ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
251
Kailer YamamotoUTA · R
32.8
16.1
16.7
88.2
2.5
84.6
27.8
24.5
82
252
Noah CatesPHI · L
41.9
16.1
25.8
123.0
6.7
100.3
54.2
28.0
82
253
Casey MittelstadtBOS · C
47.7
16.1
31.6
107.4
9.7
33.2
27.3
19.2
82
254
Josh AndersonMTL · R
27.2
16.0
11.1
120.4
0.6
169.7
46.1
101.4
82
255
Justin SourdifWSH · C
36.7
16.0
20.7
113.5
3.2
102.7
42.2
36.3
82
256
Darren RaddyshTOR · D
56.9
15.9
41.0
187.4
19.0
76.0
80.0
52.1
82
257
Shane WrightSEA · C
35.6
15.9
19.7
103.0
9.0
55.6
65.0
13.8
82
258
Zach BensonBUF · L
45.2
15.8
29.3
139.3
5.9
51.0
32.4
88.9
82
259
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R
33.0
15.8
17.2
141.8
7.6
129.6
33.3
28.5
82
260
Alex SteevesBOS · C
28.6
15.8
12.8
104.0
5.0
266.8
46.3
56.2
82
261
Marcus JohanssonMIN · L
44.4
15.7
28.7
124.2
9.3
52.6
26.7
13.9
82
262
Kaapo KakkoSEA · R
43.7
15.6
28.1
110.4
7.5
47.8
21.6
24.2
82
263
Connor BrownNJD · R
37.2
15.6
21.6
123.0
4.6
30.1
38.8
17.6
82
264
Ethen FrankWSH · R
30.6
15.5
15.1
113.8
5.0
65.3
58.8
23.5
82
265
Connor ZaryCGY · C
33.0
15.4
17.6
132.0
8.8
46.3
26.5
24.4
82
266
Bobby BrinkMIN · R
37.3
15.4
21.9
116.8
7.3
96.0
43.1
27.0
82
267
Vasily PodkolzinEDM · R
33.3
15.3
18.1
124.2
1.7
242.6
48.7
57.7
82
268
Fraser MintenBOS · C
31.0
15.2
15.7
112.1
2.9
150.3
49.8
17.9
82
269
Robby FabbriSTL · C
30.6
15.2
15.3
121.1
5.5
126.6
41.8
47.5
82
270
Stefan NoesenNJD · R
31.8
15.2
16.6
135.3
11.5
117.3
28.1
60.0
82
271
Christian DvorakPHI · C
43.1
15.2
28.0
133.2
3.8
48.8
61.2
26.0
82
272
Matias MaccelliNYI · L
43.9
15.1
28.7
114.5
9.1
24.2
19.5
15.8
82
273
Brandon MontourSEA · D
43.3
14.9
28.4
221.4
13.2
98.9
97.7
65.3
82
274
Barrett HaytonUTA · C
35.9
14.8
21.0
151.3
9.7
43.8
38.9
55.8
82
275
Zachary BolducMTL · R
33.2
14.8
18.4
110.4
7.5
162.4
42.1
44.8
82
276
Cam LundSJS · C11 sample
24.7
14.8
9.9
95.7
7.5
59.7
23.0
31.4
82
277
Max SassonVAN · C
23.1
14.8
8.3
79.6
1.1
40.5
43.6
26.6
82
278
Dakota JoshuaTOR · C
27.6
14.7
12.9
80.8
1.1
287.9
45.1
67.2
82
279
Dominic JamesTBL · C
29.7
14.7
14.9
111.9
1.8
111.3
27.0
13.6
82
280
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
65.2
14.7
50.5
194.9
23.4
28.2
81.3
30.8
82
281
Linus KarlssonVAN · C
33.9
14.7
19.2
116.9
4.5
87.0
24.1
40.5
82
282
Ryan McLeodBUF · C
46.7
14.7
32.0
97.5
5.5
28.8
34.2
17.2
82
283
Noah OstlundBUF · C
35.5
14.7
20.8
81.5
7.4
8.1
40.2
21.1
82
284
Kevin HayesPIT · R
31.4
14.7
16.7
146.6
6.2
68.5
21.0
17.5
82
285
Alexander WennbergSJS · C
45.5
14.6
30.9
92.9
11.9
35.6
87.9
17.6
82
286
Drew O'ConnorVAN · L
28.0
14.6
13.4
132.9
0.6
76.4
38.9
38.4
82
287
Ross ColtonNSH · C
32.8
14.4
18.4
163.0
3.2
188.0
37.6
33.3
82
288
Anthony BeauvillierWSH · R
28.6
14.4
14.2
154.7
1.9
106.5
42.3
22.9
82
289
Parker KellyCOL · C
26.8
14.4
12.4
100.9
0.1
187.9
61.2
37.8
82
290
Cole GuttmanLAK · C
27.7
14.4
13.3
149.7
7.3
38.6
45.9
21.4
82
291
Michael AmadioOTT · R
32.4
14.4
18.0
101.4
1.2
106.6
48.3
19.4
82
292
Erik HaulaLAK · L
35.5
14.4
21.1
137.5
8.6
120.3
49.2
58.1
82
293
Kasperi KapanenEDM · R
31.2
14.2
16.9
121.3
0.8
133.9
28.1
26.4
82
294
Joel ArmiaLAK · R
29.3
14.2
15.1
116.5
1.7
90.5
44.3
33.8
82
295
Sonny MilanoWSH · L
28.5
14.2
14.3
92.6
3.3
31.7
15.2
13.7
82
296
Scott LaughtonLAK · C
29.5
14.2
15.4
133.4
2.4
171.4
56.0
42.2
82
297
John LeonardDET · L37 sample
26.9
14.1
12.7
86.2
11.7
80.2
65.4
4.0
82
298
Marcus FolignoMIN · L
26.3
14.1
12.2
93.0
1.8
285.8
58.2
92.8
82
299
Evan RodriguesNJD · C
38.8
14.1
24.7
180.7
8.8
102.1
29.8
38.9
82
300
Alexandre TexierMTL · L
33.0
14.1
18.9
113.2
1.9
88.4
26.2
34.2
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.