ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
451
Jordan SpenceJordan SpenceOTT · D1.06×
30.6
5.9
24.7
105.5
4.2
73.1
73.2
20.5
82
452
Danila YurovDanila YurovMIN · F1.19×
30.0
13.0
17.0
89.0
4.0
73.0
44.0
36.0
82
453
Pontus HolmbergPontus HolmbergTBL · F0.97×
23.9
10.7
13.3
93.4
0.4
72.9
47.0
33.9
82
454
Alex KerfootAlex KerfootUTA · F1.08×
32.5
12.6
19.9
94.0
2.8
72.4
65.2
33.5
82
455
Brad LambertBrad LambertWPG · F31 gm
19.9
8.9
11.1
82.7
3.0
72.4
24.4
20.7
82
456
Arseny GritsyukArseny GritsyukNJD · F1.45×
38.5
16.1
22.4
185.1
6.2
72.1
22.4
32.3
82
457
Roope HintzRoope HintzDAL · F1.33×
69.6
28.3
41.3
186.6
25.0
71.9
41.4
30.2
82
458
Dylan GuentherDylan GuentherUTA · F0.95×
71.9
37.4
34.5
247.1
26.4
71.9
35.4
28.9
82
459
Marshall WarrenMarshall WarrenNYI · D8 gm
30.8
0.0
30.8
71.8
0.0
71.8
51.3
41.0
82
460
Henri JokiharjuHenri JokiharjuBOS · D1.13×
22.2
3.8
18.4
87.4
1.8
71.4
82.2
25.5
82
461
Adam HenriqueAdam HenriqueEDM · F1.67×
28.8
11.7
17.1
120.3
5.6
71.1
87.4
22.1
82
462
Kyle PalmieriKyle PalmieriNYI · F1.35×
51.9
23.8
28.1
198.0
13.0
71.0
40.6
28.4
82
463
Logan StankovenLogan StankovenCAR · F1.44×
46.1
22.8
23.3
183.4
8.9
70.9
26.5
23.2
82
464
Brady SkjeiBrady SkjeiNSH · D1.60×
32.2
7.3
25.0
141.1
6.2
70.5
86.1
41.3
82
465
Bowen ByramBowen ByramBUF · D1.20×
40.3
11.4
28.8
111.7
5.1
70.3
100.1
51.3
82
466
Noah DobsonNoah DobsonMTL · D1.04×
47.1
10.9
36.2
179.5
11.4
70.3
173.1
32.0
82
467
Adam GaudetteAdam GaudetteSJS · F1.03×
29.1
19.7
9.4
107.4
5.5
70.0
36.4
21.7
82
468
Nikolas MatinpaloNikolas MatinpaloOTT · D1.17×
7.3
0.5
6.8
64.2
0.0
70.0
84.6
30.3
82
469
Taylor RaddyshTaylor RaddyshNYR · F1.23×
24.2
9.6
14.6
88.3
2.5
69.8
38.7
17.7
82
470
John KlingbergJohn KlingbergSJS · D1.13×
37.0
11.8
25.1
118.2
11.8
69.3
96.9
36.2
82
471
Anthony ManthaAnthony ManthaPIT · F1.45×
56.0
28.3
27.7
144.4
10.6
68.8
40.0
53.5
82
472
Cole PerfettiCole PerfettiWPG · F1.36×
42.9
16.5
26.4
157.2
10.4
68.7
39.0
20.9
82
473
J.J. MoserJ.J. MoserTBL · D1.10×
27.8
6.3
21.5
98.8
2.1
68.6
106.4
53.1
82
474
Tyler BertuzziTyler BertuzziCHI · F1.27×
54.4
28.1
26.3
161.7
19.1
68.6
30.0
49.3
82
475
Tyler SeguinTyler SeguinDAL · F1.03×
56.3
24.9
31.4
160.2
11.9
68.5
22.2
20.8
82
476
Ian MooreIan MooreANA · D1.38×
14.1
5.2
8.9
84.6
0.0
68.4
91.4
27.2
82
477
Jacob GaucherJacob GaucherPHI · F8 gm
0.0
0.0
0.0
75.2
0.0
68.3
27.3
0.0
82
478
Zakhar BardakovZakhar BardakovCOL · F0.90×
13.7
1.4
12.3
47.8
0.0
68.3
30.1
19.1
82
479
Mike MathesonMike MathesonMTL · D1.26×
37.9
7.9
30.0
139.2
7.1
68.3
164.6
48.7
82
480
Kevin HayesKevin HayesPIT · F1.54×
31.3
14.7
16.6
146.8
6.2
68.2
20.5
17.2
82
481
Cody CeciCody CeciLAK · D1.24×
15.5
2.4
13.1
76.0
0.0
68.0
124.2
17.0
82
482
Tobias BjornfotTobias BjornfotFLA · D1.41×
11.6
5.0
6.6
54.8
0.0
67.4
87.3
11.6
82
483
Kevin FialaKevin FialaLAK · F1.19×
64.9
29.9
35.0
233.2
26.4
66.6
29.5
49.4
82
484
Albert JohanssonAlbert JohanssonDET · D1.22×
11.3
3.3
8.0
62.0
0.0
66.3
98.0
22.6
82
485
Travis SanheimTravis SanheimPHI · D1.28×
34.7
10.2
24.5
115.4
2.6
66.2
157.4
31.9
82
486
Pavel MintyukovPavel MintyukovANA · D1.12×
23.4
7.0
16.4
92.2
3.2
66.2
117.6
22.5
82
487
Jakob ChychrunJakob ChychrunWSH · D1.15×
55.1
23.1
32.0
215.1
16.8
66.1
122.1
61.0
82
488
Conor TimminsConor TimminsBUF · D1.16×
18.6
1.7
16.9
85.8
0.8
66.0
141.6
39.7
82
489
Lars EllerLars EllerOTT · F1.40×
21.0
8.5
12.5
101.6
1.0
65.9
41.1
25.3
82
490
Matthew KesselMatthew KesselSTL · D1.43×
9.6
3.5
6.1
55.0
0.0
65.9
82.6
27.6
82
491
Connor McDavidConnor McDavidEDM · F1.39×
133.3
41.1
92.3
290.8
49.1
65.9
34.3
39.5
82
492
Claude GirouxClaude GirouxOTT · F1.08×
53.0
16.4
36.6
152.7
15.9
65.8
31.4
21.5
82
493
Joel FarabeeJoel FarabeeCGY · F1.19×
36.5
17.7
18.8
150.5
3.8
65.8
50.9
32.6
82
494
Alex TurcotteAlex TurcotteLAK · F1.33×
21.6
6.1
15.5
87.2
0.4
65.8
42.9
26.1
82
495
Nick JensenNick JensenOTT · D1.25×
22.0
4.1
17.9
69.5
0.0
65.7
102.9
20.1
82
496
Joel HanleyJoel HanleyCGY · D1.05×
9.8
1.0
8.8
52.6
0.0
65.6
112.5
46.9
82
497
William EklundWilliam EklundSJS · F1.01×
55.8
16.5
39.3
170.0
16.8
65.3
55.2
32.6
82
498
Fedor SvechkovFedor SvechkovNSH · F1.00×
21.8
6.8
14.9
87.1
2.1
64.9
35.0
24.8
82
499
Mikko RantanenMikko RantanenDAL · F1.23×
97.6
33.5
64.1
215.8
39.6
64.8
48.3
86.6
82
500
Matt BoldyMatt BoldyMIN · F1.16×
83.0
38.6
44.5
273.6
27.1
64.8
58.2
39.4
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.