ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Tyler SeguinDAL · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.8
0.4
2.5
0.8
0.8
3
102
Jake DeBruskVAN · L
1.7
0.9
0.8
7.4
0.7
3.2
1.5
0.6
3
103
Cale MakarCOL · D
3.1
0.9
2.2
8.6
1.2
1.7
5.0
0.8
3
104
Avery HayesPIT · R16 sample
1.0
0.9
0.1
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.7
2.2
3
105
Matt DucheneDAL · C
2.5
0.9
1.6
5.3
0.9
1.4
1.3
0.7
3
106
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C
2.2
0.9
1.3
9.0
0.7
5.1
1.9
1.6
3
107
JJ PeterkaBOS · R
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
1.1
3
108
Matthew KniesTOR · L
2.2
0.9
1.3
5.4
0.5
6.3
1.4
1.3
3
109
Alex BumpPHI · L23 sample
1.4
0.9
0.5
4.3
0.0
3.3
1.5
0.3
3
110
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
2.4
0.9
1.6
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
111
Troy TerryANA · R
2.5
0.9
1.6
7.5
0.5
0.4
1.0
0.7
3
112
Beckett SenneckeANA · R
2.1
0.9
1.2
7.3
0.5
3.6
0.9
2.1
3
113
Nazem KadriCOL · C
2.2
0.9
1.4
9.1
0.8
2.2
1.1
1.7
3
114
Kyle PalmieriNYI · C
1.9
0.9
1.0
7.2
0.5
2.6
1.5
1.0
3
115
Dylan CozensOTT · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.3
0.7
7.1
1.1
2.1
3
116
Aliaksei ProtasWSH · L
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.6
0.0
1.3
1.6
0.7
3
117
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · R
2.1
0.9
1.3
7.0
0.4
3.0
1.7
0.7
3
118
Jordan EberleSEA · R
2.0
0.9
1.1
6.1
0.5
1.7
1.5
1.0
3
119
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.0
0.4
5.4
1.7
2.5
3
120
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
3.6
0.7
1.4
3
121
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
2.2
0.9
1.3
5.1
0.6
2.8
1.0
0.9
3
122
Anthony CirelliTBL · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.2
2.4
2.5
1.8
3
123
Shane PintoOTT · C
1.7
0.9
0.8
6.2
0.2
3.6
2.3
1.4
3
124
Logan CoutureSJS · C
2.1
0.8
1.3
6.9
0.6
4.3
2.6
0.8
3
125
Dylan StromeWSH · C
2.5
0.8
1.6
5.5
0.9
0.6
2.0
1.4
3
126
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C
2.4
0.8
1.5
6.4
0.7
8.0
2.5
2.3
3
127
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
2.0
0.8
1.2
7.8
0.6
2.4
4.5
2.2
3
128
Jesper BrattNJD · L
2.8
0.8
2.0
7.1
0.9
2.7
1.1
0.5
3
129
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.9
0.6
2.3
1.1
2.5
3
130
Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
2.1
0.8
1.3
8.1
0.7
1.5
4.0
1.4
3
131
Mikael GranlundANA · C
2.2
0.8
1.4
5.7
0.8
2.7
2.2
1.0
3
132
Pavel BuchnevichSTL · L
2.1
0.8
1.3
5.8
0.6
1.6
1.3
1.2
3
133
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ · L
1.6
0.8
0.8
5.6
0.4
4.1
1.6
2.5
3
134
Logan StankovenCAR · C
1.7
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
2.6
1.0
0.8
3
135
Patrick KaneCHI · R
2.6
0.8
1.7
7.9
1.0
0.9
1.0
0.7
3
136
Anders LeeUTA · L
1.7
0.8
0.8
7.5
0.3
4.1
1.5
1.7
3
137
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
1.1
1.7
1.6
1.0
3
138
Mason MarchmentSJS · L
1.9
0.8
1.1
5.7
0.3
4.6
1.3
2.5
3
139
Brett HowdenVGK · C
1.4
0.8
0.5
4.0
0.1
5.6
1.6
1.8
3
140
Ivan BarbashevVGK · L
2.0
0.8
1.2
4.8
0.2
6.8
1.4
0.8
3
141
Kiefer SherwoodSJS · L
1.4
0.8
0.6
6.2
0.3
14.5
1.2
1.8
3
142
Alexis LafrenièreNYR · L
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.0
0.4
3.7
1.3
1.1
3
143
Quinton ByfieldLAK · R
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.5
0.4
2.9
1.4
1.8
3
144
Ryan HartmanMIN · R
1.7
0.8
0.9
7.1
0.3
2.9
3.0
2.7
3
145
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
3.0
0.8
2.2
10.3
0.8
1.1
4.3
0.9
3
146
Lawson CrouseUTA · L
1.4
0.8
0.6
5.3
0.1
7.9
1.9
1.6
3
147
Josh DoanBUF · R
1.8
0.8
1.0
6.1
0.5
3.1
1.0
0.9
3
148
Blake ColemanMIN · L
1.6
0.8
0.8
7.4
0.1
6.1
2.1
2.0
3
149
Elias PetterssonVAN · C
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
0.9
3.2
3.7
0.7
3
150
Jackson BlakeCAR · R
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.1
0.4
1.0
1.3
1.8
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.