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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
Bowen ByramCHI · D3.27×
40.2
11.5
28.8
111.8
5.1
70.5
99.9
51.3
82
202
Porter MartonePHI · R19 sample
63.4
25.3
38.1
232.0
20.9
205.9
28.0
51.2
82
203
Artyom LevshunovCHI · D2.05×
28.9
2.3
26.6
101.0
12.7
114.3
90.2
51.0
82
204
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L5.07×
54.0
20.0
34.0
146.9
17.8
56.2
50.0
50.8
82
205
Jake GuentzelTBL · C3.36×
87.0
38.6
48.3
234.7
29.1
45.1
43.0
50.7
82
206
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD · D3.29×
15.6
1.2
14.4
70.5
0.1
103.9
138.3
50.6
82
207
Dougie HamiltonNJD · D1.70×
46.9
13.2
33.7
226.3
17.1
92.8
90.9
50.6
82
208
Tyson FoersterPHI · R4.69×
40.0
26.1
13.9
156.4
8.3
97.5
58.0
50.5
82
209
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L4.27×
60.9
25.0
35.8
167.9
21.9
136.2
71.7
50.3
82
210
Tyler KlevenOTT · D5.03×
17.2
3.6
13.7
94.4
0.4
138.0
106.0
50.2
82
211
J.T. MillerNYR · C2.79×
76.3
25.2
51.1
177.3
26.7
176.3
49.6
50.2
82
212
Moritz SeiderDET · D2.14×
52.5
9.0
43.5
170.6
24.4
165.8
183.7
49.9
82
213
Kiefer SherwoodSJS · L3.09×
39.5
22.1
17.5
170.0
8.1
395.2
32.9
49.7
82
214
Mason McTavishSTL · C2.73×
48.8
19.7
29.1
172.1
13.0
97.1
36.8
49.4
82
215
Kevin FialaLAK · L2.70×
64.7
29.8
34.9
232.4
26.3
66.8
29.8
49.3
82
216
Ilya LyubushkinNSH · D3.92×
14.6
1.2
13.4
52.8
0.1
120.5
138.5
49.3
82
217
Dmitry KulikovFLA · D3.62×
14.5
3.3
11.2
75.4
0.1
149.1
86.3
49.2
82
218
Nikita KucherovTBL · R3.85×
129.3
40.5
88.8
265.7
43.9
41.8
31.6
49.2
82
219
Tyler BertuzziCHI · L6.43×
54.3
28.0
26.3
161.5
19.0
68.8
30.3
49.2
82
220
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
23.2
5.6
17.6
105.4
3.2
89.5
47.5
48.7
82
221
Alexandre CarrierMTL · D2.44×
25.8
5.9
19.9
71.0
0.3
63.6
176.6
48.7
82
222
Tye KartyeNYR · L4.43×
24.2
10.0
14.2
80.2
0.1
227.4
44.7
48.7
82
223
Mike MathesonMTL · D3.42×
37.9
8.0
29.9
139.1
7.1
68.5
164.0
48.6
82
224
Brett HowdenVGK · C4.12×
36.9
22.4
14.5
109.6
1.7
153.0
42.5
48.4
82
225
Anthony CirelliTBL · C5.95×
54.3
23.6
30.7
143.8
4.9
64.6
67.1
48.4
82
226
Mathew BarzalNYI · C4.62×
71.5
19.7
51.8
199.0
20.3
39.4
51.6
48.3
82
227
K'Andre MillerCAR · D3.48×
36.5
7.5
28.9
119.6
3.1
129.4
106.6
48.3
82
228
Michael BuntingNSH · L4.65×
42.3
17.9
24.4
153.6
13.9
62.0
24.3
48.3
82
229
Quinton ByfieldLAK · R2.21×
51.2
22.2
29.0
176.2
10.0
78.1
38.7
48.3
82
230
Dylan LarkinDET · C4.28×
74.5
35.2
39.2
248.4
27.0
50.5
35.6
48.3
82
231
Jackson BlakeCAR · R2.78×
51.5
21.6
29.9
167.1
10.3
27.7
35.5
48.2
82
232
Tony DeAngeloNYI · D6.05×
39.8
6.9
32.8
163.5
10.1
38.8
78.3
48.1
82
233
Nathan BastianDAL · R8.11×
16.3
9.7
6.7
71.0
0.7
198.5
32.8
48.0
82
234
Jason ZuckerBUF · L5.99×
52.4
25.3
27.1
166.7
18.4
97.3
27.1
47.7
82
235
David PerronDET · L3.82×
40.2
18.5
21.6
138.4
13.3
118.9
26.0
47.6
82
236
Robby FabbriSTL · C3.52×
30.6
15.2
15.3
121.1
5.5
126.6
41.8
47.5
82
237
Brendan GallagherVAN · R4.88×
29.9
13.0
16.9
142.1
5.8
97.0
28.4
47.2
82
238
Adam PelechNYI · D3.27×
20.8
3.2
17.7
125.1
0.3
81.9
128.0
47.1
82
239
Drew DoughtyLAK · D2.38×
35.3
8.5
26.8
121.0
8.9
80.0
104.8
47.0
82
240
Will BorgenBOS · D4.08×
17.5
4.8
12.6
80.1
0.1
138.0
108.2
46.9
82
241
Zach BogosianMIN · D6.06×
13.4
3.5
9.9
73.1
0.1
105.0
79.8
46.9
82
242
Joel HanleyCGY · D4.03×
10.0
1.1
8.9
53.3
0.1
65.9
112.1
46.8
82
243
David JiricekPHI · D1.71×
8.3
1.7
6.5
59.7
0.2
41.0
65.7
46.8
82
244
Boone JennerWSH · C3.04×
49.6
20.4
29.1
185.9
6.5
168.0
81.2
46.6
82
245
Andrew MangiapaneCHI · L4.35×
29.0
13.5
15.4
102.7
2.3
85.4
34.8
46.5
82
246
Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample
57.2
17.3
39.8
128.9
27.9
94.2
37.3
46.4
82
247
Tim BerniCBJ · D1.69×
8.2
2.9
5.3
86.5
1.0
161.3
98.6
46.4
82
248
Elias PetterssonVAN · D3.97×
11.5
3.5
8.0
55.1
0.1
151.2
90.5
46.3
82
249
Sidney CrosbyPIT · C3.99×
90.5
34.5
55.9
223.4
27.1
77.0
39.9
46.1
82
250
Tage ThompsonBUF · C4.32×
80.6
41.0
39.6
275.1
23.5
85.3
41.8
46.1
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.