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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
William EklundOTT · L
55.6
16.5
39.2
169.7
16.8
65.5
55.3
32.6
82
152
Shane PintoOTT · C
46.6
23.5
23.1
169.2
5.3
98.6
63.5
38.9
82
153
JJ PeterkaBOS · R
50.9
24.5
26.4
168.6
8.6
24.6
18.0
30.0
82
154
Anton LundellFLA · C
50.4
19.0
31.4
168.1
11.0
93.4
50.2
42.0
82
155
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L
60.9
25.0
35.8
167.9
21.9
136.2
71.7
50.3
82
156
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
61.1
13.9
47.2
167.5
19.5
59.9
120.7
33.8
82
157
Josh DoanBUF · R
49.0
21.7
27.3
167.2
14.6
84.8
28.1
24.7
82
158
Jackson BlakeCAR · R
51.5
21.6
29.9
167.1
10.3
27.7
35.5
48.2
82
159
Thomas ChabotOTT · D
44.8
10.2
34.5
166.9
10.5
61.6
152.4
32.3
82
160
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
40.3
12.2
28.1
166.8
10.7
38.6
163.3
62.8
82
161
Torey KrugSTL · D
43.4
6.6
36.7
166.8
16.3
65.0
111.8
44.7
82
162
Jason ZuckerBUF · L
52.4
25.3
27.1
166.7
18.4
97.3
27.1
47.7
82
163
Jordan EberleSEA · R
54.2
23.4
30.8
166.3
14.4
47.6
40.7
27.0
82
164
Jaden SchwartzCOL · C
45.2
21.3
23.9
165.6
8.3
53.6
51.9
20.8
82
165
Alexis LafrenièreNYR · L
52.0
22.3
29.7
165.2
9.8
100.3
34.3
28.8
82
166
Jiri KulichBUF · C
32.4
19.8
12.6
164.6
0.2
56.5
57.1
25.0
82
167
Ryan LeonardWSH · R
45.1
20.1
25.0
164.1
13.7
135.6
28.9
52.4
82
168
Logan CooleyUTA · C
62.0
30.1
31.9
163.5
16.8
82.2
36.2
45.5
82
169
Tony DeAngeloNYI · D
39.8
6.9
32.8
163.5
10.1
38.8
78.3
48.1
82
170
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C
65.1
22.5
42.6
163.3
29.8
46.2
43.2
26.8
82
171
Ross ColtonNSH · C
32.8
14.4
18.4
163.0
3.2
188.0
37.6
33.3
82
172
Elias PetterssonVAN · C
64.5
21.5
43.0
162.8
24.3
87.7
101.8
18.8
82
173
Morgan GeekieBOS · C
58.8
32.5
26.4
162.8
16.1
118.0
36.5
26.9
82
174
Mackie SamoskevichSEA · R
33.7
13.7
20.1
162.2
10.9
146.9
35.2
26.8
82
175
Jake WalmanEDM · D
36.2
10.7
25.6
162.1
4.7
55.7
161.0
39.5
82
176
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C
60.3
22.9
37.4
161.7
17.5
61.6
31.2
69.7
82
177
Taylor HallCAR · L
51.5
20.0
31.5
161.6
8.6
60.9
38.0
42.8
82
178
Tyler BertuzziCHI · L
54.3
28.0
26.3
161.5
19.0
68.8
30.3
49.2
82
179
Frank NazarCHI · C
47.6
18.6
29.0
161.5
12.3
46.3
53.6
33.5
82
180
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
55.9
12.3
43.6
161.2
13.1
10.2
123.3
27.7
82
181
Luke HughesNJD · D
45.3
7.8
37.5
161.0
17.9
23.3
63.6
30.9
82
182
Warren FoegeleOTT · L
30.9
17.6
13.3
160.9
1.6
94.9
29.3
28.7
82
183
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
66.8
24.3
42.5
160.3
19.9
21.2
65.6
22.2
82
184
Alex PietrangeloVGK · D
42.3
7.0
35.3
160.3
6.8
59.6
180.5
25.6
82
185
Tyler SeguinDAL · C
56.1
24.8
31.3
159.9
11.9
68.8
22.7
21.1
82
186
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN · R
47.8
21.0
26.8
159.4
11.9
76.6
39.5
10.9
82
187
Seth JonesFLA · D
45.7
11.3
34.4
159.3
20.8
102.9
123.0
31.4
82
188
Brock FaberMIN · D
46.3
13.8
32.5
159.2
11.1
40.2
143.9
36.1
82
189
Pavel BuchnevichSTL · L
57.8
22.8
35.0
159.1
15.7
43.3
36.7
33.5
82
190
Egor ChinakhovPIT · R
42.6
21.1
21.5
159.0
6.4
72.8
35.6
11.6
82
191
Ben KindelPIT · C
34.6
16.8
17.9
157.7
9.9
40.3
63.3
18.1
82
192
Sean WalkerCAR · D
24.1
6.8
17.2
157.3
0.7
141.0
117.0
53.8
82
193
Cole PerfettiWPG · C
42.8
16.5
26.3
157.0
10.4
69.0
39.2
21.1
82
194
Mikael GranlundANA · C
60.6
22.7
37.9
156.8
20.6
74.2
59.3
28.3
82
195
Jacob TroubaSJS · D
27.4
6.9
20.5
156.6
1.0
181.1
179.7
51.7
82
196
Tyson FoersterPHI · R
40.0
26.1
13.9
156.4
8.3
97.5
58.0
50.5
82
197
Gabriel VilardiWPG · C
66.2
29.8
36.4
155.8
23.7
27.1
43.1
23.1
82
198
Michael EyssimontBOS · C
22.6
10.5
12.1
155.8
3.3
109.2
28.9
63.3
82
199
Konsta HeleniusBUF · C13 sample
37.8
18.6
19.3
155.7
0.6
95.0
45.8
2.9
82
200
Sean MonahanCBJ · C
50.7
18.4
32.2
155.5
14.2
46.0
40.2
17.6
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.