ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
Morgan FrostCGY · C
41.8
18.6
23.2
144.1
14.3
64.8
48.7
25.9
82
202
Will CuylleNYR · L
36.8
18.6
18.2
148.3
5.6
291.3
56.1
57.2
82
203
Konsta HeleniusBUF · C13 sample
37.8
18.6
19.3
155.7
0.6
95.0
45.8
2.9
82
204
Alex LaferriereLAK · R
42.2
18.5
23.7
200.3
4.8
207.7
45.7
22.4
82
205
Jack QuinnBUF · R
48.0
18.5
29.5
169.9
12.2
55.4
24.6
17.2
82
206
David PerronDET · L
40.2
18.5
21.6
138.4
13.3
118.9
26.0
47.6
82
207
Sean MonahanCBJ · C
50.7
18.4
32.2
155.5
14.2
46.0
40.2
17.6
82
208
Jamie BennDAL · L
49.1
18.3
30.8
130.2
12.1
127.5
41.3
71.0
82
209
Filip ChytilVAN · C
35.2
18.3
17.0
182.2
4.5
34.0
28.2
29.6
82
210
Bradly NadeauCAR · L15 sample
22.8
18.3
4.5
105.5
6.3
133.7
37.8
14.3
82
211
Evan BouchardEDM · D
82.5
18.2
64.3
219.0
30.5
44.0
104.5
31.0
82
212
Oliver KapanenMTL · C
31.8
18.1
13.7
118.4
1.3
29.1
61.0
20.8
82
213
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH · C
55.6
18.1
37.5
146.0
14.1
84.7
48.6
75.2
82
214
Michael BuntingNSH · L
42.3
17.9
24.4
153.6
13.9
62.0
24.3
48.3
82
215
Joel FarabeeCGY · L
36.5
17.7
18.8
150.4
3.8
66.0
51.0
32.6
82
216
Ivan DemidovMTL · R
57.1
17.6
39.5
129.9
20.3
42.1
28.6
31.5
82
217
Warren FoegeleOTT · L
30.9
17.6
13.3
160.9
1.6
94.9
29.3
28.7
82
218
Anthony DuclairNYI · L
36.0
17.5
18.5
114.7
8.6
32.0
48.2
21.7
82
219
Nick PaulTOR · L
33.2
17.4
15.8
133.6
5.4
116.8
39.5
40.5
82
220
Justin BrazeauPIT · R
35.0
17.4
17.6
116.2
5.8
133.2
50.4
19.4
82
221
Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample
57.2
17.3
39.8
128.9
27.9
94.2
37.3
46.4
82
222
Nicholas RobertsonPIT · L
32.0
17.3
14.7
133.5
3.6
80.2
38.6
14.0
82
223
Tristan LuneauANA · D14 sample
26.8
17.3
9.6
113.5
1.2
84.8
89.0
30.2
82
224
Roman JosiNSH · D
68.8
17.1
51.6
237.8
29.1
43.4
135.7
36.6
82
225
Mavrik BourqueNSH · C
35.3
17.1
18.2
133.5
4.3
84.1
28.2
20.3
82
226
Fabian ZetterlundOTT · L
34.6
17.0
17.6
153.4
8.1
146.9
48.2
18.0
82
227
Mathieu OlivierCBJ · R
31.0
17.0
13.9
113.4
0.1
279.8
65.0
130.8
82
228
Seamus CaseyNJD · D17 sample
34.8
16.9
17.9
90.5
12.5
52.5
49.4
3.8
82
229
Teuvo TeravainenCHI · C
47.3
16.9
30.4
117.4
21.0
23.6
38.2
10.1
82
230
James van RiemsdykDET · L
38.3
16.9
21.4
121.0
9.5
29.3
27.6
20.9
82
231
Michael CarconeUTA · L
31.3
16.9
14.5
140.1
3.4
131.0
18.7
32.2
82
232
Reilly SmithVGK · R
37.4
16.8
20.6
133.6
4.3
51.2
27.9
15.3
82
233
Tommy NovakPIT · C
41.5
16.8
24.7
130.0
8.8
14.8
34.9
16.9
82
234
Ben KindelPIT · C
34.6
16.8
17.9
157.7
9.9
40.3
63.3
18.1
82
235
Victor OlofssonVGK · R
35.5
16.7
18.8
152.6
9.3
27.8
22.0
9.7
82
236
Conor GarlandCBJ · R
43.6
16.7
27.0
170.1
11.4
51.9
41.7
41.1
82
237
Mikael BacklundCGY · C
41.2
16.6
24.6
195.2
4.6
41.3
35.5
23.6
82
238
Cody GlassNJD · C
29.4
16.6
12.8
124.8
2.9
59.1
45.6
36.5
82
239
Eeli TolvanenSEA · R
37.6
16.5
21.1
147.5
11.0
206.6
76.7
27.5
82
240
Cole PerfettiWPG · C
42.8
16.5
26.3
157.0
10.4
69.0
39.2
21.1
82
241
William EklundOTT · L
55.6
16.5
39.2
169.7
16.8
65.5
55.3
32.6
82
242
Oliver BjorkstrandNYR · R
40.7
16.4
24.3
153.4
14.6
83.1
36.7
15.9
82
243
Claude GirouxOTT · R
52.9
16.4
36.5
152.6
15.9
66.0
31.6
21.6
82
244
Kirby DachMTL · C
32.2
16.4
15.8
110.0
6.7
126.5
53.2
66.8
82
245
Michael MisaSJS · C
38.3
16.4
21.9
106.2
7.3
27.1
42.5
18.7
82
246
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI · C
39.7
16.3
23.4
105.6
3.4
147.9
61.7
12.5
82
247
Matt SavoieEDM · C
35.0
16.3
18.7
137.1
6.4
17.7
38.0
23.8
82
248
Chandler StephensonSEA · C
53.1
16.2
37.0
95.5
16.4
36.2
53.9
22.5
82
249
Calum RitchieNYI · C
36.5
16.1
20.4
101.6
13.1
25.0
42.3
26.5
82
250
Arseny GritsyukNJD · R
38.5
16.1
22.4
184.3
6.2
72.5
23.0
32.4
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.