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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
Elias PetterssonVAN · C
64.5
21.5
43.0
162.8
24.3
87.7
101.8
18.8
82
152
Jaden SchwartzCOL · C
45.2
21.3
23.9
165.6
8.3
53.6
51.9
20.8
82
153
Andrei KuzmenkoPIT · L
47.0
21.2
25.8
117.1
19.9
25.2
23.5
20.5
82
154
Jeff SkinnerSJS · L
42.7
21.2
21.5
182.5
8.9
44.7
23.9
34.0
82
155
Marco RossiVAN · C
53.6
21.1
32.4
127.7
16.7
64.1
44.0
27.4
82
156
Egor ChinakhovPIT · R
42.6
21.1
21.5
159.0
6.4
72.8
35.6
11.6
82
157
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN · R
47.8
21.0
26.8
159.4
11.9
76.6
39.5
10.9
82
158
Matvei MichkovPHI · R
53.0
20.9
32.0
174.8
13.0
33.3
22.3
63.4
82
159
Alex NewhookMTL · C
38.8
20.9
17.9
122.4
5.0
89.0
36.3
29.8
82
160
Mats ZuccarelloLAK · C
72.4
20.6
51.8
177.3
28.5
36.0
45.6
27.5
82
161
Boone JennerWSH · C
49.6
20.4
29.1
185.9
6.5
168.0
81.2
46.6
82
162
William KarlssonVGK · C
50.3
20.4
29.9
169.8
8.2
37.3
60.4
15.1
82
163
Elias LindholmBOS · C
53.5
20.3
33.2
154.2
18.3
88.7
69.7
30.8
82
164
Jack RoslovicTOR · C
40.9
20.3
20.6
152.5
5.5
47.4
32.7
16.4
82
165
Dawson MercerNJD · C
40.1
20.3
19.9
149.8
6.8
38.3
50.0
28.3
82
166
Jake NeighboursSTL · L
43.0
20.1
22.9
115.0
10.2
175.7
46.8
51.6
82
167
Ryan LeonardWSH · R
45.1
20.1
25.0
164.1
13.7
135.6
28.9
52.4
82
168
Taylor HallCAR · L
51.5
20.0
31.5
161.6
8.6
60.9
38.0
42.8
82
169
Anton FrondellCHI · C12 sample
59.7
20.0
39.7
237.1
13.2
58.2
87.2
28.3
82
170
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L
54.0
20.0
34.0
146.9
17.8
56.2
50.0
50.8
82
171
Rasmus DahlinBUF · D
75.5
19.9
55.6
220.2
24.7
102.5
102.7
78.6
82
172
Nick LardisCHI · L
30.2
19.9
10.3
114.4
6.0
113.7
25.0
20.5
82
173
Matt CoronatoCGY · R
45.6
19.8
25.8
194.3
15.3
28.2
28.2
29.6
82
174
Jiri KulichBUF · C
32.4
19.8
12.6
164.6
0.2
56.5
57.1
25.0
82
175
Matty BeniersSEA · C
47.3
19.8
27.6
147.4
10.7
41.0
66.8
19.1
82
176
Mason McTavishSTL · C
48.8
19.7
29.1
172.1
13.0
97.1
36.8
49.4
82
177
Sam ColangeloANA · R
23.6
19.7
3.9
94.5
3.4
142.5
33.2
18.4
82
178
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
71.5
19.7
51.8
199.0
20.3
39.4
51.6
48.3
82
179
Adam GaudetteSJS · R
29.2
19.7
9.6
107.6
5.5
70.3
36.6
21.9
82
180
Evander KaneVAN · L
40.7
19.4
21.3
209.0
6.5
191.5
31.6
114.5
82
181
Collin GrafSJS · R
42.9
19.4
23.6
115.6
2.7
82.2
47.5
13.5
82
182
Emil HeinemanNYI · L
28.6
19.3
9.3
146.3
4.6
240.4
48.2
19.9
82
183
Simon HolmstromNYI · R
40.8
19.3
21.6
98.9
4.1
20.9
50.3
13.7
82
184
Trevor MooreLAK · L
43.4
19.3
24.1
197.8
3.9
83.0
43.2
15.2
82
185
Jordan StaalCAR · C
38.1
19.0
19.0
124.7
3.9
202.1
48.6
32.9
82
186
Brayden SchennNYI · C
45.7
19.0
26.7
135.8
9.6
182.6
46.8
69.9
82
187
Anton LundellFLA · C
50.4
19.0
31.4
168.1
11.0
93.4
50.2
42.0
82
188
Gabe PerreaultNYR · R
42.9
19.0
23.9
120.4
9.5
41.8
36.4
16.4
82
189
Charlie CoyleCBJ · C
49.5
18.9
30.6
134.6
10.0
118.1
57.9
22.6
82
190
Anze KopitarLAK · C
58.4
18.9
39.5
123.8
18.5
45.3
73.7
10.9
82
191
Ryan DonatoCHI · C
38.7
18.9
19.8
145.6
5.3
90.4
20.8
43.3
82
192
Pius SuterSTL · C
38.4
18.9
19.5
129.1
4.4
55.4
35.2
21.7
82
193
Yegor SharangovichCGY · C
36.4
18.8
17.6
152.3
8.5
20.2
35.5
11.9
82
194
Matthew WoodNSH · R
33.9
18.8
15.1
118.7
8.9
60.4
29.3
16.9
82
195
Corey PerryLAK · R
35.6
18.8
16.9
119.0
11.8
49.6
23.9
76.0
82
196
Connor McMichaelSTL · L
47.5
18.7
28.8
154.5
6.3
46.6
43.0
35.9
82
197
Frank VatranoANA · R
35.2
18.7
16.6
197.0
6.5
145.1
61.0
72.0
82
198
Alex KillornANA · L
40.0
18.6
21.3
150.5
8.3
76.7
28.7
42.4
82
199
Frank NazarCHI · C
47.6
18.6
29.0
161.5
12.3
46.3
53.6
33.5
82
200
Ilya MikheyevTBL · R
36.7
18.6
18.1
139.4
0.4
38.2
22.1
16.3
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.