ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
351
Lucas CondottaMTL · L11 sample
16.5
12.1
4.4
79.5
1.5
119.8
39.2
7.4
82
352
Jason DickinsonEDM · C
25.8
12.1
13.6
97.4
0.5
123.2
69.4
34.0
82
353
Jonathan ToewsWPG · C
31.1
12.0
19.1
109.2
8.8
18.2
34.1
40.4
82
354
Philip TomasinoOTT · R
31.3
12.0
19.2
126.3
8.8
74.0
38.2
17.7
82
355
Ryan GreeneCHI · C
29.1
12.0
17.1
109.8
4.0
50.6
38.9
14.3
82
356
Max DomiTOR · C
40.3
12.0
28.4
124.3
7.6
41.7
31.7
100.7
82
357
Braeden BowmanVGK · R
38.8
12.0
26.8
112.2
6.0
29.6
36.3
18.3
82
358
Eetu LuostarinenFLA · C
34.5
11.9
22.6
110.9
1.5
157.3
63.1
36.6
82
359
Gage GoncalvesTBL · C
34.5
11.9
22.7
86.3
2.9
99.6
31.3
36.4
82
360
Frederick GaudreauSEA · C
30.7
11.9
18.9
102.4
4.9
44.6
60.9
11.7
82
361
Riley TufteNJD · L28 sample
16.2
11.9
4.3
66.2
8.8
124.3
24.6
25.9
82
362
Nick BjugstadNJD · C
22.3
11.8
10.4
128.9
1.4
142.3
43.1
40.6
82
363
John KlingbergSJS · D
37.0
11.8
25.1
118.3
11.7
69.6
96.6
36.2
82
364
Jake EvansMTL · C
32.2
11.8
20.4
87.6
0.1
113.1
61.5
33.8
82
365
Jaroslav ChmelarNYR · R28 sample
18.3
11.8
6.5
69.5
0.3
153.3
47.6
32.5
82
366
Teddy BluegerTOR · C
31.2
11.8
19.4
105.9
0.8
113.9
45.2
41.4
82
367
Danton HeinenCBJ · L
28.1
11.7
16.3
95.5
1.3
91.2
41.6
28.4
82
368
Adam HenriqueEDM · C
28.8
11.7
17.1
120.3
5.6
71.3
87.2
22.2
82
369
Carl GrundstromPHI · R
20.1
11.7
8.4
116.6
0.4
237.1
32.0
31.9
82
370
Adam LowryWPG · C
30.4
11.7
18.7
102.5
0.7
184.8
59.5
43.6
82
371
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
26.4
11.7
14.7
68.3
1.2
64.5
45.5
19.6
82
372
Nick FolignoMIN · L
29.9
11.7
18.2
99.6
5.3
208.6
43.5
60.6
82
373
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG · C
29.6
11.7
17.9
101.7
6.0
103.1
49.5
42.4
82
374
Justin FaulkDET · D
40.5
11.6
28.8
154.8
10.3
90.4
131.6
42.4
82
375
Miles WoodCBJ · L
22.7
11.6
11.1
134.0
0.4
108.4
31.2
65.0
82
376
Justin DanforthBUF · R
27.0
11.6
15.4
112.3
0.9
145.3
61.1
27.6
82
377
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D
59.2
11.6
47.6
143.2
19.9
130.8
154.4
85.5
82
378
Jonathan LekkerimäkiVAN · R37 sample
20.4
11.6
8.8
83.8
3.5
60.6
27.8
4.7
82
379
James MalatestaCBJ · L13 sample
25.2
11.6
13.6
79.2
1.7
249.9
31.4
30.0
82
380
Cole ReinhardtFLA · L
19.7
11.6
8.1
68.4
0.1
178.0
21.3
34.8
82
381
Isak RosenWPG · R
20.5
11.6
9.0
79.8
5.8
37.0
41.8
0.9
82
382
Andrew CoppDET · C
41.4
11.5
29.9
118.0
6.2
37.4
59.3
22.4
82
383
Bowen ByramCHI · D
40.2
11.5
28.8
111.8
5.1
70.5
99.9
51.3
82
384
Paul CotterVAN · L
19.7
11.4
8.2
80.3
1.2
225.1
27.5
35.4
82
385
Jonny BrodzinskiWSH · C
25.5
11.4
14.1
106.0
2.1
59.0
30.4
14.9
82
386
John CarlsonTBL · D
59.0
11.3
47.7
176.8
16.8
51.0
135.7
31.6
82
387
Seth JonesFLA · D
45.7
11.3
34.4
159.3
20.8
102.9
123.0
31.4
82
388
Joshua RoyUTA · R38 sample
19.3
11.3
8.0
99.4
0.5
68.9
52.4
18.1
82
389
Mitchell ChaffeeNYI · R
18.6
11.3
7.4
77.6
3.1
189.2
33.1
24.2
82
390
Morgan BarronWPG · C
23.0
11.1
11.9
109.8
0.2
153.7
45.5
29.7
82
391
Dominik ShineDET · R27 sample
13.8
11.1
2.8
59.6
0.3
81.1
29.0
52.3
82
392
Blake LizottePIT · C
27.4
11.1
16.3
79.1
0.4
84.5
44.4
38.3
82
393
Simon NemecCGY · D
28.2
11.1
17.1
112.8
3.0
26.1
120.0
35.2
82
394
Noel AcciariPHI · C
22.1
11.0
11.1
99.9
0.1
147.8
89.3
30.2
82
395
Mikhail SergachevUTA · D
58.9
11.0
47.9
153.2
23.8
62.5
143.1
45.0
82
396
Stephen HallidayOTT · C30 sample
30.3
11.0
19.3
94.1
8.2
82.6
23.3
6.6
82
397
Elmer SoderblomPIT · L
21.3
11.0
10.3
105.1
0.1
140.7
26.6
27.9
82
398
Noah DobsonMTL · D
47.1
10.9
36.1
179.2
11.4
70.5
172.4
32.0
82
399
Jack McBainUTA · C
27.4
10.8
16.6
100.1
0.9
287.3
48.2
80.7
82
400
Alex Barré-BouletSJS · C
23.7
10.8
12.9
82.5
3.8
74.6
17.5
24.6
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.