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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
301
Ivan BarbashevVGK · L
55.4
22.2
33.2
129.7
4.7
184.6
39.5
22.5
82
302
Kent JohnsonCBJ · C
37.4
14.1
23.3
129.7
7.0
13.9
38.0
20.4
82
303
Pius SuterSTL · C
38.4
18.9
19.5
129.1
4.4
55.4
35.2
21.7
82
304
Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample
57.2
17.3
39.8
128.9
27.9
94.2
37.3
46.4
82
305
Nick BjugstadNJD · C
22.3
11.8
10.4
128.9
1.4
142.3
43.1
40.6
82
306
Avery HayesPIT · R16 sample
26.3
24.9
1.4
128.3
0.5
116.9
47.4
60.2
82
307
Jordan MartinookCAR · L
31.8
12.8
19.1
127.8
0.0
118.0
51.2
37.2
82
308
Marco RossiVAN · C
53.6
21.1
32.4
127.7
16.7
64.1
44.0
27.4
82
309
Vinni LettieriTOR · C
17.4
9.6
7.7
126.7
1.2
140.9
49.5
29.3
82
310
Philip TomasinoOTT · R
31.3
12.0
19.2
126.3
8.8
74.0
38.2
17.7
82
311
Hampus LindholmBOS · D
32.8
6.3
26.4
126.1
5.7
34.1
117.5
66.3
82
312
Adam PelechNYI · D
20.8
3.2
17.7
125.1
0.3
81.9
128.0
47.1
82
313
Cody GlassNJD · C
29.4
16.6
12.8
124.8
2.9
59.1
45.6
36.5
82
314
Jordan StaalCAR · C
38.1
19.0
19.0
124.7
3.9
202.1
48.6
32.9
82
315
Rutger McGroartyPIT · R32 sample
22.5
10.4
12.1
124.7
0.3
94.0
32.0
12.7
82
316
Max DomiTOR · C
40.3
12.0
28.4
124.3
7.6
41.7
31.7
100.7
82
317
Vasily PodkolzinEDM · R
33.3
15.3
18.1
124.2
1.7
242.6
48.7
57.7
82
318
Marcus JohanssonMIN · L
44.4
15.7
28.7
124.2
9.3
52.6
26.7
13.9
82
319
Michael KesselringSJS · D
19.6
4.3
15.3
123.9
1.4
84.9
76.4
97.5
82
320
Anze KopitarLAK · C
58.4
18.9
39.5
123.8
18.5
45.3
73.7
10.9
82
321
Connor BrownNJD · R
37.2
15.6
21.6
123.0
4.6
30.1
38.8
17.6
82
322
Noah CatesPHI · L
41.9
16.1
25.8
123.0
6.7
100.3
54.2
28.0
82
323
Dillon DubeSTL · C
29.3
12.7
16.6
122.4
3.1
102.5
27.2
28.8
82
324
Alex NewhookMTL · C
38.8
20.9
17.9
122.4
5.0
89.0
36.3
29.8
82
325
Alex IafalloWPG · L
30.5
13.7
16.8
121.9
6.7
96.4
60.3
16.4
82
326
Daniil ButUTA · L29 sample
20.4
8.7
11.7
121.9
8.5
47.1
51.5
23.2
82
327
Owen PowerBUF · D
34.1
6.9
27.2
121.5
2.8
33.5
100.7
17.3
82
328
Kasperi KapanenEDM · R
31.2
14.2
16.9
121.3
0.8
133.9
28.1
26.4
82
329
Robby FabbriSTL · C
30.6
15.2
15.3
121.1
5.5
126.6
41.8
47.5
82
330
Drew DoughtyLAK · D
35.3
8.5
26.8
121.0
8.9
80.0
104.8
47.0
82
331
James van RiemsdykDET · L
38.3
16.9
21.4
121.0
9.5
29.3
27.6
20.9
82
332
Gabe PerreaultNYR · R
42.9
19.0
23.9
120.4
9.5
41.8
36.4
16.4
82
333
Josh AndersonMTL · R
27.2
16.0
11.1
120.4
0.6
169.7
46.1
101.4
82
334
Adam HenriqueEDM · C
28.8
11.7
17.1
120.3
5.6
71.3
87.2
22.2
82
335
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
30.1
13.0
17.1
120.1
8.0
130.6
41.3
6.4
82
336
Sean DurziNYR · D
37.0
7.8
29.2
119.9
8.7
55.7
139.1
64.1
82
337
K'Andre MillerCAR · D
36.5
7.5
28.9
119.6
3.1
129.4
106.6
48.3
82
338
Ryan StromeCGY · C
38.7
12.2
26.6
119.5
6.6
46.6
27.7
67.5
82
339
Corey PerryLAK · R
35.6
18.8
16.9
119.0
11.8
49.6
23.9
76.0
82
340
Rasmus RistolainenPHI · D
25.5
3.8
21.8
118.8
2.5
126.8
119.3
39.5
82
341
Matthew WoodNSH · R
33.9
18.8
15.1
118.7
8.9
60.4
29.3
16.9
82
342
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR · D
35.5
7.3
28.2
118.6
8.1
104.8
78.9
66.7
82
343
Yanni GourdeTBL · C
33.5
9.9
23.6
118.6
1.1
131.3
41.1
68.8
82
344
Oliver KapanenMTL · C
31.8
18.1
13.7
118.4
1.3
29.1
61.0
20.8
82
345
John KlingbergSJS · D
37.0
11.8
25.1
118.3
11.7
69.6
96.6
36.2
82
346
Phillip DanaultMTL · C
35.5
10.2
25.3
118.2
3.2
86.8
61.8
30.4
82
347
Alex BumpPHI · L23 sample
39.1
24.5
14.7
118.2
0.3
89.6
40.4
8.5
82
348
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET · R14 sample
8.0
0.9
7.0
118.0
0.5
241.8
20.9
13.6
82
349
Andrew CoppDET · C
41.4
11.5
29.9
118.0
6.2
37.4
59.3
22.4
82
350
Brett PesceNJD · D
20.1
3.5
16.6
117.6
0.6
30.7
156.7
27.3
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.