1.29×
18.5
5.6
13.0
60.3
0.0
53.5
78.4
23.8
82
563
Jaden SchwartzJaden SchwartzSEA · F1.12×
45.3
21.4
23.9
165.8
8.3
53.2
51.8
20.6
82
564
Jonatan BerggrenJonatan BerggrenSTL · F1.32×
32.0
13.4
18.6
96.7
5.4
53.0
22.4
17.6
82
565
Cam YorkCam YorkPHI · D1.06×
26.4
5.6
20.8
100.8
5.1
52.4
161.4
33.9
82
566
Marcus JohanssonMarcus JohanssonMIN · F1.36×
44.5
15.7
28.8
124.1
9.3
52.3
26.5
13.8
82
567
Sam MalinskiSam MalinskiCOL · D1.36×
31.5
7.2
24.3
150.6
1.2
52.1
102.5
19.7
82
568
Ryan PoehlingRyan PoehlingANA · F1.29×
36.4
13.8
22.6
103.1
1.7
51.6
90.3
14.7
82
569
Conor GarlandConor GarlandCBJ · F1.19×
43.7
16.7
27.0
170.4
11.4
51.5
41.6
41.2
82
570
Mitch MarnerMitch MarnerVGK · F1.56×
92.6
27.3
65.3
178.3
28.6
51.5
47.9
21.2
82
571
Hendrix LapierreHendrix LapierreWSH · F1.19×
21.0
5.1
15.9
62.1
0.6
51.3
30.2
27.5
82
572
Leon DraisaitlLeon DraisaitlEDM · F1.38×
120.8
47.9
72.9
241.7
46.9
51.1
28.9
39.4
82
573
Thomas HarleyThomas HarleyDAL · D1.15×
43.9
10.6
33.3
148.3
11.1
51.0
151.7
25.5
82
574
Reilly SmithReilly SmithVGK · F1.34×
37.4
16.8
20.6
133.6
4.3
50.9
27.6
15.1
82
575
Troy StecherTroy StecherTOR · D1.09×
13.9
3.4
10.4
79.3
0.0
50.7
96.4
31.6
82
576
John CarlsonJohn CarlsonANA · D1.19×
59.1
11.3
47.8
177.1
16.9
50.7
136.2
31.6
82
577
Zach BensonZach BensonBUF · F1.03×
45.2
15.8
29.4
139.4
5.8
50.6
32.1
89.2
82
578
Morgan RiellyMorgan RiellyTOR · D1.17×
44.3
10.3
34.0
150.4
11.3
50.5
128.7
28.2
82
579
Maxim ShabanovMaxim ShabanovNYI · F1.15×
33.5
9.3
24.2
104.4
9.3
50.3
29.8
3.7
82
580
Jack DruryJack DruryCOL · F1.06×
26.0
10.2
15.9
104.9
1.5
50.2
51.3
30.3
82
581
Dylan LarkinDylan LarkinDET · F1.33×
74.7
35.4
39.3
249.2
27.1
50.2
35.4
48.3
82
582
Macklin CelebriniMacklin CelebriniSJS · F1.20×
102.7
40.3
62.4
283.8
30.8
50.1
55.7
40.6
82
583
Ryan GreeneRyan GreeneCHI · F1.09×
29.0
12.0
17.0
109.5
4.0
50.0
38.5
14.0
82
584
Igor ChernyshovIgor ChernyshovSJS · F28 gm
55.6
26.4
29.3
134.7
14.7
49.8
38.1
17.6
82
585
Lenni HameenahoLenni HameenahoNJD · F33 gm
19.9
5.0
14.9
116.8
0.0
49.7
39.8
34.8
82
586
Esa LindellEsa LindellDAL · D1.10×
27.2
5.6
21.7
96.7
1.2
49.6
174.5
19.1
82
587
Nick PerbixNick PerbixNSH · D1.19×
17.7
4.0
13.8
79.7
0.0
49.5
93.2
21.0
82
588
Damon SeversonDamon SeversonCBJ · D1.18×
34.6
8.8
25.9
108.6
3.8
49.5
106.3
53.1
82
589
Corey PerryCorey PerryTBL · F1.15×
35.6
18.8
16.8
118.9
11.8
49.3
23.7
76.2
82
590
Evgenii DadonovEvgenii DadonovNJD · F1.07×
30.0
13.9
16.1
110.5
4.5
48.9
40.1
11.0
82
591
Christian DvorakChristian DvorakPHI · F1.15×
43.2
15.2
28.0
133.2
3.7
48.5
61.2
25.9
82
592
Isac LundestromIsac LundestromCBJ · F1.19×
16.1
5.5
10.6
65.5
0.5
47.7
52.7
6.4
82
593
Lucas RaymondLucas RaymondDET · F0.92×
75.3
26.2
49.1
177.8
27.9
47.6
29.9
22.4
82
594
Lassi ThomsonLassi ThomsonOTT · D30 gm
20.5
0.0
20.5
82.0
6.6
47.6
71.5
3.9
82
595
Kaapo KakkoKaapo KakkoSEA · F1.25×
43.8
15.7
28.1
110.2
7.5
47.4
21.3
24.1
82
596
Nils LundkvistNils LundkvistDAL · D1.03×
18.2
3.5
14.8
85.8
0.8
47.3
72.6
28.6
82
597
Jordan EberleJordan EberleSEA · F1.07×
54.3
23.4
30.8
166.6
14.4
47.2
40.5
26.9
82
598
Jack RoslovicJack RoslovicEDM · F1.17×
40.9
20.3
20.6
152.6
5.5
47.0
32.4
16.3
82
599
Jack EichelJack EichelVGK · F1.44×
94.0
27.4
66.7
270.8
31.2
47.0
62.6
23.0
82
600
Alex DeBrincatAlex DeBrincatDET · F1.25×
77.4
37.8
39.6
267.4
24.5
46.9
38.0
25.2
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.