ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
1.1
0.8
0.3
4.2
0.0
5.3
2.7
1.4
3
152
1.6
0.8
0.9
6.1
0.3
2.0
1.9
0.8
3
153
1.6
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
1.6
0.9
1.2
3
154
1.7
0.8
0.9
4.3
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.8
3
155
1.8
0.8
1.0
5.8
0.4
2.8
1.4
0.4
3
156
2.0
0.8
1.2
4.7
0.6
2.4
1.6
1.0
3
157
1.6
0.8
0.8
5.8
0.2
2.7
1.3
0.4
3
158
1.9
0.8
1.2
6.4
0.5
1.2
0.8
2.3
3
159
2.6
0.8
1.9
6.5
1.0
1.3
1.7
1.0
3
160
1.4
0.8
0.7
4.5
0.2
3.3
1.3
1.1
3
161
1.8
0.8
1.1
6.8
0.2
6.2
3.0
1.7
3
162
1.8
0.8
1.1
6.2
0.3
1.4
2.2
0.6
3
163
2.0
0.7
1.2
5.6
0.7
3.3
2.5
1.1
3
164
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.6
0.2
1.7
1.2
0.6
3
165
1.6
0.7
0.8
4.2
0.4
6.4
1.7
1.9
3
166
1.5
0.7
0.7
5.5
0.3
1.4
1.8
1.0
3
167
1.9
0.7
1.1
5.9
0.3
2.2
1.4
1.6
3
168
2.0
0.7
1.3
5.4
0.7
2.1
1.8
1.9
3
169
2.8
0.7
2.0
8.1
0.9
3.8
3.8
2.9
3
170
1.1
0.7
0.4
4.2
0.2
4.2
0.9
0.8
3
171
1.6
0.7
0.9
6.0
0.5
5.0
1.1
1.9
3
172
2.2
0.7
1.4
8.7
0.5
2.1
3.2
1.0
3
173
2.6
0.7
1.9
7.3
0.7
1.4
1.9
1.8
3
174
1.1
0.7
0.3
3.9
0.2
2.6
1.3
0.8
3
175
0.9
0.7
0.1
3.5
0.1
5.2
1.2
0.7
3
176
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.4
0.4
1.5
2.4
0.7
3
177
1.7
0.7
0.9
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.0
1.1
3
178
1.8
0.7
1.1
6.3
0.5
3.5
1.4
1.8
3
179
1.2
0.7
0.5
6.0
0.0
2.1
2.1
0.9
3
180
1.5
0.7
0.8
7.6
0.2
7.0
1.2
4.2
3
181
1.5
0.7
0.8
3.6
0.1
0.8
1.8
0.5
3
182
1.1
0.7
0.3
5.3
0.2
8.8
1.8
0.7
3
183
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.2
0.1
3.0
1.7
0.5
3
184
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.6
0.1
7.4
1.8
1.2
3
185
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.0
0.3
6.7
1.7
2.6
3
186
1.6
0.7
0.9
7.2
0.1
3.0
1.6
0.6
3
187
1.9
0.7
1.1
6.2
0.4
3.4
1.8
1.5
3
188
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.4
0.3
1.5
1.3
0.6
3
189
1.3
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.4
1.8
0.9
2.8
3
190
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.5
0.7
1.7
2.7
0.4
3
191
1.8
0.7
1.1
4.9
0.4
4.3
2.1
0.8
3
192
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.3
0.2
3.3
0.8
1.6
3
193
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.7
0.2
2.0
1.3
0.8
3
194
1.3
0.7
0.6
5.6
0.3
0.7
1.3
0.4
3
195
1.2
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.3
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
196
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.5
0.3
2.8
1.1
1.6
3
197
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.1
0.5
4.3
0.9
1.7
3
198
1.9
0.7
1.2
5.7
0.5
1.7
1.5
0.6
3
199
1.3
0.7
0.6
7.2
0.2
5.3
2.2
2.6
3
200
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.3
0.5
2.4
1.8
0.9
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.