ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
2.0
0.6
1.4
6.2
0.6
2.4
2.0
1.2
3
152
1.7
0.9
0.8
6.2
0.2
3.6
2.3
1.4
3
153
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
1.1
3
154
1.9
0.7
1.1
6.2
0.4
3.4
1.8
1.5
3
155
2.2
0.9
1.3
6.1
0.8
5.0
2.6
1.8
3
156
2.2
0.5
1.7
6.1
0.7
2.2
4.4
1.2
3
157
1.8
0.8
1.0
6.1
0.5
3.1
1.0
0.9
3
158
1.6
0.4
1.3
6.1
0.4
2.3
5.6
1.2
3
159
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.1
0.4
1.0
1.3
1.8
3
160
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.1
0.7
3.6
1.0
1.7
3
161
1.6
0.2
1.3
6.1
0.6
2.4
4.1
1.6
3
162
1.5
0.5
1.0
6.1
0.4
1.4
6.0
2.3
3
163
2.0
0.9
1.1
6.1
0.5
1.7
1.5
1.0
3
164
1.6
0.8
0.9
6.1
0.3
2.0
1.9
0.8
3
165
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.0
0.4
3.7
1.3
1.1
3
166
1.2
0.7
0.5
6.0
0.0
2.1
2.1
0.9
3
167
1.6
0.7
0.9
6.0
0.5
5.0
1.1
1.9
3
168
1.4
0.3
1.2
6.0
0.4
1.4
2.9
1.8
3
169
2.3
1.1
1.2
6.0
0.6
3.0
1.3
1.7
3
170
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
1.1
1.7
1.6
1.0
3
171
1.2
0.5
0.7
6.0
0.1
6.9
1.4
1.2
3
172
2.1
1.2
1.0
6.0
0.6
4.3
1.3
1.0
3
173
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
0.9
3.2
3.7
0.7
3
174
1.3
0.4
0.9
5.9
0.2
2.0
5.9
1.4
3
175
1.2
0.5
0.7
5.9
0.4
5.4
1.3
1.0
3
176
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.9
0.6
2.3
1.1
2.5
3
177
1.9
0.7
1.1
5.9
0.3
2.2
1.4
1.6
3
178
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.9
0.7
2.5
1.1
1.8
3
179
1.7
0.7
1.1
5.9
0.5
1.7
2.0
1.2
3
180
2.0
0.5
1.6
5.9
0.5
0.4
4.5
1.0
3
181
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.9
0.1
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
182
1.7
0.3
1.4
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.3
1.1
3
183
1.6
0.3
1.3
5.9
0.3
2.2
6.6
0.9
3
184
2.4
0.9
1.6
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
185
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.8
0.4
2.5
0.8
0.8
3
186
1.8
0.8
1.0
5.8
0.4
2.8
1.4
0.4
3
187
1.7
0.4
1.3
5.8
0.8
3.8
4.5
1.1
3
188
1.7
0.5
1.2
5.8
0.4
1.5
5.3
1.3
3
189
2.1
0.8
1.3
5.8
0.6
1.6
1.3
1.2
3
190
1.6
0.8
0.8
5.8
0.2
2.7
1.3
0.4
3
191
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.8
0.4
1.5
2.3
0.7
3
192
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.8
0.0
5.2
4.3
2.0
3
193
1.6
0.6
1.0
5.7
0.4
2.5
1.4
0.8
3
194
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.7
0.8
2.7
2.2
1.0
3
195
1.0
0.3
0.8
5.7
0.0
6.6
6.6
1.9
3
196
1.5
0.9
0.5
5.7
0.3
3.6
2.1
1.9
3
197
0.8
0.4
0.4
5.7
0.1
4.0
1.1
2.3
3
198
2.4
1.1
1.3
5.7
0.9
1.0
1.6
0.8
3
199
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.7
0.0
3.5
1.7
0.1
3
200
1.9
0.7
1.2
5.7
0.5
1.7
1.5
0.6
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.