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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
251
Devon ToewsCOL · D
43.0
8.1
34.9
143.6
3.4
47.0
109.2
29.5
82
252
Josh NorrisBUF · C
54.0
25.4
28.6
143.4
16.3
118.2
53.2
51.9
82
253
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D
59.2
11.6
47.6
143.2
19.9
130.8
154.4
85.5
82
254
Brendan GallagherVAN · R
29.9
13.0
16.9
142.1
5.8
97.0
28.4
47.2
82
255
Jackson LaCombeANA · D
51.3
10.2
41.2
141.9
13.7
76.5
133.9
23.7
82
256
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R
33.0
15.8
17.2
141.8
7.6
129.6
33.3
28.5
82
257
Fabian LysellCOL · R12 sample
22.9
7.8
15.1
141.6
7.0
43.7
21.3
40.8
82
258
Cam DineenPHI · D38 sample
14.3
2.7
11.6
141.4
1.6
49.7
105.2
11.8
82
259
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
32.3
7.3
25.0
141.0
6.2
70.7
86.0
41.3
82
260
Michael CarconeUTA · L
31.3
16.9
14.5
140.1
3.4
131.0
18.7
32.2
82
261
Marco KasperDET · C
25.8
12.7
13.1
139.5
2.8
180.6
51.5
34.3
82
262
Ilya MikheyevTBL · R
36.7
18.6
18.1
139.4
0.4
38.2
22.1
16.3
82
263
Zach BensonBUF · L
45.2
15.8
29.3
139.3
5.9
51.0
32.4
88.9
82
264
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
59.1
23.6
35.5
139.2
16.6
76.4
27.6
25.0
82
265
Mike MathesonMTL · D
37.9
8.0
29.9
139.1
7.1
68.5
164.0
48.6
82
266
Pavol RegendaSJS · L
31.7
27.2
4.5
139.0
12.0
187.4
28.4
62.9
82
267
Aaron EkbladFLA · D
36.8
6.7
30.1
138.7
9.9
124.0
110.0
73.9
82
268
David PerronDET · L
40.2
18.5
21.6
138.4
13.3
118.9
26.0
47.6
82
269
Olen ZellwegerBUF · D
25.6
8.5
17.1
137.6
4.3
39.2
93.7
31.7
82
270
Erik HaulaLAK · L
35.5
14.4
21.1
137.5
8.6
120.3
49.2
58.1
82
271
Brandon SaadVGK · L
29.0
12.7
16.3
137.4
2.7
21.2
24.8
16.3
82
272
Matt SavoieEDM · C
35.0
16.3
18.7
137.1
6.4
17.7
38.0
23.8
82
273
Mike ReillyCAR · D
21.6
3.4
18.2
136.2
1.9
45.2
71.5
42.2
82
274
Brayden SchennNYI · C
45.7
19.0
26.7
135.8
9.6
182.6
46.8
69.9
82
275
Stefan NoesenNJD · R
31.8
15.2
16.6
135.3
11.5
117.3
28.1
60.0
82
276
Filip HallanderPIT · C16 sample
25.5
6.7
18.8
135.1
0.6
24.9
35.5
14.2
82
277
Pierre EngvallNYI · L
26.6
12.3
14.3
134.7
3.2
53.6
17.1
23.9
82
278
Charlie CoyleCBJ · C
49.5
18.9
30.6
134.6
10.0
118.1
57.9
22.6
82
279
Igor ChernyshovSJS · L28 sample
55.0
25.9
29.1
134.6
14.4
51.5
39.1
18.3
82
280
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
31.5
7.8
23.6
134.2
4.6
39.3
137.7
29.8
82
281
Miles WoodCBJ · L
22.7
11.6
11.1
134.0
0.4
108.4
31.2
65.0
82
282
Nick PaulTOR · L
33.2
17.4
15.8
133.6
5.4
116.8
39.5
40.5
82
283
Reilly SmithVGK · R
37.4
16.8
20.6
133.6
4.3
51.2
27.9
15.3
82
284
Filip HronekVAN · D
46.9
7.5
39.5
133.6
16.3
124.8
96.4
38.8
82
285
Nicholas RobertsonPIT · L
32.0
17.3
14.7
133.5
3.6
80.2
38.6
14.0
82
286
Mavrik BourqueNSH · C
35.3
17.1
18.2
133.5
4.3
84.1
28.2
20.3
82
287
Scott LaughtonLAK · C
29.5
14.2
15.4
133.4
2.4
171.4
56.0
42.2
82
288
Trey Fix-WolanskyVAN · R26 sample
22.8
13.4
9.4
133.2
1.5
90.5
55.8
15.4
82
289
Christian DvorakPHI · C
43.1
15.2
28.0
133.2
3.8
48.8
61.2
26.0
82
290
Drew O'ConnorVAN · L
28.0
14.6
13.4
132.9
0.6
76.4
38.9
38.4
82
291
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
28.4
8.9
19.5
132.4
0.9
107.1
186.9
22.7
82
292
Connor ZaryCGY · C
33.0
15.4
17.6
132.0
8.8
46.3
26.5
24.4
82
293
Sam RinzelCHI · D
23.4
5.8
17.6
131.7
3.6
77.5
90.7
61.3
82
294
Ridly GreigOTT · C
35.0
13.4
21.5
130.9
4.8
124.9
53.9
78.0
82
295
Jaccob SlavinCAR · D
25.8
4.7
21.1
130.8
0.3
32.3
131.4
7.4
82
296
Jamie BennDAL · L
49.1
18.3
30.8
130.2
12.1
127.5
41.3
71.0
82
297
Tommy NovakPIT · C
41.5
16.8
24.7
130.0
8.8
14.8
34.9
16.9
82
298
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D
17.8
3.7
14.2
129.9
0.3
130.4
93.2
35.9
82
299
Josh MansonCOL · D
30.1
5.5
24.6
129.9
0.3
196.8
102.7
86.2
82
300
Ivan DemidovMTL · R
57.1
17.6
39.5
129.9
20.3
42.1
28.6
31.5
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.