ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
51
Rickard RakellPIT · R
2.3
1.1
1.2
7.9
0.7
4.2
2.2
0.5
3
52
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
2.9
1.1
1.8
7.6
0.9
2.9
1.1
1.7
3
53
Logan CooleyUTA · C
2.3
1.1
1.2
6.0
0.6
3.0
1.3
1.7
3
54
Kevin FialaLAK · L
2.4
1.1
1.3
8.5
1.0
2.4
1.1
1.8
3
55
Gabriel VilardiWPG · C
2.4
1.1
1.3
5.7
0.9
1.0
1.6
0.8
3
56
Mika ZibanejadNYR · C
2.7
1.1
1.7
7.7
1.1
2.9
1.8
0.7
3
57
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · R
2.5
1.1
1.4
8.1
0.8
2.3
1.6
1.0
3
58
Tim StützleOTT · C
2.9
1.1
1.9
7.0
1.1
4.9
1.6
1.5
3
59
Andrei SvechnikovCAR · R
2.4
1.1
1.3
7.8
0.9
7.0
0.8
2.8
3
60
Sam BennettFLA · C
2.2
1.1
1.1
8.4
0.5
6.3
1.5
3.6
3
61
Jared McCannSEA · L
2.3
1.1
1.2
7.3
0.7
2.1
1.5
0.8
3
62
Clayton KellerUTA · R
3.2
1.0
2.1
8.3
1.1
0.5
1.2
1.3
3
63
Chris KreiderANA · L
2.0
1.0
0.9
6.4
0.7
3.8
0.9
1.1
3
64
Tyler BertuzziCHI · L
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.9
0.7
2.5
1.1
1.8
3
65
Anthony ManthaNJD · R
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.3
0.4
2.5
1.5
1.9
3
66
Timo MeierNJD · R
1.9
1.0
0.9
10.1
0.5
5.4
2.1
1.5
3
67
Roope HintzDAL · C
2.5
1.0
1.5
6.8
0.9
2.6
1.5
1.1
3
68
Nick SuzukiMTL · C
3.2
1.0
2.2
6.5
1.3
2.7
2.4
0.9
3
69
Leo CarlssonANA · C
2.4
1.0
1.4
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.3
1.0
3
70
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · L
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.8
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.7
3
71
Jordan KyrouWSH · R
2.2
1.0
1.2
8.1
0.6
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
72
Patrik LaineMTL · L
1.9
1.0
0.9
7.0
0.8
1.6
1.4
1.0
3
73
Robert ThomasSTL · C
3.1
1.0
2.1
5.3
0.8
0.7
1.8
1.1
3
74
Carter VerhaegheFLA · C
2.3
1.0
1.3
8.2
0.6
3.1
0.9
1.4
3
75
Artturi LehkonenCOL · L
2.0
1.0
1.0
6.5
0.3
2.8
1.6
1.0
3
76
Nick SchmaltzUTA · C
2.5
1.0
1.5
7.0
0.7
0.9
1.8
0.8
3
77
Jack EichelVGK · C
3.4
1.0
2.4
9.9
1.1
1.7
2.3
0.8
3
78
Travis KonecnyPHI · R
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.0
0.5
4.3
1.5
2.7
3
79
Brock BoeserVAN · R
2.1
1.0
1.1
6.6
0.8
2.3
1.2
0.5
3
80
Mitch MarnerVGK · R
3.4
1.0
2.4
6.5
1.0
1.9
1.8
0.8
3
81
Pavol RegendaSJS · L
1.2
1.0
0.2
5.1
0.4
6.9
1.0
2.3
3
82
Valeri NichushkinCBJ · R
2.1
1.0
1.2
7.2
0.4
3.3
1.3
0.8
3
83
Lucas RaymondDET · L
2.8
1.0
1.8
6.5
1.0
1.8
1.1
0.8
3
84
Dylan HollowaySTL · L
2.2
0.9
1.2
6.9
0.4
6.7
1.9
0.9
3
85
Tyson FoersterPHI · R
1.5
0.9
0.5
5.7
0.3
3.6
2.1
1.9
3
86
Igor ChernyshovSJS · L28 sample
2.0
0.9
1.1
4.9
0.5
1.9
1.4
0.7
3
87
Tyler ToffoliSJS · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
2.1
1.1
0.5
3
88
Tomas HertlVGK · C
2.1
0.9
1.2
7.0
0.9
4.5
1.8
1.2
3
89
Aleksander BarkovFLA · C
3.1
0.9
2.2
7.3
1.1
4.4
2.4
0.8
3
90
Owen TippettPHI · R
1.8
0.9
0.9
8.2
0.3
5.9
2.0
0.9
3
91
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.5
0.3
4.7
1.9
1.1
3
92
Evgeni MalkinPIT · C
2.7
0.9
1.8
7.1
1.0
1.4
1.4
2.7
3
93
Viktor ArvidssonDET · L
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.6
0.4
1.4
1.5
1.1
3
94
Josh NorrisBUF · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.6
4.3
1.9
1.9
3
95
Bobby McMannSEA · C
1.6
0.9
0.6
6.8
0.2
6.3
1.0
1.7
3
96
Will SmithSJS · C
2.3
0.9
1.4
6.5
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.7
3
97
Porter MartonePHI · R19 sample
2.3
0.9
1.4
8.5
0.8
7.5
1.0
1.9
3
98
Jason ZuckerBUF · L
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.1
0.7
3.6
1.0
1.7
3
99
J.T. MillerNYR · C
2.8
0.9
1.9
6.5
1.0
6.5
1.8
1.8
3
100
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L
2.2
0.9
1.3
6.1
0.8
5.0
2.6
1.8
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.