ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
2.2
0.9
1.3
6.1
0.8
5.0
2.6
1.8
3
102
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.7
0.8
2.7
2.2
1.0
3
103
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.9
0.6
2.3
1.1
2.5
3
104
2.2
0.9
1.3
5.4
0.5
6.3
1.4
1.3
3
105
2.2
0.9
1.2
6.9
0.4
6.7
1.9
0.9
3
106
2.2
0.5
1.7
5.5
1.1
1.7
3.0
1.5
3
107
2.2
0.7
1.4
8.7
0.5
2.1
3.2
1.0
3
108
2.2
1.1
1.1
8.4
0.5
6.3
1.5
3.6
3
109
2.2
0.9
1.3
9.0
0.7
5.1
1.9
1.6
3
110
2.2
0.4
1.7
5.2
0.7
4.8
5.7
3.1
3
111
2.2
0.4
1.7
6.5
0.6
1.9
5.0
1.2
3
112
2.2
0.9
1.3
5.1
0.6
2.8
1.0
0.9
3
113
2.1
0.8
1.3
6.9
0.6
4.3
2.6
0.8
3
114
2.1
0.9
1.2
7.0
0.9
4.5
1.8
1.2
3
115
2.1
1.0
1.2
7.2
0.4
3.3
1.3
0.8
3
116
2.1
0.4
1.8
5.6
0.9
2.3
5.2
1.6
3
117
2.1
1.2
1.0
6.0
0.6
4.3
1.3
1.0
3
118
2.1
0.8
1.3
8.1
0.7
1.5
4.0
1.4
3
119
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.5
0.7
1.7
2.7
0.4
3
120
2.1
0.9
1.3
7.0
0.4
3.0
1.7
0.7
3
121
2.1
0.8
1.3
5.8
0.6
1.6
1.3
1.2
3
122
2.1
0.9
1.2
7.3
0.5
3.6
0.9
2.1
3
123
2.1
1.3
0.8
8.4
0.8
1.0
1.2
0.8
3
124
2.1
0.5
1.6
6.5
0.9
1.6
5.8
0.5
3
125
2.1
0.6
1.5
4.7
1.0
3.5
1.4
1.7
3
126
2.1
0.6
1.4
4.8
0.7
1.5
1.1
1.1
3
127
2.1
0.6
1.5
6.9
0.7
2.8
2.9
1.9
3
128
2.1
1.0
1.1
6.6
0.8
2.3
1.2
0.5
3
129
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.8
0.4
2.5
0.8
0.8
3
130
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.5
0.3
4.7
1.9
1.1
3
131
2.0
0.5
1.6
5.9
0.5
0.4
4.5
1.0
3
132
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.3
0.4
2.5
1.5
1.9
3
133
2.0
1.0
1.0
6.5
0.3
2.8
1.6
1.0
3
134
2.0
0.8
1.2
4.8
0.2
6.8
1.4
0.8
3
135
2.0
0.7
1.4
5.3
0.5
3.1
1.8
2.8
3
136
2.0
0.6
1.4
6.2
0.6
2.4
2.0
1.2
3
137
2.0
0.8
1.2
7.8
0.6
2.4
4.5
2.2
3
138
2.0
0.9
1.1
4.9
0.5
1.9
1.4
0.7
3
139
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
2.1
1.1
0.5
3
140
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.9
0.7
2.5
1.1
1.8
3
141
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.2
2.4
2.5
1.8
3
142
2.0
0.9
1.1
6.1
0.5
1.7
1.5
1.0
3
143
2.0
1.0
0.9
6.4
0.7
3.8
0.9
1.1
3
144
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.0
0.4
5.4
1.7
2.5
3
145
2.0
0.7
1.3
5.4
0.7
2.1
1.8
1.9
3
146
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.6
0.4
1.4
1.5
1.1
3
147
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.6
4.3
1.9
1.9
3
148
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
3.6
0.7
1.4
3
149
2.0
0.7
1.2
5.6
0.7
3.3
2.5
1.1
3
150
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.3
0.7
7.1
1.1
2.1
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.