ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Tomas HertlVGK · C
2.1
0.9
1.2
7.0
0.9
4.5
1.8
1.2
3
102
Travis KonecnyPHI · R
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.0
0.5
4.3
1.5
2.7
3
103
Tim StützleOTT · C
2.9
1.1
1.9
7.0
1.1
4.9
1.6
1.5
3
104
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.0
0.4
5.4
1.7
2.5
3
105
Nick SchmaltzUTA · C
2.5
1.0
1.5
7.0
0.7
0.9
1.8
0.8
3
106
Brayden PointTBL · C
2.7
1.2
1.4
7.0
0.8
0.9
1.4
0.6
3
107
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · R
2.1
0.9
1.3
7.0
0.4
3.0
1.7
0.7
3
108
Dylan HollowaySTL · L
2.2
0.9
1.2
6.9
0.4
6.7
1.9
0.9
3
109
Logan CoutureSJS · C
2.1
0.8
1.3
6.9
0.6
4.3
2.6
0.8
3
110
Darren RaddyshTOR · D
2.1
0.6
1.5
6.9
0.7
2.8
2.9
1.9
3
111
Roope HintzDAL · C
2.5
1.0
1.5
6.8
0.9
2.6
1.5
1.1
3
112
Boone JennerWSH · C
1.8
0.8
1.1
6.8
0.2
6.2
3.0
1.7
3
113
Drake BathersonOTT · R
2.5
1.1
1.4
6.8
1.1
5.0
1.0
1.4
3
114
Bobby McMannSEA · C
1.6
0.9
0.6
6.8
0.2
6.3
1.0
1.7
3
115
Arseny GritsyukNJD · R
1.4
0.6
0.8
6.7
0.2
2.6
0.8
1.2
3
116
Logan StankovenCAR · C
1.7
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
2.6
1.0
0.8
3
117
Jeff SkinnerSJS · L
1.6
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
1.6
0.9
1.2
3
118
Filip ChytilVAN · C
1.3
0.7
0.6
6.7
0.2
1.2
1.0
1.1
3
119
Brock BoeserVAN · R
2.1
1.0
1.1
6.6
0.8
2.3
1.2
0.5
3
120
Evan RodriguesNJD · C
1.4
0.5
0.9
6.6
0.3
3.7
1.1
1.4
3
121
Noah DobsonMTL · D
1.7
0.4
1.3
6.6
0.4
2.6
6.3
1.2
3
122
Nick SuzukiMTL · C
3.2
1.0
2.2
6.5
1.3
2.7
2.4
0.9
3
123
Artturi LehkonenCOL · L
2.0
1.0
1.0
6.5
0.3
2.8
1.6
1.0
3
124
Darnell NurseSJS · D
1.0
0.3
0.8
6.5
0.1
5.8
6.0
3.3
3
125
Jake SandersonOTT · D
2.1
0.5
1.6
6.5
0.9
1.6
5.8
0.5
3
126
Mark ScheifeleWPG · C
3.4
1.3
2.1
6.5
0.8
2.0
1.8
1.9
3
127
Mitch MarnerVGK · R
3.4
1.0
2.4
6.5
1.0
1.9
1.8
0.8
3
128
Brent BurnsCOL · D
1.3
0.3
0.9
6.5
0.2
1.2
3.5
1.2
3
129
Mats ZuccarelloLAK · C
2.6
0.8
1.9
6.5
1.0
1.3
1.7
1.0
3
130
J.T. MillerNYR · C
2.8
0.9
1.9
6.5
1.0
6.5
1.8
1.8
3
131
Lucas RaymondDET · L
2.8
1.0
1.8
6.5
1.0
1.8
1.1
0.8
3
132
Will SmithSJS · C
2.3
0.9
1.4
6.5
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.7
3
133
John CarlsonTBL · D
2.2
0.4
1.7
6.5
0.6
1.9
5.0
1.2
3
134
Quinton ByfieldLAK · R
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.5
0.4
2.9
1.4
1.8
3
135
Chris KreiderANA · L
2.0
1.0
0.9
6.4
0.7
3.8
0.9
1.1
3
136
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C
2.4
0.8
1.5
6.4
0.7
8.0
2.5
2.3
3
137
Vince DunnSEA · D
1.8
0.5
1.4
6.4
0.7
1.6
3.3
2.2
3
138
Tom WilsonWSH · R
2.3
1.1
1.2
6.4
0.5
8.4
2.5
4.6
3
139
Matvei MichkovPHI · R
1.9
0.8
1.2
6.4
0.5
1.2
0.8
2.3
3
140
Miro HeiskanenDAL · D
2.3
0.4
1.9
6.4
1.0
1.4
4.8
1.1
3
141
Luke EvangelistaNSH · R
1.8
0.5
1.3
6.4
0.5
1.0
0.7
1.0
3
142
Mark StoneVGK · R
3.1
1.2
1.9
6.3
1.1
2.4
2.1
0.7
3
143
MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D
1.4
0.3
1.1
6.3
0.4
7.2
6.5
2.4
3
144
Mason McTavishSTL · C
1.8
0.7
1.1
6.3
0.5
3.5
1.4
1.8
3
145
Moritz SeiderDET · D
1.9
0.3
1.6
6.2
0.9
6.1
6.7
1.8
3
146
Victor HedmanTBL · D
2.3
0.4
1.9
6.2
0.9
2.1
4.5
1.4
3
147
Conor GarlandCBJ · R
1.6
0.6
1.0
6.2
0.4
1.9
1.5
1.5
3
148
Kiefer SherwoodSJS · L
1.4
0.8
0.6
6.2
0.3
14.5
1.2
1.8
3
149
Jack QuinnBUF · R
1.8
0.7
1.1
6.2
0.5
2.0
0.9
0.6
3
150
William KarlssonVGK · C
1.8
0.8
1.1
6.2
0.3
1.4
2.2
0.6
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.