ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
701
Zeev BuiumZeev BuiumVAN · D1.01×
1.0
0.2
0.8
2.9
0.5
1.1
2.1
1.6
3
702
Jonathan DrouinJonathan DrouinSTL · F1.19×
1.6
0.4
1.2
4.1
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.8
3
703
Sonny MilanoSonny MilanoWSH · F1.26×
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.5
3
704
J.T. CompherJ.T. CompherDET · F1.12×
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.9
0.2
1.1
2.2
1.0
3
705
Matthew PoitrasMatthew PoitrasBOS · F1.00×
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.5
0.0
1.1
1.2
1.0
3
706
Brett PesceBrett PesceNJD · D1.10×
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.1
5.8
1.0
3
707
Connor BrownConnor BrownNJD · F1.08×
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.5
0.2
1.1
1.4
0.6
3
708
Brandt ClarkeBrandt ClarkeLAK · D1.01×
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.5
0.4
1.1
6.0
2.0
3
709
Egor ZamulaEgor ZamulaCBJ · D1.06×
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.9
0.1
1.1
3.9
0.6
3
710
Jonas BrodinJonas BrodinMIN · D1.20×
1.0
0.2
0.8
4.1
0.0
1.1
6.3
0.9
3
711
Jacob BrysonJacob BrysonBUF · D1.20×
0.5
0.1
0.4
1.3
0.0
1.1
2.5
0.6
3
712
James van RiemsdykJames van RiemsdykDET · F1.29×
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.4
0.3
1.1
1.0
0.8
3
713
Jake BeanJake BeanCGY · D1.06×
0.5
0.1
0.3
3.3
0.0
1.1
3.5
1.3
3
714
Zach WerenskiZach WerenskiCBJ · D0.87×
3.0
0.8
2.2
10.3
0.8
1.0
4.3
0.9
3
715
Ryan McLeodRyan McLeodBUF · F1.24×
1.7
0.5
1.2
3.6
0.2
1.0
1.3
0.6
3
716
Oliver KapanenOliver KapanenMTL · F1.23×
1.2
0.7
0.5
4.3
0.1
1.0
2.2
0.8
3
717
Braeden BowmanBraeden BowmanVGK · F1.42×
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.1
0.2
1.0
1.3
0.7
3
718
Erik KarlssonErik KarlssonPIT · D1.10×
2.4
0.5
1.9
7.1
0.9
1.0
3.0
1.1
3
719
Scott MorrowScott MorrowNYR · D1.23×
0.7
0.0
0.7
3.0
0.1
1.0
3.0
0.4
3
720
Jordan KyrouJordan KyrouSTL · F1.37×
2.2
1.0
1.2
8.1
0.6
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
721
Lukas ReichelLukas ReichelBOS · F1.02×
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.1
0.1
1.0
1.4
0.6
3
722
Matt CoronatoMatt CoronatoCGY · F1.05×
1.7
0.7
0.9
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.0
1.1
3
723
Victor OlofssonVictor OlofssonCGY · F1.05×
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.6
0.3
1.0
0.8
0.3
3
724
Pavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevVGK · F1.09×
2.1
1.3
0.8
8.4
0.8
1.0
1.2
0.8
3
725
Jackson BlakeJackson BlakeCAR · F1.27×
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.1
0.4
1.0
1.3
1.8
3
726
Gabriel VilardiGabriel VilardiWPG · F1.11×
2.4
1.1
1.3
5.7
0.9
1.0
1.6
0.8
3
727
Luke EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaNSH · F1.08×
1.8
0.5
1.3
6.4
0.5
0.9
0.7
1.0
3
728
Andre BurakovskyAndre BurakovskyCHI · F0.96×
1.4
0.5
0.9
4.1
0.4
0.9
1.2
0.6
3
729
Leo CarlssonLeo CarlssonANA · F1.15×
2.4
1.0
1.4
7.1
0.6
0.9
1.3
1.0
3
730
Simon NemecSimon NemecNJD · D0.97×
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.1
0.9
4.4
1.3
3
731
Michael MisaMichael MisaSJS · F1.44×
1.4
0.6
0.8
3.9
0.3
0.9
1.5
0.7
3
732
Andrei KuzmenkoAndrei KuzmenkoLAK · F1.09×
1.7
0.8
0.9
4.3
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.7
3
733
Matvei GridinMatvei GridinCGY · F37 gm
1.6
0.5
1.1
5.7
0.6
0.9
2.3
0.2
3
734
Brayden PointBrayden PointTBL · F1.29×
2.7
1.3
1.4
7.0
0.8
0.9
1.4
0.6
3
735
JJ PeterkaJJ PeterkaUTA · F1.17×
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
1.1
3
736
Calum RitchieCalum RitchieNYI · F1.32×
1.3
0.6
0.7
3.7
0.5
0.9
1.5
1.0
3
737
Matias MaccelliMatias MaccelliTOR · F1.07×
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.6
3
738
Kevin KorchinskiKevin KorchinskiCHI · D0.89×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.8
0.1
0.9
3.0
1.0
3
739
Nate DanielsonNate DanielsonDET · F28 gm
0.8
0.2
0.5
3.3
0.3
0.9
1.0
0.4
3
740
Teuvo TeravainenTeuvo TeravainenCHI · F1.08×
1.7
0.6
1.1
4.3
0.8
0.8
1.4
0.4
3
741
Nick SchmaltzNick SchmaltzUTA · F1.18×
2.5
1.0
1.5
7.0
0.7
0.8
1.8
0.8
3
742
Patrick KanePatrick KaneDET · F1.00×
2.6
0.8
1.8
7.9
1.0
0.8
1.0
0.7
3
743
Jamie DrysdaleJamie DrysdalePHI · D1.00×
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.8
0.4
0.8
3.9
1.3
3
744
Luke HughesLuke HughesNJD · D0.99×
1.7
0.3
1.4
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.3
1.1
3
745
Joel NystromJoel NystromCAR · D38 gm
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.4
0.0
0.8
1.7
0.5
3
746
Ryan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyNSH · F1.14×
2.5
0.9
1.6
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
747
Brandon SaadBrandon SaadVGK · F1.10×
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.0
0.1
0.8
0.9
0.6
3
748
Simon HolmstromSimon HolmstromNYI · F1.05×
1.5
0.7
0.8
3.6
0.1
0.8
1.8
0.5
3
749
Axel Sandin PellikkaAxel Sandin PellikkaDET · D1.00×
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.0
0.3
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
750
William NylanderWilliam NylanderTOR · F1.07×
3.4
1.5
1.9
8.8
1.1
0.7
1.1
0.8
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.