Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#

Skater

PTS

G

A

SOG

PPP

HIT

BLK

PIM

Proj GP

201

Justin FaulkDET · D

1.5

0.4

1.1

5.7

0.4

3.3

4.8

1.6

3

202

Anthony BeauvillierWSH · R

1.1

0.5

0.5

5.7

0.1

3.9

1.6

0.8

3

203

Mason MarchmentSJS · L

1.9

0.8

1.1

5.7

0.3

4.6

1.3

2.5

3

204

Connor McMichaelSTL · L

1.7

0.7

1.1

5.7

0.2

1.7

1.6

1.3

3

205

Matvei GridinCGY · R37 sample

1.6

0.5

1.1

5.7

0.6

1.0

2.3

0.2

3

206

Elias LindholmBOS · C

2.0

0.7

1.2

5.6

0.7

3.3

2.5

1.1

3

207

Dmitri VoronkovCBJ · L

1.6

0.8

0.8

5.6

0.4

4.1

1.6

2.5

3

208

Michael BuntingNSH · L

1.6

0.7

0.9

5.6

0.5

2.3

0.9

1.8

3

209

Oliver BjorkstrandNYR · R

1.5

0.6

0.9

5.6

0.5

3.0

1.3

0.6

3

210

Fabian ZetterlundOTT · L

1.3

0.6

0.6

5.6

0.3

5.4

1.8

0.7

3

211

Mikhail SergachevUTA · D

2.1

0.4

1.8

5.6

0.9

2.3

5.2

1.6

3

212

Aliaksei ProtasWSH · L

2.0

0.9

1.1

5.6

0.0

1.3

1.6

0.7

3

213

Claude GirouxOTT · R

1.9

0.6

1.3

5.6

0.6

2.4

1.2

0.8

3

214

Victor OlofssonVGK · R

1.3

0.6

0.7

5.6

0.3

1.0

0.8

0.4

3

215

Jack RoslovicTOR · C

1.5

0.7

0.8

5.6

0.2

1.7

1.2

0.6

3

216

Yegor SharangovichCGY · C

1.3

0.7

0.6

5.6

0.3

0.7

1.3

0.4

3

217

Noah HanifinVGK · D

1.3

0.2

1.1

5.5

0.3

2.0

4.8

0.6

3

218

Barrett HaytonUTA · C

1.3

0.5

0.8

5.5

0.4

1.6

1.4

2.0

3

219

Alex KillornANA · L

1.5

0.7

0.8

5.5

0.3

2.8

1.1

1.6

3

220

Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D

2.2

0.5

1.7

5.5

1.1

1.7

3.0

1.5

3

221

Sean CouturierPHI · C

1.5

0.5

1.0

5.5

0.1

3.6

1.6

1.4

3

222

Morgan RiellyTOR · D

1.6

0.4

1.2

5.5

0.4

1.9

4.7

1.0

3

223

Dylan StromeWSH · C

2.5

0.8

1.6

5.5

0.9

0.6

2.0

1.4

3

224

Joel FarabeeCGY · L

1.3

0.7

0.7

5.5

0.1

2.4

1.9

1.2

3

225

Sam MalinskiCOL · D

1.1

0.3

0.9

5.5

0.1

1.9

3.7

0.7

3

226

Cole GuttmanLAK · C

1.0

0.5

0.5

5.5

0.3

1.4

1.7

0.8

3

227

Dawson MercerNJD · C

1.5

0.7

0.7

5.5

0.3

1.4

1.8

1.0

3

228

Gustav ForslingFLA · D

1.2

0.2

0.9

5.5

0.1

2.8

3.7

1.4

3

229

Neal PionkWPG · D

1.2

0.3

0.9

5.5

0.3

6.6

4.4

2.1

3

230

Brandt ClarkeLAK · D

1.4

0.3

1.1

5.4

0.4

1.1

6.0

2.0

3

231

Kris LetangPIT · D

1.5

0.3

1.2

5.4

0.4

4.6

4.1

2.1

3

232

Thomas HarleyDAL · D

1.6

0.4

1.2

5.4

0.4

1.9

5.5

0.9

3

233

Will CuylleNYR · L

1.4

0.7

0.7

5.4

0.2

10.7

2.0

2.1

3

234

Mattias EkholmEDM · D

1.5

0.3

1.2

5.4

0.2

2.8

4.5

1.3

3

235

Eeli TolvanenSEA · R

1.4

0.6

0.8

5.4

0.4

7.6

2.8

1.0

3

236

Matty BeniersSEA · C

1.7

0.7

1.0

5.4

0.4

1.5

2.4

0.7

3

237

Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L

2.0

0.7

1.3

5.4

0.7

2.1

1.8

1.9

3

238

Matthew KniesTOR · L

2.2

0.9

1.3

5.4

0.5

6.3

1.4

1.3

3

239

Kevin HayesPIT · R

1.1

0.5

0.6

5.4

0.2

2.5

0.8

0.6

3

240

Matt DucheneDAL · C

2.5

0.9

1.6

5.3

0.9

1.4

1.3

0.7

3

241

Emil HeinemanNYI · L

1.1

0.7

0.3

5.3

0.2

8.8

1.8

0.7

3

242

Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH · C

2.0

0.7

1.4

5.3

0.5

3.1

1.8

2.8

3

243

Cole SillingerCBJ · C

1.3

0.4

0.9

5.3

0.1

4.1

1.8

1.5

3

244

Ryan DonatoCHI · C

1.4

0.7

0.7

5.3

0.2

3.3

0.8

1.6

3

245

Adam FoxNYR · D

2.7

0.5

2.3

5.3

1.1

1.5

4.5

1.3

3

246

Robert ThomasSTL · C

3.1

1.0

2.1

5.3

0.8

0.7

1.8

1.1

3

247

Lawson CrouseUTA · L

1.4

0.8

0.6

5.3

0.1

7.9

1.9

1.6

3

248

Anthony ManthaNJD · R

2.0

1.0

1.0

5.3

0.4

2.5

1.5

1.9

3

249

Morgan FrostCGY · C

1.5

0.7

0.8

5.3

0.5

2.4

1.8

0.9

3

250

Devon ToewsCOL · D

1.6

0.3

1.3

5.3

0.1

1.7

4.0

1.1

3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.