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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
251
Tyson FoersterPHI · R
1.5
0.9
0.5
5.7
0.3
3.6
2.1
1.9
3
252
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI · C
1.4
0.6
0.9
3.9
0.1
5.4
2.3
0.5
3
253
Tony DeAngeloNYI · D
1.4
0.3
1.2
6.0
0.4
1.4
2.9
1.8
3
254
Kiefer SherwoodSJS · L
1.4
0.8
0.6
6.2
0.3
14.5
1.2
1.8
3
255
Alex BumpPHI · L23 sample
1.4
0.9
0.5
4.3
0.0
3.3
1.5
0.3
3
256
Cam FowlerSTL · D
1.4
0.3
1.2
3.7
0.4
0.6
3.3
0.6
3
257
Ryan StromeCGY · C
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.4
0.2
1.7
1.0
2.5
3
258
Ryan DonatoCHI · C
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.3
0.2
3.3
0.8
1.6
3
259
Lawson CrouseUTA · L
1.4
0.8
0.6
5.3
0.1
7.9
1.9
1.6
3
260
Evan RodriguesNJD · C
1.4
0.5
0.9
6.6
0.3
3.7
1.1
1.4
3
261
Alex NewhookMTL · C
1.4
0.8
0.7
4.5
0.2
3.3
1.3
1.1
3
262
Braeden BowmanVGK · R
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.1
0.2
1.1
1.3
0.7
3
263
MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
6.3
0.4
7.2
6.5
2.4
3
264
Arseny GritsyukNJD · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
6.7
0.2
2.6
0.8
1.2
3
265
James van RiemsdykDET · L
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.4
0.3
1.1
1.0
0.8
3
266
Andre BurakovskyOTT · L
1.4
0.5
0.9
4.1
0.4
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
267
Pius SuterSTL · C
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.7
0.2
2.0
1.3
0.8
3
268
Michael MisaSJS · C
1.4
0.6
0.8
3.9
0.3
1.0
1.6
0.7
3
269
Jordan StaalCAR · C
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.6
0.1
7.4
1.8
1.2
3
270
Mike MathesonMTL · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.3
2.5
6.0
1.8
3
271
Konsta HeleniusBUF · C13 sample
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.7
0.0
3.5
1.7
0.1
3
272
Reilly SmithVGK · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.9
0.2
1.9
1.0
0.6
3
273
Eeli TolvanenSEA · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
5.4
0.4
7.6
2.8
1.0
3
274
Bobby BrinkMIN · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.3
0.3
3.5
1.6
1.0
3
275
Kent JohnsonCBJ · C
1.4
0.5
0.8
4.7
0.3
0.5
1.4
0.8
3
276
Connor BrownNJD · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.5
0.2
1.1
1.4
0.7
3
277
Brandt ClarkeLAK · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.4
0.4
1.1
6.0
2.0
3
278
John KlingbergSJS · D
1.4
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.4
2.5
3.5
1.3
3
279
Aaron EkbladFLA · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.4
4.5
4.0
2.7
3
280
Brett HowdenVGK · C
1.4
0.8
0.5
4.0
0.1
5.6
1.6
1.8
3
281
Sean DurziNYR · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.3
2.0
5.1
2.4
3
282
Philipp KurashevSJS · C
1.4
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.2
2.1
1.2
0.9
3
283
Will CuylleNYR · L
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.4
0.2
10.7
2.0
2.1
3
284
Joel FarabeeCGY · L
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.5
0.1
2.4
1.9
1.2
3
285
Ilya MikheyevTBL · R
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.1
0.0
1.4
0.8
0.6
3
286
Justin SourdifWSH · C
1.3
0.6
0.8
4.2
0.1
3.8
1.5
1.3
3
287
Calum RitchieNYI · C
1.3
0.6
0.8
3.7
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
3
288
Jake WalmanEDM · D
1.3
0.4
0.9
5.9
0.2
2.0
5.9
1.4
3
289
Noah HanifinVGK · D
1.3
0.2
1.1
5.5
0.3
2.0
4.8
0.6
3
290
Ryan PoehlingANA · C
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.8
0.1
1.9
3.3
0.6
3
291
K'Andre MillerCAR · D
1.3
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.1
4.7
3.9
1.8
3
292
Yegor SharangovichCGY · C
1.3
0.7
0.6
5.6
0.3
0.7
1.3
0.4
3
293
Anthony DuclairNYI · L
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.2
0.3
1.2
1.8
0.8
3
294
Easton CowanTOR · R
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.3
3.3
1.5
2.0
3
295
Barrett HaytonUTA · C
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.5
0.4
1.6
1.4
2.0
3
296
Brent BurnsCOL · D
1.3
0.3
0.9
6.5
0.2
1.2
3.5
1.2
3
297
Corey PerryLAK · R
1.3
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.4
1.8
0.9
2.8
3
298
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR · D
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.3
0.3
3.8
2.9
2.4
3
299
Erik HaulaLAK · L
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.0
0.3
4.4
1.8
2.1
3
300
Phillip DanaultMTL · C
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.1
3.2
2.3
1.1
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.