ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.6
4.3
1.9
1.9
3
202
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.1
0.2
2.6
3.7
1.9
3
203
1.7
0.7
1.1
5.7
0.2
1.7
1.6
1.3
3
204
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.6
3
205
1.5
0.4
1.0
4.5
0.3
1.5
1.2
3.7
3
206
1.6
0.6
1.0
8.1
0.5
3.6
3.6
2.4
3
207
1.2
0.2
1.0
2.3
0.0
1.2
3.2
0.7
3
208
1.9
0.9
1.0
7.2
0.5
2.6
1.5
1.0
3
209
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.3
0.3
3.8
2.9
2.4
3
210
2.0
1.0
1.0
6.5
0.3
2.8
1.6
1.0
3
211
1.5
0.5
1.0
6.1
0.4
1.4
6.0
2.3
3
212
1.6
0.6
1.0
4.0
0.3
1.8
0.8
0.9
3
213
1.6
0.6
1.0
4.9
0.1
1.8
2.2
0.9
3
214
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.3
0.4
2.5
1.5
1.9
3
215
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.4
0.4
1.5
2.4
0.7
3
216
1.5
0.5
1.0
5.5
0.1
3.6
1.6
1.4
3
217
1.8
0.8
1.0
6.1
0.5
3.1
1.0
0.9
3
218
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.1
1.2
3.7
0.6
3
219
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.1
0.7
3.6
1.0
1.7
3
220
1.6
0.6
1.0
6.2
0.4
1.9
1.5
1.5
3
221
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.3
2.9
3.8
1.7
3
222
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.0
0.3
6.7
1.7
2.6
3
223
1.8
0.8
1.0
5.8
0.4
2.8
1.4
0.4
3
224
1.2
0.3
1.0
3.5
0.1
4.2
3.1
4.6
3
225
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.1
0.2
1.1
1.3
0.7
3
226
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.4
0.2
1.7
1.0
2.5
3
227
1.2
0.2
1.0
4.6
0.2
1.3
4.3
2.4
3
228
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
1.1
3
229
1.1
0.1
1.0
3.7
0.5
4.2
3.3
1.9
3
230
2.4
1.5
1.0
8.8
0.7
4.4
1.1
1.5
3
231
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.9
0.7
2.5
1.1
1.8
3
232
2.1
1.2
1.0
6.0
0.6
4.3
1.3
1.0
3
233
1.6
0.6
1.0
5.7
0.4
2.5
1.4
0.8
3
234
1.3
0.3
0.9
6.5
0.2
1.2
3.5
1.2
3
235
1.2
0.2
0.9
2.9
0.0
1.7
5.4
0.8
3
236
2.0
1.0
0.9
6.4
0.7
3.8
0.9
1.1
3
237
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.0
0.1
1.8
3.9
1.9
3
238
1.4
0.5
0.9
4.1
0.4
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
239
1.5
0.6
0.9
4.5
0.2
3.7
2.0
1.0
3
240
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.4
0.1
3.6
4.8
0.7
3
241
1.7
0.7
0.9
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.0
1.1
3
242
1.7
0.8
0.9
4.3
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.8
3
243
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.1
3.2
2.3
1.1
3
244
1.3
0.4
0.9
5.9
0.2
2.0
5.9
1.4
3
245
1.4
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.4
2.5
3.5
1.3
3
246
1.2
0.2
0.9
5.5
0.1
2.8
3.7
1.4
3
247
1.9
1.0
0.9
7.0
0.8
1.6
1.4
1.0
3
248
1.2
0.3
0.9
3.6
0.1
1.5
3.8
0.6
3
249
1.6
0.7
0.9
6.0
0.5
5.0
1.1
1.9
3
250
1.2
0.3
0.9
5.2
0.2
2.6
3.1
1.5
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.