Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pp points.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pp points

#

Skater

PTS

G

A

SOG

PPP

HIT

BLK

PIM

Proj GP

1

Connor McDavidEDM · C

4.9

1.5

3.4

10.6

1.8

2.4

1.3

1.4

3

2

Leon DraisaitlEDM · C

4.4

1.7

2.7

8.8

1.7

1.9

1.1

1.4

3

3

Nikita KucherovTBL · R

4.7

1.5

3.3

9.7

1.6

1.5

1.2

1.8

3

4

Mikko RantanenDAL · R

3.6

1.2

2.3

7.9

1.4

2.4

1.8

3.2

3

5

Nathan MacKinnonCOL · C

4.6

1.7

2.8

13.1

1.3

2.2

1.7

1.5

3

6

Quinn HughesMIN · D

3.2

0.5

2.7

7.4

1.3

0.6

3.1

1.3

3

7

Kirill KaprizovMIN · L

3.6

1.7

1.9

10.3

1.3

2.2

1.4

1.2

3

8

Nick SuzukiMTL · C

3.2

1.0

2.2

6.5

1.3

2.7

2.4

0.9

3

9

Jason RobertsonDAL · L

3.2

1.5

1.8

9.6

1.2

2.1

1.4

0.9

3

10

Matthew TkachukFLA · L

3.3

1.2

2.1

9.1

1.2

4.6

0.9

4.0

3

11

Jack HughesNJD · C

3.6

1.4

2.3

11.5

1.2

0.3

1.4

0.6

3

12

Cale MakarCOL · D

3.1

0.9

2.2

8.6

1.2

1.7

5.0

0.8

3

13

Aleksander BarkovFLA · C

3.1

0.9

2.2

7.3

1.1

4.4

2.4

0.8

3

14

Jack EichelVGK · C

3.4

1.0

2.4

9.9

1.1

1.7

2.3

0.8

3

15

Mika ZibanejadNYR · C

2.7

1.1

1.7

7.7

1.1

2.9

1.8

0.7

3

16

David PastrnakBOS · R

3.8

1.4

2.4

11.4

1.1

3.1

1.1

2.3

3

17

Evan BouchardEDM · D

3.0

0.7

2.4

8.0

1.1

1.6

3.8

1.1

3

18

Macklin CelebriniSJS · C

3.7

1.5

2.3

10.3

1.1

1.9

2.0

1.5

3

19

Mark StoneVGK · R

3.1

1.2

1.9

6.3

1.1

2.4

2.1

0.7

3

20

Adam FoxNYR · D

2.7

0.5

2.3

5.3

1.1

1.5

4.5

1.3

3

21

Wyatt JohnstonDAL · C

2.7

1.4

1.3

7.5

1.1

2.2

1.8

1.0

3

22

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C

2.4

0.8

1.6

6.0

1.1

1.7

1.6

1.0

3

23

Artemi PanarinLAK · L

3.4

1.2

2.1

8.7

1.1

0.7

0.6

0.8

3

24

Jake GuentzelTBL · C

3.2

1.4

1.8

8.6

1.1

1.6

1.6

1.9

3

25

Sam ReinhartFLA · C

2.9

1.5

1.5

8.1

1.1

3.4

2.3

0.8

3

26

Roman JosiNSH · D

2.5

0.6

1.9

8.7

1.1

1.6

5.0

1.3

3

27

Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D

2.2

0.5

1.7

5.5

1.1

1.7

3.0

1.5

3

28

Drake BathersonOTT · R

2.5

1.1

1.4

6.8

1.1

5.0

1.0

1.4

3

29

Tim StützleOTT · C

2.9

1.1

1.9

7.0

1.1

4.9

1.6

1.5

3

30

Clayton KellerUTA · R

3.2

1.0

2.1

8.3

1.1

0.5

1.2

1.3

3

31

Mats ZuccarelloLAK · C

2.6

0.8

1.9

6.5

1.0

1.3

1.7

1.0

3

32

William NylanderTOR · R

3.4

1.5

1.9

8.8

1.0

0.8

1.1

0.9

3

33

Mitch MarnerVGK · R

3.4

1.0

2.4

6.5

1.0

1.9

1.8

0.8

3

34

Miro HeiskanenDAL · D

2.3

0.4

1.9

6.4

1.0

1.4

4.8

1.1

3

35

Lucas RaymondDET · L

2.8

1.0

1.8

6.5

1.0

1.8

1.1

0.8

3

36

Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample

2.1

0.6

1.5

4.7

1.0

3.5

1.4

1.7

3

37

Steven StamkosNSH · C

2.5

1.4

1.1

7.7

1.0

3.2

1.5

1.9

3

38

Sidney CrosbyPIT · C

3.3

1.3

2.0

8.2

1.0

2.8

1.5

1.7

3

39

Dylan LarkinDET · C

2.7

1.3

1.4

9.1

1.0

1.9

1.3

1.8

3

40

Matt BoldyMIN · L

3.0

1.4

1.6

10.0

1.0

2.4

2.1

1.4

3

41

J.T. MillerNYR · C

2.8

0.9

1.9

6.5

1.0

6.5

1.8

1.8

3

42

Evgeni MalkinPIT · C

2.7

0.9

1.8

7.1

1.0

1.4

1.4

2.7

3

43

Patrick KaneCHI · R

2.6

0.8

1.7

7.9

1.0

0.9

1.0

0.7

3

44

Filip ForsbergNSH · L

2.9

1.4

1.4

9.8

1.0

5.0

1.5

1.4

3

45

Kevin FialaLAK · L

2.4

1.1

1.3

8.5

1.0

2.4

1.1

1.8

3

46

Cole CaufieldMTL · R

2.8

1.5

1.3

9.3

1.0

2.3

0.8

0.5

3

47

Dylan GuentherUTA · R

2.6

1.4

1.3

9.0

1.0

2.6

1.3

1.1

3

48

Connor BedardCHI · C

2.9

1.1

1.8

8.8

1.0

1.6

1.2

2.2

3

49

Sebastian AhoCAR · C

2.9

1.1

1.8

7.6

0.9

2.9

1.1

1.7

3

50

Lane HutsonMTL · D

2.7

0.4

2.3

4.2

0.9

1.3

4.8

1.3

3

No consistency figure for pp points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that pp points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.