ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
501
Ethen FrankEthen FrankWSH · F1.34×
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.2
0.2
2.4
2.1
0.8
3
502
Morgan FrostMorgan FrostCGY · F1.02×
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.3
0.5
2.4
1.8
0.9
3
503
Steven SantiniSteven SantiniTBL · D18 gm
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.2
0.0
2.4
2.1
0.5
3
504
Anthony CirelliAnthony CirelliTBL · F1.81×
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.2
2.4
2.5
1.8
3
505
Marat KhusnutdinovMarat KhusnutdinovBOS · F1.50×
1.0
0.4
0.5
2.5
0.0
2.4
1.7
0.7
3
506
Mark StoneMark StoneVGK · F1.53×
3.1
1.2
1.9
6.4
1.1
2.3
2.1
0.7
3
507
Brock BoeserBrock BoeserVAN · F1.22×
2.1
1.0
1.1
6.6
0.8
2.3
1.2
0.5
3
508
Marco RossiMarco RossiVAN · F1.17×
2.0
0.8
1.2
4.7
0.6
2.3
1.6
1.0
3
509
Alexander HoltzAlexander HoltzVGK · F1.40×
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.8
0.1
2.3
0.9
0.8
3
510
Brendan BrissonBrendan BrissonNYR · F27 gm
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.8
0.1
2.3
0.5
0.1
3
511
Alexandre CarrierAlexandre CarrierMTL · D1.12×
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.3
6.5
1.8
3
512
Calle JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokTOR · F1.16×
0.7
0.4
0.4
2.9
0.1
2.3
0.8
0.5
3
513
Pierre-Olivier JosephPierre-Olivier JosephVAN · D1.18×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
2.3
2.4
1.5
3
514
Mikhail SergachevMikhail SergachevUTA · D1.16×
2.2
0.4
1.8
5.6
0.9
2.3
5.3
1.6
3
515
Brian DumoulinBrian DumoulinLAK · D1.12×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
2.3
3.6
0.7
3
516
Michael BuntingMichael BuntingNSH · F1.21×
1.6
0.7
0.9
5.6
0.5
2.3
0.9
1.8
3
517
Jake ChristiansenJake ChristiansenCBJ · D1.15×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.2
0.0
2.3
2.4
0.5
3
518
Nazem KadriNazem KadriCOL · F1.20×
2.2
0.9
1.4
9.1
0.8
2.2
1.1
1.7
3
519
Thomas ChabotThomas ChabotOTT · D1.09×
1.6
0.4
1.3
6.1
0.4
2.2
5.6
1.2
3
520
Brandon HagelBrandon HagelTBL · F1.14×
3.0
1.4
1.6
8.1
0.4
2.2
1.8
2.5
3
521
Kirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoCBJ · F1.03×
2.5
1.1
1.4
8.1
0.8
2.2
1.6
1.0
3
522
Trevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasPHI · F1.40×
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.9
0.6
2.2
1.1
2.6
3
523
Cole CaufieldCole CaufieldMTL · F1.21×
2.8
1.5
1.3
9.4
1.0
2.2
0.8
0.5
3
524
Nathan MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonCOL · F1.20×
4.6
1.8
2.8
13.2
1.3
2.2
1.7
1.5
3
525
Taylor HallTaylor HallCAR · F1.05×
1.9
0.7
1.1
5.9
0.3
2.2
1.4
1.6
3
526
Shakir MukhamadullinShakir MukhamadullinSJS · D0.88×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.2
4.2
1.2
3
527
Kirill KaprizovKirill KaprizovMIN · F1.25×
3.6
1.7
1.9
10.3
1.3
2.2
1.4
1.2
3
528
Matthew WoodMatthew WoodNSH · F0.87×
1.2
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.3
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
529
Josh MorrisseyJosh MorrisseyWPG · D1.18×
2.2
0.5
1.7
6.1
0.7
2.2
4.4
1.2
3
530
Wyatt JohnstonWyatt JohnstonDAL · F1.37×
2.7
1.4
1.3
7.5
1.1
2.2
1.8
1.0
3
531
Jalen ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldCAR · D1.07×
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.1
0.0
2.2
2.9
1.4
3
532
Samuel GirardSamuel GirardPIT · D1.34×
1.0
0.1
0.8
3.0
0.1
2.2
3.8
0.9
3
533
Jonathan LekkerimäkiJonathan LekkerimäkiVAN · F37 gm
0.7
0.4
0.3
3.0
0.1
2.2
1.0
0.1
3
534
Cody GlassCody GlassNJD · F1.22×
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.6
0.1
2.1
1.7
1.3
3
535
Daemon HuntDaemon HuntMIN · D0.67×
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.8
0.0
2.1
4.2
0.4
3
536
Victor HedmanVictor HedmanTBL · D1.15×
2.3
0.4
1.9
6.2
0.9
2.1
4.5
1.4
3
537
Jonny BrodzinskiJonny BrodzinskiNYR · F1.49×
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.9
0.1
2.1
1.1
0.5
3
538
Jason RobertsonJason RobertsonDAL · F1.19×
3.3
1.5
1.8
9.7
1.3
2.1
1.4
0.9
3
539
Tyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSJS · F1.21×
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
2.1
1.0
0.5
3
540
Bryan RustBryan RustPIT · F1.10×
2.6
1.2
1.4
8.0
0.8
2.1
2.5
1.0
3
541
Vinnie HinostrozaVinnie HinostrozaFLA · F1.15×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.1
2.1
1.2
1.3
3
542
Vladislav GavrikovVladislav GavrikovNYR · D1.25×
1.1
0.3
0.8
4.2
0.1
2.1
4.3
1.5
3
543
Oscar Fisker MolgaardOscar Fisker MolgaardSEA · F13 gm
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.4
0.0
2.1
1.9
0.5
3
544
Jared McCannJared McCannSEA · F1.31×
2.3
1.1
1.2
7.3
0.7
2.1
1.4
0.8
3
545
Nico HischierNico HischierNJD · F1.37×
2.6
1.1
1.4
7.8
0.9
2.1
2.3
0.9
3
546
Philipp KurashevPhilipp KurashevSJS · F1.13×
1.4
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.2
2.0
1.2
0.9
3
547
Jonathan HuberdeauJonathan HuberdeauCGY · F1.14×
2.0
0.7
1.3
5.4
0.7
2.0
1.8
1.9
3
548
Wyatt KaiserWyatt KaiserCHI · D1.11×
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.0
3.4
1.2
3
549
Jake WalmanJake WalmanEDM · D1.21×
1.3
0.4
0.9
5.9
0.2
2.0
5.9
1.4
3
550
Kevin StenlundKevin StenlundUTA · F1.17×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.0
2.2
1.2
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.