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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
251
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
32.3
7.3
25.0
141.0
6.2
70.7
86.0
41.3
82
252
Neal PionkWPG · D
32.1
7.1
25.0
149.0
8.3
180.7
119.7
57.6
82
253
Evan RodriguesNJD · C
38.8
14.1
24.7
180.7
8.8
102.1
29.8
38.9
82
254
Tommy NovakPIT · C
41.5
16.8
24.7
130.0
8.8
14.8
34.9
16.9
82
255
Jordan SpenceOTT · D
30.6
6.0
24.7
105.7
4.2
73.3
73.2
20.6
82
256
Mikael BacklundCGY · C
41.2
16.6
24.6
195.2
4.6
41.3
35.5
23.6
82
257
Erik GustafssonLAK · D
29.2
4.6
24.6
101.7
10.9
60.3
67.0
32.2
82
258
Josh MansonCOL · D
30.1
5.5
24.6
129.9
0.3
196.8
102.7
86.2
82
259
Travis SanheimPHI · D
34.7
10.2
24.5
115.5
2.7
66.4
156.8
32.0
82
260
Gustav NyquistWPG · R
34.1
9.7
24.5
113.0
8.8
45.4
34.5
15.9
82
261
Michael BuntingNSH · L
42.3
17.9
24.4
153.6
13.9
62.0
24.3
48.3
82
262
Oliver BjorkstrandNYR · R
40.7
16.4
24.3
153.4
14.6
83.1
36.7
15.9
82
263
Nick AbruzzeseTBL · C11 sample
34.8
10.5
24.3
105.8
10.1
81.0
45.7
27.6
82
264
Sam MalinskiCOL · D
31.6
7.3
24.3
150.5
1.2
52.5
102.2
19.9
82
265
Maxim ShabanovMIN · R
33.6
9.4
24.2
104.9
9.3
51.4
30.6
4.5
82
266
Trevor MooreLAK · L
43.4
19.3
24.1
197.8
3.9
83.0
43.2
15.2
82
267
Mackenzie MacEachernVAN · L38 sample
32.4
8.3
24.1
66.6
0.6
108.5
49.4
85.9
82
268
Cole SillingerCBJ · C
34.1
10.2
23.9
146.1
1.9
111.0
49.3
39.9
82
269
Jaden SchwartzCOL · C
45.2
21.3
23.9
165.6
8.3
53.6
51.9
20.8
82
270
Gabe PerreaultNYR · R
42.9
19.0
23.9
120.4
9.5
41.8
36.4
16.4
82
271
Tanner LaczynskiVGK · C
27.8
4.0
23.8
75.1
4.7
37.3
37.1
33.3
82
272
Alex LaferriereLAK · R
42.2
18.5
23.7
200.3
4.8
207.7
45.7
22.4
82
273
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
31.5
7.8
23.6
134.2
4.6
39.3
137.7
29.8
82
274
Oliver MooreCHI · C
31.1
7.5
23.6
92.3
7.4
42.4
21.5
31.2
82
275
Ryan PulockNYI · D
28.1
4.5
23.6
108.5
2.6
87.9
166.4
17.1
82
276
Yanni GourdeTBL · C
33.5
9.9
23.6
118.6
1.1
131.3
41.1
68.8
82
277
Collin GrafSJS · R
42.9
19.4
23.6
115.6
2.7
82.2
47.5
13.5
82
278
Ryan HartmanMIN · R
45.5
21.9
23.5
193.0
8.2
80.4
82.8
74.1
82
279
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI · C
39.7
16.3
23.4
105.6
3.4
147.9
61.7
12.5
82
280
Owen TippettPHI · R
49.1
25.8
23.4
222.8
7.3
160.6
55.3
23.8
82
281
Logan StankovenCAR · C
46.1
22.8
23.3
183.1
8.9
71.1
26.7
23.3
82
282
Kent JohnsonCBJ · C
37.4
14.1
23.3
129.7
7.0
13.9
38.0
20.4
82
283
Philipp KurashevSJS · C
36.8
13.5
23.3
115.5
6.6
56.5
33.2
25.7
82
284
Morgan FrostCGY · C
41.8
18.6
23.2
144.1
14.3
64.8
48.7
25.9
82
285
Mattias SamuelssonBUF · D
33.9
10.7
23.2
102.7
0.3
158.5
151.2
29.6
82
286
Mason LohreiBOS · D
30.1
7.0
23.2
85.4
8.8
36.8
108.7
22.6
82
287
Shane PintoOTT · C
46.6
23.5
23.1
169.2
5.3
98.6
63.5
38.9
82
288
Jake NeighboursSTL · L
43.0
20.1
22.9
115.0
10.2
175.7
46.8
51.6
82
289
Ryan SheaEDM · D
28.1
5.3
22.8
66.3
0.4
41.8
95.7
23.7
82
290
Anders LeeUTA · L
45.2
22.5
22.7
206.3
8.7
113.1
41.0
46.0
82
291
Gage GoncalvesTBL · C
34.5
11.9
22.7
86.3
2.9
99.6
31.3
36.4
82
292
Eetu LuostarinenFLA · C
34.5
11.9
22.6
110.9
1.5
157.3
63.1
36.6
82
293
Ryan PoehlingANA · C
36.4
13.8
22.6
103.3
1.8
52.0
90.2
14.9
82
294
Peyton KrebsBUF · C
33.1
10.5
22.6
85.4
1.3
163.4
36.1
75.0
82
295
Samuel GirardPIT · D
26.6
4.2
22.4
83.1
1.5
59.3
103.2
23.9
82
296
Arseny GritsyukNJD · R
38.5
16.1
22.4
184.3
6.2
72.5
23.0
32.4
82
297
Easton CowanTOR · R
36.1
13.7
22.4
114.5
7.5
89.6
40.2
55.7
82
298
Matthew PoitrasBOS · C
30.5
8.3
22.2
97.2
1.0
32.7
33.0
28.5
82
299
Jake McCabeTOR · D
26.8
4.8
22.0
83.6
0.3
143.2
179.2
58.2
82
300
Matt GrzelcykCHI · D
23.0
1.1
21.9
88.3
6.3
43.3
81.4
32.0
82

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.