ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pp points.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pp points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
1.3
0.2
1.1
4.0
0.4
4.6
2.8
1.5
3
202
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.0
0.4
5.4
1.7
2.5
3
203
1.4
0.3
1.1
6.3
0.4
7.2
6.5
2.4
3
204
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.3
0.4
2.5
1.5
1.9
3
205
1.5
0.5
1.0
6.1
0.4
1.4
6.0
2.3
3
206
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.4
0.4
1.5
2.4
0.7
3
207
2.1
0.9
1.3
7.0
0.4
3.0
1.7
0.7
3
208
1.5
0.4
1.1
5.7
0.4
3.3
4.8
1.6
3
209
2.1
1.0
1.2
7.2
0.4
3.3
1.3
0.8
3
210
1.6
0.4
1.3
6.1
0.4
2.3
5.6
1.2
3
211
1.6
0.6
1.0
5.7
0.4
2.5
1.4
0.8
3
212
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.1
0.4
0.5
1.3
0.8
3
213
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.1
0.4
1.0
1.3
1.8
3
214
1.8
0.7
1.1
4.9
0.4
4.3
2.1
0.8
3
215
2.4
1.2
1.2
7.7
0.4
3.3
3.5
1.9
3
216
1.4
0.3
1.2
6.0
0.4
1.4
2.9
1.8
3
217
1.3
0.4
0.9
3.9
0.4
3.0
1.7
1.0
3
218
2.2
0.9
1.2
6.9
0.4
6.7
1.9
0.9
3
219
1.6
0.7
0.8
4.2
0.4
6.4
1.7
1.9
3
220
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.5
0.4
2.9
1.4
1.8
3
221
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.4
4.5
4.0
2.7
3
222
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.6
0.4
1.4
1.5
1.1
3
223
1.7
0.6
1.2
3.9
0.4
1.2
1.0
0.7
3
224
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.5
0.4
1.6
1.4
2.0
3
225
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.0
0.4
3.7
1.3
1.1
3
226
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.8
0.4
0.8
3.9
1.3
3
227
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.8
0.4
1.5
2.3
0.7
3
228
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.4
0.3
1.1
1.0
0.8
3
229
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.0
0.3
6.7
1.7
2.6
3
230
1.9
0.8
1.1
5.7
0.3
4.6
1.3
2.5
3
231
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.5
0.3
4.7
1.9
1.1
3
232
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.4
0.3
1.5
1.3
0.6
3
233
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.5
0.3
1.9
1.0
0.5
3
234
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.6
0.3
1.0
0.8
0.4
3
235
1.2
0.3
0.9
3.8
0.3
1.9
1.1
0.2
3
236
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.3
2.9
3.8
1.7
3
237
1.6
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
1.6
0.9
1.2
3
238
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.6
3
239
1.3
0.6
0.7
3.8
0.3
2.0
2.4
0.5
3
240
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.0
0.3
0.7
1.3
1.5
3
241
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.1
0.3
1.7
1.3
0.6
3
242
1.7
0.8
0.8
7.5
0.3
4.1
1.5
1.7
3
243
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.2
0.3
1.2
1.8
0.8
3
244
1.5
0.6
0.9
4.8
0.3
0.5
1.3
0.6
3
245
1.4
0.5
0.9
6.6
0.3
3.7
1.1
1.4
3
246
0.6
0.4
0.2
2.4
0.3
4.5
0.9
0.9
3
247
1.4
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.3
2.0
5.1
2.4
3
248
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.6
0.3
2.7
1.4
0.7
3
249
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.8
0.3
1.7
1.0
0.9
3
250
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.1
0.3
1.4
4.0
0.8
3

No consistency figure for pp points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that pp points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.