ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
51
Jordan KyrouWSH · R
2.2
1.0
1.2
8.1
0.6
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
52
Sam ReinhartFLA · C
2.9
1.5
1.5
8.1
1.1
3.4
2.3
0.8
3
53
Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
2.1
0.8
1.3
8.1
0.7
1.5
4.0
1.4
3
54
John TavaresTOR · C
2.6
1.2
1.4
8.1
0.8
3.6
1.3
1.3
3
55
Rasmus DahlinBUF · D
2.8
0.7
2.0
8.1
0.9
3.8
3.8
2.9
3
56
Evan BouchardEDM · D
3.0
0.7
2.4
8.0
1.1
1.6
3.8
1.1
3
57
Bryan RustPIT · R
2.6
1.2
1.4
8.0
0.8
2.1
2.5
1.0
3
58
Rickard RakellPIT · R
2.3
1.1
1.2
7.9
0.7
4.2
2.2
0.5
3
59
Mikko RantanenDAL · R
3.6
1.2
2.3
7.9
1.4
2.4
1.8
3.2
3
60
Patrick KaneCHI · R
2.6
0.8
1.7
7.9
1.0
0.9
1.0
0.7
3
61
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
2.0
0.8
1.2
7.8
0.6
2.4
4.5
2.2
3
62
Andrei SvechnikovCAR · R
2.4
1.1
1.3
7.8
0.9
7.0
0.8
2.8
3
63
Brad MarchandFLA · L
2.7
1.2
1.5
7.8
0.9
3.2
1.2
2.9
3
64
Martin NecasCOL · C
3.2
1.1
2.1
7.8
0.9
3.1
0.9
1.1
3
65
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · L
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.8
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.7
3
66
Nico HischierNJD · C
2.6
1.1
1.4
7.8
0.9
2.1
2.3
0.9
3
67
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
3.6
0.7
1.4
3
68
Mika ZibanejadNYR · C
2.7
1.1
1.7
7.7
1.1
2.9
1.8
0.7
3
69
Alex TuchWSH · R
2.4
1.2
1.2
7.7
0.4
3.3
3.5
1.9
3
70
Steven StamkosNSH · C
2.5
1.4
1.1
7.7
1.0
3.2
1.5
1.9
3
71
Tyler ToffoliSJS · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
2.1
1.1
0.5
3
72
Evander KaneVAN · L
1.5
0.7
0.8
7.6
0.2
7.0
1.2
4.2
3
73
Viktor ArvidssonDET · L
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.6
0.4
1.4
1.5
1.1
3
74
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
2.9
1.1
1.8
7.6
0.9
2.9
1.1
1.7
3
75
Anders LeeUTA · L
1.7
0.8
0.8
7.5
0.3
4.1
1.5
1.7
3
76
Wyatt JohnstonDAL · C
2.7
1.4
1.3
7.5
1.1
2.2
1.8
1.0
3
77
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.5
0.3
4.7
1.9
1.1
3
78
Troy TerryANA · R
2.5
0.9
1.6
7.5
0.5
0.4
1.0
0.7
3
79
Jake DeBruskVAN · L
1.7
0.9
0.8
7.4
0.7
3.2
1.5
0.6
3
80
Blake ColemanMIN · L
1.6
0.8
0.8
7.4
0.1
6.1
2.1
2.0
3
81
Quinn HughesMIN · D
3.2
0.5
2.7
7.4
1.3
0.6
3.1
1.3
3
82
Beckett SenneckeANA · R
2.1
0.9
1.2
7.3
0.5
3.6
0.9
2.1
3
83
Aleksander BarkovFLA · C
3.1
0.9
2.2
7.3
1.1
4.4
2.4
0.8
3
84
Alex LaferriereLAK · R
1.5
0.7
0.9
7.3
0.2
7.6
1.7
0.8
3
85
Dylan CozensOTT · C
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.3
0.7
7.1
1.1
2.1
3
86
Jared McCannSEA · L
2.3
1.1
1.2
7.3
0.7
2.1
1.5
0.8
3
87
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
2.6
0.7
1.9
7.3
0.7
1.4
1.9
1.8
3
88
Trevor MooreLAK · L
1.6
0.7
0.9
7.2
0.1
3.0
1.6
0.6
3
89
Kyle PalmieriNYI · C
1.9
0.9
1.0
7.2
0.5
2.6
1.5
1.0
3
90
Frank VatranoANA · R
1.3
0.7
0.6
7.2
0.2
5.3
2.2
2.6
3
91
Brock NelsonCOL · C
2.2
1.1
1.1
7.2
0.5
1.6
2.2
1.2
3
92
Valeri NichushkinCBJ · R
2.1
1.0
1.2
7.2
0.4
3.3
1.3
0.8
3
93
Mikael BacklundCGY · C
1.5
0.6
0.9
7.1
0.2
1.5
1.3
0.9
3
94
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
2.4
0.5
1.9
7.1
0.9
1.0
3.0
1.1
3
95
Leo CarlssonANA · C
2.4
1.0
1.4
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.3
1.0
3
96
Matt CoronatoCGY · R
1.7
0.7
0.9
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.0
1.1
3
97
Evgeni MalkinPIT · C
2.7
0.9
1.8
7.1
1.0
1.4
1.4
2.7
3
98
Ryan HartmanMIN · R
1.7
0.8
0.9
7.1
0.3
2.9
3.0
2.7
3
99
Jesper BrattNJD · L
2.8
0.8
2.0
7.1
0.9
2.7
1.1
0.5
3
100
Patrik LaineMTL · L
1.9
1.0
0.9
7.0
0.8
1.6
1.4
1.0
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.