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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
51
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
2.2
0.5
1.7
5.5
1.1
1.7
3.0
1.5
3
52
Mika ZibanejadNYR · C
2.7
1.1
1.7
7.7
1.1
2.9
1.8
0.7
3
53
Matt DucheneDAL · C
2.5
0.9
1.6
5.3
0.9
1.4
1.3
0.7
3
54
Troy TerryANA · R
2.5
0.9
1.6
7.5
0.5
0.4
1.0
0.7
3
55
Brandon HagelTBL · L
3.0
1.4
1.6
8.1
0.4
2.3
1.8
2.5
3
56
Matt BoldyMIN · L
3.0
1.4
1.6
10.0
1.0
2.4
2.1
1.4
3
57
Travis KonecnyPHI · R
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.0
0.5
4.3
1.5
2.7
3
58
Dylan StromeWSH · C
2.5
0.8
1.6
5.5
0.9
0.6
2.0
1.4
3
59
Jake SandersonOTT · D
2.1
0.5
1.6
6.5
0.9
1.6
5.8
0.5
3
60
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
2.0
0.5
1.6
5.9
0.5
0.4
4.5
1.0
3
61
Moritz SeiderDET · D
1.9
0.3
1.6
6.2
0.9
6.1
6.7
1.8
3
62
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · L
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.8
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.7
3
63
Auston MatthewsTOR · C
3.1
1.6
1.6
11.9
0.9
2.9
3.9
0.9
3
64
Elias PetterssonVAN · C
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
0.9
3.2
3.7
0.7
3
65
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
1.1
1.7
1.6
1.0
3
66
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
2.4
0.9
1.6
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
67
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C
2.4
0.8
1.5
6.4
0.7
8.0
2.5
2.3
3
68
Nick SchmaltzUTA · C
2.5
1.0
1.5
7.0
0.7
0.9
1.8
0.8
3
69
Roope HintzDAL · C
2.5
1.0
1.5
6.8
0.9
2.6
1.5
1.1
3
70
Jackson LaCombeANA · D
1.9
0.4
1.5
5.2
0.5
2.8
4.9
0.9
3
71
Darren RaddyshTOR · D
2.1
0.6
1.5
6.9
0.7
2.8
2.9
1.9
3
72
Brady TkachukFLA · L
2.7
1.2
1.5
11.7
0.9
9.2
1.1
4.4
3
73
Brad MarchandFLA · L
2.7
1.2
1.5
7.8
0.9
3.2
1.2
2.9
3
74
Sam ReinhartFLA · C
2.9
1.5
1.5
8.1
1.1
3.4
2.3
0.8
3
75
Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample
2.1
0.6
1.5
4.7
1.0
3.5
1.4
1.7
3
76
Filip ForsbergNSH · L
2.9
1.4
1.4
9.8
1.0
5.0
1.5
1.4
3
77
Tage ThompsonBUF · C
3.0
1.5
1.4
10.1
0.9
3.1
1.5
1.7
3
78
Anton FrondellCHI · C12 sample
2.2
0.7
1.4
8.7
0.5
2.1
3.2
1.0
3
79
Anze KopitarLAK · C
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.5
0.7
1.7
2.7
0.4
3
80
Dylan LarkinDET · C
2.7
1.3
1.4
9.1
1.0
1.9
1.3
1.8
3
81
Brayden PointTBL · C
2.7
1.2
1.4
7.0
0.8
0.9
1.4
0.6
3
82
Alex DeBrincatDET · R
2.8
1.4
1.4
9.8
0.9
1.7
1.4
0.9
3
83
Filip HronekVAN · D
1.7
0.3
1.4
4.9
0.6
4.6
3.5
1.4
3
84
Ivan DemidovMTL · R
2.1
0.6
1.4
4.8
0.7
1.5
1.1
1.1
3
85
Nico HischierNJD · C
2.6
1.1
1.4
7.8
0.9
2.1
2.3
0.9
3
86
Drake BathersonOTT · R
2.5
1.1
1.4
6.8
1.1
5.0
1.0
1.4
3
87
William EklundOTT · L
2.0
0.6
1.4
6.2
0.6
2.4
2.0
1.2
3
88
Ryan UfkoNSH · D19 sample
1.8
0.3
1.4
1.9
0.3
1.8
2.1
1.0
3
89
John TavaresTOR · C
2.6
1.2
1.4
8.1
0.8
3.6
1.3
1.3
3
90
Adrian KempeLAK · R
2.7
1.3
1.4
8.7
0.6
4.5
1.4
2.0
3
91
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · R
2.5
1.1
1.4
8.1
0.8
2.3
1.6
1.0
3
92
Mikael GranlundANA · C
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.7
0.8
2.7
2.2
1.0
3
93
Bryan RustPIT · R
2.6
1.2
1.4
8.0
0.8
2.1
2.5
1.0
3
94
Porter MartonePHI · R19 sample
2.3
0.9
1.4
8.5
0.8
7.5
1.0
1.9
3
95
Leo CarlssonANA · C
2.4
1.0
1.4
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.3
1.0
3
96
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH · C
2.0
0.7
1.4
5.3
0.5
3.1
1.8
2.8
3
97
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.9
0.6
2.3
1.1
2.5
3
98
Luke HughesNJD · D
1.7
0.3
1.4
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.3
1.1
3
99
Will SmithSJS · C
2.3
0.9
1.4
6.5
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.7
3
100
Nazem KadriCOL · C
2.2
0.9
1.4
9.1
0.8
2.2
1.1
1.7
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.