Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#

Skater

PTS

G

A

SOG

PPP

HIT

BLK

PIM

Proj GP

151

Jakob ChychrunWSH · D

2.0

0.8

1.2

7.8

0.6

2.4

4.5

2.2

3

152

Ryan McLeodBUF · C

1.7

0.5

1.2

3.6

0.2

1.1

1.3

0.6

3

153

Logan CooleyUTA · C

2.3

1.1

1.2

6.0

0.6

3.0

1.3

1.7

3

154

Matvei MichkovPHI · R

1.9

0.8

1.2

6.4

0.5

1.2

0.8

2.3

3

155

Casey MittelstadtBOS · C

1.7

0.6

1.2

3.9

0.4

1.2

1.0

0.7

3

156

Taylor HallCAR · L

1.9

0.7

1.1

5.9

0.3

2.2

1.4

1.6

3

157

Anton LundellFLA · C

1.9

0.7

1.1

6.2

0.4

3.4

1.8

1.5

3

158

Tyler SeguinDAL · C

2.0

0.9

1.1

5.8

0.4

2.5

0.8

0.8

3

159

Bo HorvatNYI · C

2.4

1.2

1.1

9.4

0.6

2.7

1.6

1.3

3

160

Jamie BennDAL · L

1.8

0.7

1.1

4.8

0.4

4.7

1.5

2.6

3

161

Jordan EberleSEA · R

2.0

0.9

1.1

6.1

0.5

1.7

1.5

1.0

3

162

Brock NelsonCOL · C

2.2

1.1

1.1

7.2

0.5

1.6

2.2

1.2

3

163

Alexander WennbergSJS · C

1.7

0.5

1.1

3.4

0.4

1.3

3.2

0.7

3

164

Sam BennettFLA · C

2.2

1.1

1.1

8.4

0.5

6.3

1.5

3.6

3

165

Matvei GridinCGY · R37 sample

1.6

0.5

1.1

5.7

0.6

1.0

2.3

0.2

3

166

Charlie CoyleCBJ · C

1.8

0.7

1.1

4.9

0.4

4.3

2.1

0.8

3

167

Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L

2.0

0.9

1.1

7.0

0.4

5.4

1.7

2.5

3

168

Anthony CirelliTBL · C

2.0

0.9

1.1

5.3

0.2

2.4

2.5

1.8

3

169

Cutter GauthierANA · L

2.4

1.3

1.1

9.7

0.7

3.1

1.1

1.0

3

170

Teuvo TeravainenCHI · C

1.7

0.6

1.1

4.3

0.8

0.9

1.4

0.4

3

171

MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D

1.4

0.3

1.1

6.3

0.4

7.2

6.5

2.4

3

172

Adam FantilliCBJ · C

2.0

0.9

1.1

7.5

0.3

4.7

1.9

1.1

3

173

Mike MathesonMTL · D

1.4

0.3

1.1

5.1

0.3

2.5

6.0

1.8

3

174

Aaron EkbladFLA · D

1.4

0.3

1.1

5.1

0.4

4.5

4.0

2.7

3

175

Dylan CozensOTT · C

2.0

0.9

1.1

7.3

0.7

7.1

1.1

2.1

3

176

Jackson BlakeCAR · R

1.9

0.8

1.1

6.1

0.4

1.0

1.3

1.8

3

177

Steven StamkosNSH · C

2.5

1.4

1.1

7.7

1.0

3.2

1.5

1.9

3

178

William KarlssonVGK · C

1.8

0.8

1.1

6.2

0.3

1.4

2.2

0.6

3

179

Jonathan MarchessaultNSH · C

2.0

0.9

1.1

7.7

0.6

3.6

0.7

1.4

3

180

Andrew CoppDET · C

1.5

0.4

1.1

4.3

0.2

1.4

2.2

0.8

3

181

Noah HanifinVGK · D

1.3

0.2

1.1

5.5

0.3

2.0

4.8

0.6

3

182

Mason MarchmentSJS · L

1.9

0.8

1.1

5.7

0.3

4.6

1.3

2.5

3

183

Aliaksei ProtasWSH · L

2.0

0.9

1.1

5.6

0.0

1.3

1.6

0.7

3

184

Alexis LafrenièreNYR · L

1.9

0.8

1.1

6.0

0.4

3.7

1.3

1.1

3

185

Brandt ClarkeLAK · D

1.4

0.3

1.1

5.4

0.4

1.1

6.0

2.0

3

186

Brock BoeserVAN · R

2.1

1.0

1.1

6.6

0.8

2.3

1.2

0.5

3

187

Jack QuinnBUF · R

1.8

0.7

1.1

6.2

0.5

2.0

0.9

0.6

3

188

Dmitry OrlovSJS · D

1.3

0.2

1.1

4.0

0.4

4.6

2.8

1.5

3

189

Boone JennerWSH · C

1.8

0.8

1.1

6.8

0.2

6.2

3.0

1.7

3

190

Sean DurziNYR · D

1.4

0.3

1.1

4.4

0.3

2.0

5.1

2.4

3

191

Zach BensonBUF · L

1.6

0.6

1.1

5.1

0.2

1.9

1.2

3.3

3

192

K'Andre MillerCAR · D

1.3

0.3

1.1

4.4

0.1

4.7

3.9

1.8

3

193

Quinton ByfieldLAK · R

1.9

0.8

1.1

6.5

0.4

2.9

1.4

1.8

3

194

Mason McTavishSTL · C

1.8

0.7

1.1

6.3

0.5

3.5

1.4

1.8

3

195

Frank NazarCHI · C

1.7

0.7

1.1

5.9

0.5

1.7

2.0

1.2

3

196

Igor ChernyshovSJS · L28 sample

2.0

0.9

1.1

4.9

0.5

1.9

1.4

0.7

3

197

Marcus JohanssonMIN · L

1.6

0.6

1.1

4.5

0.3

1.9

1.0

0.5

3

198

Tyler ToffoliSJS · C

2.0

0.9

1.1

7.7

0.6

2.1

1.1

0.5

3

199

Justin FaulkDET · D

1.5

0.4

1.1

5.7

0.4

3.3

4.8

1.6

3

200

Viktor ArvidssonDET · L

2.0

0.9

1.1

7.6

0.4

1.4

1.5

1.1

3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.