Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#

Skater

PTS

G

A

SOG

PPP

HIT

BLK

PIM

Proj GP

101

Chandler StephensonSEA · C

1.9

0.6

1.4

3.5

0.6

1.3

2.0

0.8

3

102

Vince DunnSEA · D

1.8

0.5

1.4

6.4

0.7

1.6

3.3

2.2

3

103

Seth JarvisCAR · R

2.5

1.2

1.4

8.2

0.8

4.2

1.7

0.8

3

104

Torey KrugSTL · D

1.6

0.2

1.3

6.1

0.6

2.4

4.1

1.6

3

105

Claude GirouxOTT · R

1.9

0.6

1.3

5.6

0.6

2.4

1.2

0.8

3

106

Gabriel VilardiWPG · C

2.4

1.1

1.3

5.7

0.9

1.0

1.6

0.8

3

107

Andrei SvechnikovCAR · R

2.4

1.1

1.3

7.8

0.9

7.0

0.8

2.8

3

108

Noah DobsonMTL · D

1.7

0.4

1.3

6.6

0.4

2.6

6.3

1.2

3

109

Luke EvangelistaNSH · R

1.8

0.5

1.3

6.4

0.5

1.0

0.7

1.0

3

110

Wyatt JohnstonDAL · C

2.7

1.4

1.3

7.5

1.1

2.2

1.8

1.0

3

111

Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L

2.2

0.9

1.3

6.1

0.8

5.0

2.6

1.8

3

112

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D

2.1

0.8

1.3

8.1

0.7

1.5

4.0

1.4

3

113

Logan CoutureSJS · C

2.1

0.8

1.3

6.9

0.6

4.3

2.6

0.8

3

114

Pavel ZachaBOS · C

2.2

0.9

1.3

5.1

0.6

2.8

1.0

0.9

3

115

Matthew KniesTOR · L

2.2

0.9

1.3

5.4

0.5

6.3

1.4

1.3

3

116

Alex PietrangeloVGK · D

1.6

0.3

1.3

5.9

0.3

2.2

6.6

0.9

3

117

Carter VerhaegheFLA · C

2.3

1.0

1.3

8.2

0.6

3.1

0.9

1.4

3

118

Pavel BuchnevichSTL · L

2.1

0.8

1.3

5.8

0.6

1.6

1.3

1.2

3

119

Kevin FialaLAK · L

2.4

1.1

1.3

8.5

1.0

2.4

1.1

1.8

3

120

Devon ToewsCOL · D

1.6

0.3

1.3

5.3

0.1

1.7

4.0

1.1

3

121

Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C

2.2

0.9

1.3

9.0

0.7

5.1

1.9

1.6

3

122

Seth JonesFLA · D

1.7

0.4

1.3

5.8

0.8

3.8

4.5

1.1

3

123

Thomas ChabotOTT · D

1.6

0.4

1.3

6.1

0.4

2.3

5.6

1.2

3

124

Dylan GuentherUTA · R

2.6

1.4

1.3

9.0

1.0

2.6

1.3

1.1

3

125

Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · R

2.1

0.9

1.3

7.0

0.4

3.0

1.7

0.7

3

126

Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L

2.0

0.7

1.3

5.4

0.7

2.1

1.8

1.9

3

127

Cole CaufieldMTL · R

2.8

1.5

1.3

9.3

1.0

2.3

0.8

0.5

3

128

Morgan RiellyTOR · D

1.6

0.4

1.2

5.5

0.4

1.9

4.7

1.0

3

129

Alex TuchWSH · R

2.4

1.2

1.2

7.7

0.4

3.3

3.5

1.9

3

130

Jared McCannSEA · L

2.3

1.1

1.2

7.3

0.7

2.1

1.5

0.8

3

131

Dylan HollowaySTL · L

2.2

0.9

1.2

6.9

0.4

6.7

1.9

0.9

3

132

Dougie HamiltonNJD · D

1.7

0.5

1.2

8.3

0.6

3.4

3.3

1.9

3

133

Jonathan DrouinSTL · L

1.6

0.4

1.2

4.1

0.5

1.1

1.3

0.8

3

134

Elias LindholmBOS · C

2.0

0.7

1.2

5.6

0.7

3.3

2.5

1.1

3

135

Thomas HarleyDAL · D

1.6

0.4

1.2

5.4

0.4

1.9

5.5

0.9

3

136

Alex OvechkinWSH · L

2.6

1.4

1.2

9.8

0.8

5.5

0.7

0.9

3

137

Tomas HertlVGK · C

2.1

0.9

1.2

7.0

0.9

4.5

1.8

1.2

3

138

Ivan BarbashevVGK · L

2.0

0.8

1.2

4.8

0.2

6.8

1.4

0.8

3

139

Jordan KyrouWSH · R

2.2

1.0

1.2

8.1

0.6

1.0

1.2

0.6

3

140

Beckett SenneckeANA · R

2.1

0.9

1.2

7.3

0.5

3.6

0.9

2.1

3

141

Mattias EkholmEDM · D

1.5

0.3

1.2

5.4

0.2

2.8

4.5

1.3

3

142

Tony DeAngeloNYI · D

1.4

0.3

1.2

6.0

0.4

1.4

2.9

1.8

3

143

Rickard RakellPIT · R

2.3

1.1

1.2

7.9

0.7

4.2

2.2

0.5

3

144

Marco RossiVAN · C

2.0

0.8

1.2

4.7

0.6

2.4

1.6

1.0

3

145

Brock FaberMIN · D

1.7

0.5

1.2

5.8

0.4

1.5

5.3

1.3

3

146

Kris LetangPIT · D

1.5

0.3

1.2

5.4

0.4

4.6

4.1

2.1

3

147

Cam FowlerSTL · D

1.4

0.3

1.2

3.7

0.4

0.6

3.3

0.6

3

148

Tom WilsonWSH · R

2.3

1.1

1.2

6.4

0.5

8.4

2.5

4.6

3

149

Sean MonahanCBJ · C

1.9

0.7

1.2

5.7

0.5

1.7

1.5

0.6

3

150

Valeri NichushkinCBJ · R

2.1

1.0

1.2

7.2

0.4

3.3

1.3

0.8

3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.