ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
351
Teuvo TeravainenCHI · C
47.3
16.9
30.4
117.4
21.0
23.6
38.2
10.1
82
352
Lenni HameenahoNJD · R33 sample
20.4
5.2
15.2
117.2
0.2
51.2
40.6
34.9
82
353
Andrei KuzmenkoPIT · L
47.0
21.2
25.8
117.1
19.9
25.2
23.5
20.5
82
354
Linus KarlssonVAN · C
33.9
14.7
19.2
116.9
4.5
87.0
24.1
40.5
82
355
Bobby BrinkMIN · R
37.3
15.4
21.9
116.8
7.3
96.0
43.1
27.0
82
356
Carl GrundstromPHI · R
20.1
11.7
8.4
116.6
0.4
237.1
32.0
31.9
82
357
Joel ArmiaLAK · R
29.3
14.2
15.1
116.5
1.7
90.5
44.3
33.8
82
358
Justin BrazeauPIT · R
35.0
17.4
17.6
116.2
5.8
133.2
50.4
19.4
82
359
Collin GrafSJS · R
42.9
19.4
23.6
115.6
2.7
82.2
47.5
13.5
82
360
Travis SanheimPHI · D
34.7
10.2
24.5
115.5
2.7
66.4
156.8
32.0
82
361
Philipp KurashevSJS · C
36.8
13.5
23.3
115.5
6.6
56.5
33.2
25.7
82
362
Jacob MacDonaldWSH · D
17.6
9.7
7.9
115.4
5.8
97.0
50.5
43.9
82
363
Alexander RomanovNYI · D
20.2
4.2
15.9
115.3
0.1
182.1
181.3
29.5
82
364
Jake NeighboursSTL · L
43.0
20.1
22.9
115.0
10.2
175.7
46.8
51.6
82
365
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
31.5
9.7
21.8
114.8
3.1
57.5
117.4
41.4
82
366
Lane HutsonMTL · D
73.3
10.2
63.1
114.8
25.6
35.4
131.6
35.6
82
367
Anthony DuclairNYI · L
36.0
17.5
18.5
114.7
8.6
32.0
48.2
21.7
82
368
Easton CowanTOR · R
36.1
13.7
22.4
114.5
7.5
89.6
40.2
55.7
82
369
Matias MaccelliNYI · L
43.9
15.1
28.7
114.5
9.1
24.2
19.5
15.8
82
370
Nick LardisCHI · L
30.2
19.9
10.3
114.4
6.0
113.7
25.0
20.5
82
371
Adam LarssonSEA · D
25.5
6.8
18.7
114.2
0.1
127.0
157.4
41.7
82
372
Ethen FrankWSH · R
30.6
15.5
15.1
113.8
5.0
65.3
58.8
23.5
82
373
Mason ShawMIN · C
20.1
7.8
12.3
113.5
0.6
119.3
34.8
115.9
82
374
Justin SourdifWSH · C
36.7
16.0
20.7
113.5
3.2
102.7
42.2
36.3
82
375
Tristan LuneauANA · D14 sample
26.8
17.3
9.6
113.5
1.2
84.8
89.0
30.2
82
376
Mathieu OlivierCBJ · R
31.0
17.0
13.9
113.4
0.1
279.8
65.0
130.8
82
377
Adam SykoraNYR · L11 sample
30.5
21.7
8.8
113.4
0.7
145.1
74.0
37.5
82
378
Jalen ChatfieldCAR · D
21.0
4.9
16.1
113.3
0.1
59.6
80.4
36.9
82
379
Alexandre TexierMTL · L
33.0
14.1
18.9
113.2
1.9
88.4
26.2
34.2
82
380
Jared WrightLAK · R27 sample
13.1
0.5
12.6
113.0
0.3
103.2
58.0
13.1
82
381
Gustav NyquistWPG · R
34.1
9.7
24.5
113.0
8.8
45.4
34.5
15.9
82
382
Jonathan DrouinSTL · L
43.8
10.3
33.5
113.0
13.8
31.3
36.1
23.0
82
383
Andre BurakovskyOTT · L
38.3
12.4
25.9
113.0
11.1
26.2
33.6
17.0
82
384
Simon NemecCGY · D
28.2
11.1
17.1
112.8
3.0
26.1
120.0
35.2
82
385
Jonas BrodinMIN · D
26.6
5.7
20.9
112.6
1.2
29.6
170.9
25.3
82
386
Justin DanforthBUF · R
27.0
11.6
15.4
112.3
0.9
145.3
61.1
27.6
82
387
Noah GregorWPG · L
17.5
8.5
9.1
112.2
1.4
128.6
38.1
45.2
82
388
Braeden BowmanVGK · R
38.8
12.0
26.8
112.2
6.0
29.6
36.3
18.3
82
389
Alexander NikishinCAR · D
28.4
9.1
19.3
112.1
8.2
135.4
85.1
31.2
82
390
Fraser MintenBOS · C
31.0
15.2
15.7
112.1
2.9
150.3
49.8
17.9
82
391
Dominic JamesTBL · C
29.7
14.7
14.9
111.9
1.8
111.3
27.0
13.6
82
392
Bowen ByramCHI · D
40.2
11.5
28.8
111.8
5.1
70.5
99.9
51.3
82
393
Eetu LuostarinenFLA · C
34.5
11.9
22.6
110.9
1.5
157.3
63.1
36.6
82
394
Dmitry OrlovSJS · D
34.2
4.8
29.4
110.8
10.7
126.3
76.5
41.4
82
395
Evgenii DadonovNJD · L
30.0
13.9
16.1
110.7
4.5
49.4
40.3
11.3
82
396
Martin PospisilCGY · C
22.7
5.3
17.4
110.5
2.2
305.5
26.2
89.8
82
397
Zachary BolducMTL · R
33.2
14.8
18.4
110.4
7.5
162.4
42.1
44.8
82
398
Kaapo KakkoSEA · R
43.7
15.6
28.1
110.4
7.5
47.8
21.6
24.2
82
399
Kirby DachMTL · C
32.2
16.4
15.8
110.0
6.7
126.5
53.2
66.8
82
400
Zayne ParekhCGY · D38 sample
21.2
9.9
11.3
109.9
13.0
35.6
66.7
20.2
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.